Heavy turnout generally favors Democrats. As in ‘08 it usually means they’ve found a way to get their voters off the couch.
I think a lot of pollsters are detecting the heavy turnout and assuming it’s mostly Dem. They may be in for a shock.
I certainly hope that Trump's election proved that you can throw out the old conventional wisdom.
And Hitlary was to the our next president... .Didn’t happen did it?
I live in a very red area of Georgia. Have ridden by four polling places. Cars circling the parking lots looking for parking. Cars parked on side of road. And they keep coming
So does early voting, yet in most states, the Republicans have the edge in early voting this year. And in Texas, Arizona, and Nevada, the early voting has already exceeded the total vote in 2014.
... or maybe not.
Well Nate Silver, you know the pollster who doesn’t poll but read other pollsters’s polls has it 6-1 that Republicans lose the House. In England where you can bet on political events has it 7-5. Guess Nate won’t get bookmaker job when this year he flames out again.
A bit concerned about the high turnout, especially if it’s 2008 in reverse (an anti-vote sentiment). There is a *LOT* of pent up anger at Trump, in addition to tons of money from various wealthy individuals, and that may flip the House.
Republicans know we have to get to the poles and vote because we have to beat the corrupt ballot stuffing.