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Don’t count your chickens: McSally, Kemp, and Scott are very much in doubt
Vanity ^ | November 7, 2018 | Me

Posted on 11/07/2018 7:53:38 AM PST by St. Louis Conservative

Georgia gov, Florida sen, and Arizona sen were all called last night but they are far from over.

In Florida, they are heading to a recount and Nelson is slowly gaining votes.

In Georgia they are “finding” more votes in Dekalb as we speak to force a runoff where Oprah will campaign nonstop for Abrams.

In Arizona, McSally leads by less than 1% and Sinema is also “finding” votes.

Anyone have more knowledge on these races?


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Florida; US: Georgia; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: fl; kemp; mcsally; midterms; scott
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To: McGavin999

Sinema’s campaign was based on her looks, lifestyle and personality, as much as her political accomplishments. She is counterculture as we called it in the ‘60s (now relabeled as Resist) and was looking for the rebellious votes.


61 posted on 11/07/2018 8:39:19 AM PST by pfflier
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Only democrats can “find” votes unchallenged. Reminds me of how Franken stole the Senate years ago.


62 posted on 11/07/2018 8:40:52 AM PST by Chauncey Gardiner
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

“And she almost won a “red” state against - whatever you think of McSally - she has to be considered at least a solid candidate.”

Actually, McSally sucked as a candidate. She was anti-Trump just 2 years ago and ended up clinging to his coattails...which makes her look like a chameleon. She has an off-putting personality. She seemed to campaign on the slogan, “Sinema? REALLY?”, or, “But EVERYBODY knows I’m supposed to win!” - which doesn’t cut it.

I heard she didn’t show for local talk radio interviews. I never heard her interviewed on local radio. There was a tough primary the democrat didn’t face, and Sinema was able to run a TON of ads setting her up as the ‘nice candidate’ long before McSally won the primary. I strongly suspect Sinema outspent McSally by a large margin.

And Sinema is a much better campaigner. She’s a polished speaker, unlike McSally. She’s good at putting people at ease. McSally, OTOH, gives “briefings” - one way talks like an officer gives. I’m ex-military and I do the same thing - but I’m not fool enough to run for office. My personality would grate on people too. But a GOOD candidate reaches out and makes people FEEL good about her (or him).

Cruz has some of the same problems in Texas. He may of may not be an effective Senator. He debates well, but doesn’t make people feel good. No charisma. Intellect, but no charisma. I’d have been thrilled to vote for someone like him - someone I know would vote the way I would. But having the right positions doesn’t inspire people.


63 posted on 11/07/2018 8:40:54 AM PST by Mr Rogers (Professing themselves to be wise, they became fools)
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To: thoughtomator
Reply to:<> Never will be...many are not true conservatives...and the ultra rich ones are greedy NWO types
64 posted on 11/07/2018 8:40:56 AM PST by ldish (Have had enough...you??????)
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To: ought-six

If Arizona is turning solid blue, why did so many state republicans cruise to victory?


65 posted on 11/07/2018 8:42:03 AM PST by Mr Rogers (Professing themselves to be wise, they became fools)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

I wonder how Nelson is going to find over 30k+ votes in a recount
and Sinema find over 16K in fish-bowl contests ?

Georgia looks like they are still “mining” votes in DeKalb...


66 posted on 11/07/2018 8:42:44 AM PST by stylin19a (Best.Election.Of.All.Times.Ever.In.The.History.Of.Ever)
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To: ScottinVA

But in Georgia the Democrats are seeking not to win the vote right now, but rather to get Kemp below 50% so that a runoff election will be held in December.


67 posted on 11/07/2018 8:43:16 AM PST by Aetius
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To: oldplayer

Unfortunately, Tester just took the lead again... ah well.. it was a nice hopeful run there for Rosendale.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/live_results/2018/state/mt/senate/


68 posted on 11/07/2018 8:43:26 AM PST by ScottinVA (GOP: The party of jobs. Democrats: The party of mobs.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative
What are your thoughts on McSally?

If all the Chevies from Minnesota weren't sent to Florida then it could be a loss for her in Az. Trunk filled Chevies matter.

69 posted on 11/07/2018 8:44:03 AM PST by Don Corleone (Nothing makes the delusional more furious than truth.)
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To: mtrott
How can only 44% of precincts be reporting in Missoula County at this point? WTH have they been doing all night and this morning?

Standard Dem Urban tactic. Wait until other votes are in and they know how many they have to manufacture for victory.

70 posted on 11/07/2018 8:44:55 AM PST by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: Aetius

I read somewhere that’d take a 24,000-vote decline in his lead from provisional ballots. That’s a pretty tall order.


71 posted on 11/07/2018 8:46:16 AM PST by ScottinVA (GOP: The party of jobs. Democrats: The party of mobs.)
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

America as we know it is in TROUBLE !!


72 posted on 11/07/2018 8:49:40 AM PST by bantam
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To: Mr Rogers

Good analysis (I live in AZ-6).


73 posted on 11/07/2018 8:50:32 AM PST by Magic Fingers (Political correctness mutates in order to remain virulent.)
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To: ought-six

I guess they don’t mind their border cities becoming U.S version of Juarez. But they forget such problems don’t stop at the border.


74 posted on 11/07/2018 8:51:51 AM PST by lastchance (Credo.)
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To: Aetius

With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Brian Kemp has 50.5 percent, more than the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff. He leads by 75,386 votes. Abrams isn’t even arguing that she won; she’s arguing that once all the absentees are counted, Kemp won’t be above the threshold and the race will automatically go to a runoff on December 4.

As of this morning, there are 3,886,414 votes cast in this race. To shave off that half-percent of Kemp’s lead, Abrams and Libertarian candidate Ted Metz would have to gain 19,432 votes out of the remaining absentee ballots. The Abrams campaign calculates that there are about 100,000 absentee ballots out there. Abrams and Metz would have to win about 60 percent of them to get Kemp under the threshold to avoid a runoff.


75 posted on 11/07/2018 8:52:49 AM PST by GAHeel
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To: thoughtomator

We saw them unified a lot. During the Bush adminstration whenever it was time to try shoving amnesty down our throats again. All of them wanted it, we the people wouldn’t allow it. Then a while later, they’d try again. Unity in action!


76 posted on 11/07/2018 8:54:34 AM PST by pepsi_junkie (Often wrong, but never in doubt!)
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To: Mr Rogers

These things are true...but you then realize that people are willing to vote for socialism and open borders because they like the style better of the socialists?

If people are willing to vote for Gillum, Abrams, Sinema or Beto because of their style...and overlook their openly globalist, socialist and open borders positions on the issues...then we are finished as a nation. It will be Hollywood America.


77 posted on 11/07/2018 8:57:49 AM PST by Scott from the Left Coast
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

The only real issue with that is...

Where the hell is the Rally Point?


78 posted on 11/07/2018 9:01:31 AM PST by L,TOWM (An upraised middle finger is my virtue signal.)
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To: Mr Rogers

“If Arizona is turning solid blue, why did so many state republicans cruise to victory?”

The fact that Sinema — who bad-mouthed her own state! — is basically neck-and-neck with a military veteran (an A-10 pilot, no less!) for the U.S. Senate is in itself shocking. Then, the fact that Arizona’s last two senators (Flake and McInsane) showed more affinity for the Rats than the Republicans suggests that conservatives are finding slim pickings in Arizona.


79 posted on 11/07/2018 9:01:51 AM PST by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: ScottinVA

The Independent screwed the Republicans. Tester is such an ASSHOLE. Why aren’t Republicans EVER the beneficiary in these circumstances?


80 posted on 11/07/2018 9:21:01 AM PST by LeonardFMason (426)
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