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Undervotes in Broward US Senate race
538.com ^ | 11/9/2018 | Nathaniel Rakich

Posted on 11/09/2018 11:11:51 PM PST by Methos8

Broward County’s undervote rate is way out of line with every other county in Florida, which exhibited, at most, a 0.8-percent difference. (There is one outlier — the sparsely populated Liberty County — where votes cast in the Senate race were 1 percent higher than in the governor race, but there we’re talking about a difference of 26 votes, not more than 26,000, as is the case in Broward.)

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Government; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: broward; fl; florida; nelson; raceissue; scott
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Apologize if already posted. Please read the article. I can't speak to the idiocy going on down there about "finding" ballots, which they always seem to do. But this is a very interesting take.

As of the latest numbers I am seeing, around 716,500 people showed up to vote in Broward.

Link - https://tqv.vrswebapps.com/?state=FL&county=BRO

They have counted around 707,000 votes for governor. That would indicate less than 10,000 votes left to count for any sane jurisdiction. Of course, we are talking about Broward so I digress.

However, for the US Senate race there have only been 682,100 votes recorded, or almost 25,000 "undervotes". Please read the article at 538, there are a few rational explanations here:

(1) some people surely did "undervote" the US Senate race, intentionally omitting to vote for either candidiate. However, the "undervote" rate in Broward is off the charts compared to every other county in the state so it is unlikely voter action explains much of the issue here.

(2) a scanner error. I really doubt this as I looked at the precinct data for all 575+ precincts in Broward (data dump and played with the numbers). There were US Senate undervotes in all but ONE of those precincts. And the undervote rate is generally consistent across the precincts. I assume they scan the ballots at each precinct to count them? If so the odds of this being machine error are basically nil.

3) ballot design. As 538 shows, the US Senate race was kind of buried beneath some of the voting instructions. A few people on Election Day commented they almost skipped over it.

I don't think its fraud that they mocked up some Gillum only ballots, as DeSantis had a bigger lead. Also poor ballot design would also explain why there were fewer undervotes on lesser races on the ballot than the US Senate, which ordinarily would be unheard of.

This is looking more and more like there were just a bunch of people in Broward who overlooked the Senate race on a very long Florida ballot. To be clear I have little sympathy as I believe both parties have to approve the ballot and it really isn't that hard to fill out the ballot properly.

1 posted on 11/09/2018 11:11:51 PM PST by Methos8
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To: Methos8

I you show up at the polls not knowing your state senate seat is on the ballot, then you are a moron. If you can’t find it on the ballot, or don’t have the capacity to ask someone, then you are a double moron.


2 posted on 11/09/2018 11:18:52 PM PST by Salvavida
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To: Salvavida; All

exactly. if other people overwhelmingly throughout the state can figure it out, what is wrong with broward folks? or is it that a few folks filled many ballots for people just missing that race? - like those who “assist” voters at nursing homes or such?


3 posted on 11/09/2018 11:21:54 PM PST by b4me (God Bless the USA)
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To: Methos8
What's more important:
Electing the first black governor or voting for the fossil incumbent U.S. Senator? ….. particularly when …

you're busy creating ballots, (voting) behind locked doors, after the polls have officially closed?
4 posted on 11/09/2018 11:33:16 PM PST by onyx (JOIN 300 CLUB BY DONATING $34 MONTHLY! TRUMP'S WAY IS THE WINNING WAY!)
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To: Methos8

“Shiny objects distracted me and I voted for Buchanan”

Here we go again - this year’s version of the “butterfly ballot.”


5 posted on 11/09/2018 11:33:51 PM PST by Republican Wildcat
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To: Salvavida

It's the same play and the same script again. New actors, new methods, but the same script...

6 posted on 11/09/2018 11:36:57 PM PST by Republican Wildcat
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To: Republican Wildcat

Exactly. A deja vu all over again. :(

Is it so difficult to understand that your vote is what you marked on your ballot? I know of no ountry, no state, no jurisdiction where you are taken seriously if you come back after the election and claim that you really, really meant to vote th’other way.


7 posted on 11/09/2018 11:41:22 PM PST by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: Methos8
The SOS will certify Tuesday count on Sat .
That is the key .
The other counts will not be certified like that 707,000 Broward count.
Any recount is based off the certified vote count .
8 posted on 11/09/2018 11:51:39 PM PST by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves)
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To: ncalburt

What are you talking about. There is no way to recreate the ballot arrangement from Tuesday for a recount. Base on your logic then there would be no recount because the margin was too great based on the Tuesday numbers. The wacky leftist judges would rather have a count based on fraudulent ballots then to have one based on missing ones. The crooked democrats rely on that fact.


9 posted on 11/10/2018 1:06:50 AM PST by Revel
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To: Methos8

Why wouldn’t they have read a sample ballot sent to them previously, as in other states?

Does Florida mail out a sample ballot to registered voters?


10 posted on 11/10/2018 1:14:41 AM PST by Freedom of Speech Wins
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To: ncalburt

Even though he lamely tries to excuse it as error, i’m surprised Nate mentioned this at all.


11 posted on 11/10/2018 1:16:24 AM PST by dp0622 (The Left should know if Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR!)
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To: Methos8

So is this going to end up in SCOTUS?


12 posted on 11/10/2018 1:47:01 AM PST by Ken H (Best election ever!)
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To: Methos8

I was watching when Karl Rove picked up on that Tuesday night.


13 posted on 11/10/2018 1:55:18 AM PST by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Methos8

If there was one minute where any ballots were unsecured and not in the presence of a GOP observer the entire county’s votes should be thrown out. That should be the penalty for this crime (plus prison).


14 posted on 11/10/2018 2:00:56 AM PST by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Freedom of Speech Wins

Yes they do about a month prior. People in that county are obviously stupid.


15 posted on 11/10/2018 2:29:46 AM PST by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: Methos8

Broward County = Brenda Snipes. Absolutely anything is possible.


16 posted on 11/10/2018 3:53:16 AM PST by sphinx
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To: Methos8

Yeah - who would be more likely to be ignorant of such an important item on the ballot and leave it unmarked - Dem or Repub....nice theory but fit for fertilizer as an excuse.


17 posted on 11/10/2018 3:55:05 AM PST by trebb (Those who don't donate anything tend to be empty gasbags...no-value-added types)
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To: Revel

The Fl SOS is certifying Tuesday vote totals .
Nelson lost .
Recounts will be based on that vote .


18 posted on 11/10/2018 4:06:51 AM PST by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves)
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To: dp0622

Nate stated the Gov race over weeks ago .
Now this gay radical nutter from the Daily Koz is spinning away .


19 posted on 11/10/2018 4:08:33 AM PST by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves)
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To: ncalburt

What does that mean exactly?
Thnx


20 posted on 11/10/2018 4:09:16 AM PST by italianquaker
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