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Florida Media Is Adjusting Recount Expectations Downward
The Revolutionary Act ^ | 11/12/18

Posted on 11/12/2018 8:01:22 AM PST by Liberty7732

Several major Florida media outlets are running stories today explaining that the likelihood of the contentious Florida election recount changing the results of Tuesday’s elections are very small. That is good news for Republicans, bad news for Democrats, on a couple of fronts.

The state's largest paper, the Tampa Bay Times, reported:

"...a recount that reverses an initial margin of more than a few hundred votes would be unprecedented in the recent history of American elections.

According to an analysis by the nonpartisan group FairVote, which advocates for electoral reforms that make it easier to vote, out of 4,687 statewide general elections between 2000 and 2016, just 26 went to a recount. Of those 26, just three recounts wound up changing the initial result of the race: The 2004 Washington governor's race, the 2006 Vermont state auditor's race and the 2008 Minnesota U.S. Senate race. The average swing in those three elections after the recounts? About 311 votes."

The state’s second largest newspaper, the Miami Herald, ran essentially the same story and statistics. Expect more to follow.

Remember, Republican Gov. Rick Scott has a 12,500-vote lead over Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson and Republican Congressman Ron DeSantis has a 34,000-vote lead over Democrat Andrew Gillum in the governor's race after official tallies were in. While those are tiny leads in such a big state, they're huge leads for a recount.

For a recount that does not find a major “error” or corrupted system (Broward County?) there is nothing remotely suggesting that this week’s recount will do more than change a few hundred votes. But even if it changes a few thousand votes, the results would still remain the same.

The difference between this time and 2000 in Florida — and the 2008 Minnesota race for U.S. Senator — is that the margins now are much larger and there are no more votes being added to the total. The uproar raised by Republicans and Republican lawyers to stop Broward and Palm Beach counties from continuing to “find” votes well past the legal deadline were successful in both the courts and the eyes of the public.

So unless some court wrangling and a liberal judge allows Broward to manufacture some more Democrat votes — yes, that sounds cynical but it’s pretty hard not to be — then these are the vote totals. The recount will just find anomalies.

That’s why Gillum was in church Sunday politicking away and demanding every vote be counted, because he knows without more votes added to the total, the recount won’t give him the election.

The fact that the media is running these stories this Monday morning is also an important sign. Their readership is heavily Democratic for obvious reasons, and this acts to adjust expectations as those reporters who actually understand Florida voting laws and history realize the chances of changing the outcome of the two big races are very tiny.

If the recount does maintain these results, the left will still fly into hysterics and rage and march and protest and generally throw a tantrum. But they’ve been doing that almost every day since Donald Trump was elected president anyway.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; fl2018
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1 posted on 11/12/2018 8:01:23 AM PST by Liberty7732
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To: Liberty7732

Let’s face it... by legal votes, both GOP candidates won by quarter-million-plus margins.

We need a full-spectrum, nationwide rooting-out of Democrat election corruption. And we need it now because they will steal everything next cycle if they are not stopped immediately.


2 posted on 11/12/2018 8:04:36 AM PST by thoughtomator (Number of arrested coup conspirators to date: 2)
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To: Liberty7732

The best Dems will get out of this is another bloody shirt like the one they got to wave around for a decade after Bush v Gore.


3 posted on 11/12/2018 8:04:48 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Liberty7732

Regardless of the outcome, those who can be shown to have committed voter fraud MUST be identified, charged and prosecuted to the full extent of the law. THAT is the only way this ends.


4 posted on 11/12/2018 8:06:17 AM PST by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: thoughtomator
Exactly. You seem to be one of the only people who understand what is at stake here.
5 posted on 11/12/2018 8:06:34 AM PST by riri
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To: Liberty7732

The left will be defeated by democracy unless its terrorist tactics can prevail. Standing up to them seems only likely so long as DJT occupies the White House.


6 posted on 11/12/2018 8:06:49 AM PST by Spok
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To: thoughtomator

Bump


7 posted on 11/12/2018 8:06:52 AM PST by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: riri

I do not understand how this is not universally obvious.


8 posted on 11/12/2018 8:07:41 AM PST by thoughtomator (Number of arrested coup conspirators to date: 2)
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To: Liberty7732

Same deal in GA. Kemp is 70,000 votes ahead of Abrams. Recount not happening.


9 posted on 11/12/2018 8:08:00 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight yourr way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Liberty7732

Here’s the deal, that had 30 minutes after poll closing to report results, that’s it. The courts should uphold that number because it’s THE LAW. If a gazzilion votes weren’t counted because Snipes and her crew are incompetent or worse then the people in her district can run her out of town on a rail ...


10 posted on 11/12/2018 8:09:27 AM PST by Scythian_Reborn
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To: Liberty7732
anybody-not-willing-to-accept-the-results-of-an-election-1247161
11 posted on 11/12/2018 8:09:39 AM PST by timestax
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To: Liberty7732
The difference between this time and 2000 in Florida — and the 2008 Minnesota race for U.S. Senator — is that the margins now are much larger and there are no more votes being added to the total

Really? Broward added tens of thousands of votes over the days following the election.

12 posted on 11/12/2018 8:10:05 AM PST by dirtboy
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Don’t let some around her know that.

The defeatism was and is sickening.

YES, we need to address the HORRIFIC crimes and CONSTANT cheating that is going on in elections.

But we don’t have to whine like b.tches before we even know if we lost the election yet.

Trump has given newfound courage to a lot of Rs to fight back harder than they ever have before.

Let’s give them a chance to fight.


13 posted on 11/12/2018 8:10:30 AM PST by dp0622 (The Left should know if Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR!)
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To: thoughtomator
Denial.

Inability to accept the country is being collapsed.

Instilled belief that it can't happen here.

Some erroneous belief that they will somehow keep their nose down and wait it out in their gated community with retirement checks still coming in and life, largely, going on as before but with minor inconveniences.

14 posted on 11/12/2018 8:10:48 AM PST by riri
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There must be some way to make it so democrat precincts must report their numbers before anybody else is allowed to report theirs


15 posted on 11/12/2018 8:12:30 AM PST by dsrtsage (For Leftists, World History starts every day at breakfast)
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To: Liberty7732
FairVote nonpartisan?
16 posted on 11/12/2018 8:12:46 AM PST by snarkpup
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To: dp0622

Don’t get me wrong.

I am confident the Dems WOULD have stolen this election if Scott and Trump had not stood-up and blown the whistle on them.

Gives me renewed hope in Scott, who was not exactly steel-spined as a Governor.


17 posted on 11/12/2018 8:13:00 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Texas Fossil

So true! Governor DeSantis must arrest and prosecute the cheaters or it will only get worse all across the country!


18 posted on 11/12/2018 8:14:11 AM PST by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: Liberty7732

The Democrats know they probably won’t win, but to them that’s not the point.

They want to further delegitimize the electoral process to make people lose faith in process, and not even bother to vote.


19 posted on 11/12/2018 8:14:38 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Same deal in GA. Kemp is 70,000 votes ahead of Abrams. Recount not happening.

That’s a lot of votes to manufacture, even for experts like the Rats.


20 posted on 11/12/2018 8:15:23 AM PST by Flick Lives
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