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FL SEN: Barring A Miracle, Rick Scott Is Going To Win
Townhall.com ^ | November 15, 2018 | Matt Nelson

Posted on 11/15/2018 1:46:57 PM PST by Kaslin

This race is over. Even while Broward and Palm Beach Counties continue with their mandatory recount, incumbent Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson is still trailing Republican Gov. Rick Scott by 12,000 votes. Barring a miracle, or massive voter fraud, there’s no way he’s going to win. Even CNN admits this:

Democrats hope a manual recount will overturn the results of Florida's Senate election and pave the wave for Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson to keep his Senate seat.

Appearing on Capitol Hill Wednesday, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer projected confidence about Nelson's chances.

"Bill Nelson is -- is strong as could be," Schumer said. "He believes, I believe, he's won a majority of the votes, and as long as they're counted, he will continue being senator from Florida."

History says this is very unlikely and Republican Gov. Rick Scott will maintain his lead over Nelson. Indeed, there doesn't seem to be a precedent for the type of change Nelson needs to overtake Scott.

Scott holds a little more than a 12,000 vote lead over Nelson. That amounts to an advantage of about 0.15 percentage points, which is well within the 0.25 point margin needed for a manual recount required by Florida law. This margin may seem small, but for recount purposes, it is actually quite large.

[…]

In terms of pure votes, it doesn't look any better for Nelson. The average recount from 2000 to 2015 shifted the result by 282 votes. You don't need to be a math wizard to know that 282 is considerably less than 12,000. The maximum change in the margin in any recount from 2000 to 2015 was 1,247 votes. That is far less than the change in the margin Nelson needs to overtake Scott.

The post closes with saying that the next senator from the Sunshine State is going to be a Republican. 

Florida’s elections were once again marred by ballot-counting operations that were shoddy, to say the least. No, not shoddy; they were actually in violation of state law. Brenda Snipes and Susan Bucher, the elections supervisors for Broward and Palm Beach respectively, weren’t giving updates on outstanding ballot tallies, as required by law—and their practices were found to violate public records laws by a judge. They were order to comply with all records requests last week, which they decided to ignore. This action was brought on by a lawsuit filed by Scott, who rightfully was curious about the lack of transparency with the ballot-counting process; he had already declared victory over Nelson as well. 

CNN’s John King: No chance for Democrats to win, they are now hoping courts “bend the letter of the law” pic.twitter.com/f6GukLocVV— Steve Guest (@SteveGuest) November 15, 2018

With over two-thirds of the machine recount completed, our margin of victory has grown. It’s time for @SenBillNelson to end this recount.— Rick Scott (@ScottforFlorida) November 15, 2018

It’s not unwarranted. These counties are the problem children in state elections. In past elections, Snipes illegally destroyed congressional ballots in 2016 during the Democratic primary in Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s race, she forgot to put amendments on the ballot, and her office posted elections results before the polls have closed. In 2018, the incompetence continues, while in Palm Beach, Scott’s campaign alleges that their representatives were barred from supervising the replacement ballot process, as required by law. Election officials can fill out a replacement ballot if machines can't read one. In essence, these officials are creating a new ballots, hence the need for witnesses. It’s a situation that’s ripe for fraud. Not saying that’s what happened, but the fact that Scott campaign officials were allegedly barred is fishy. Yet, it appears this race is about to be called soon. 3 P.M. today is the deadline for the recount to be completed. adsdafsdf

13/ @FLGovScott lawsuit against Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections Susan Bucher - supported by a verified complaint (i.e., sworn under penalty of perjury) - provides evidence of far more serious wrongdoing. https://t.co/JTfRAdZlOj— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

14/ State law provides that, if a paper ballot is physically damaged in a way that prevents it from being read by an automated tabulation machine, election officials may make a replacement ballot to be run through the machine instead.— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

15/ That is an *extremely serious power.* To prevent people from being disenfranchised (potentially due to ballot handling beyond their control), state law lets election officials create replacement ballots to be automatically tabulated instead of the original vote.— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

16/ In other words, election officials, quite literally, create new ballots to be counted. Obviously, the law requires them to fill out the replacement ballots the same way, for the same candidates, as the original damaged ballots they're replacing.— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

17/ The process creates a real, immediate opportunity for fraud that could change an election's results.If a damaged ballot were cast for @FLGovScott, for example, a hyper-partisan or corrupt official could be tempted to fill out a replacement ballot for Sen Nelson, or vice versa— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

18/ State law *recognizes* that the literal creation of new ballots to be counted is one of the most sensitive and vulnerable steps in the process. That's why it requires the creation of replacement ballots must occur "in the presence of witnesses." Fla. Stat. 101.5614(4)(a)— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

19/ @FlGovScott lawsuit provides sworn evidence that the Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections prohibited his campaign's reps from monitoring the creation of replacement ballots. Election officials are filling out new ballots, but the candidate's reps apparently couldn't see— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

20/ Secrecy and apparent violations of state law are inexcusable when millions of people's fundamental right to vote at stake. The entire process must be completely transparent. /END— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2018election; billnelson; florida; recount; rickscott
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To: colorado tanker

True!


21 posted on 11/15/2018 2:07:54 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: Kaslin

BS. The Rats don’t believe in miracles.


22 posted on 11/15/2018 2:08:21 PM PST by rfp1234 (I have already previewed this composition.)
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To: Kaslin

Satan doesn’t do miracles.


23 posted on 11/15/2018 2:08:40 PM PST by QuigleyDU
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To: billyboy15

“Votes can’t be added during a recount unless they use fraudulent ballots to replace existing ones.”

Oh, and they’d NEVER use fraudulent ballots to replace existing one. [s] So easy to do.


24 posted on 11/15/2018 2:10:06 PM PST by MayflowerMadam (Nothing great was ever done in a Comfort Zone.)
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To: econjack

I hate to repeat but can someone tell me if Florida will have another republican victory with a million and a half New Democrats I mean felons voting here next time.


25 posted on 11/15/2018 2:10:21 PM PST by bicyclerepair (MAGA - DRAIN THE SWAMP ! - I love my online family of FReepers.)
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To: Liz

There should be a Pelosi-approved copies that can generate 500,000 votes at a moment’s notice!

Along with a random-foreign-name generator to put some name on each ballot.


26 posted on 11/15/2018 2:10:23 PM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Kaslin
"....there doesn't seem to be a precedent for the type of change Nelson needs to overtake Scott...."

I think this phrase is key to what the democRATS will try to do in 2020.

The democRATS will find a way around this problem by 2020 and use it to try and defeat Trump and the down ballot candidates of the GOP.

I mean, they have already brought their cheating out into the light of day and in front of everyone's eyes and arrogantly and unashamedly, act like what they're doing is completely normal and lawful. Their "Count every vote!" mantra.

So don't be surprised when they figure out how to game the system even more, in such a way so they can make Nelson beat Scott.

And why shouldn't they? No one out there is stopping them. Nobody is going to jail. No one is resigning or been fired. It's a disgrace for public officials to get away with this blatant voter fraud.

And yet the Left will continue to deny that voter fraud exists at all. By design.

27 posted on 11/15/2018 2:15:00 PM PST by HotHunt
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To: econjack

Thanks for posting that.


28 posted on 11/15/2018 2:17:40 PM PST by Inyo-Mono
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To: QuigleyDU

[Satan doesn’t do miracles.]

Ha, I was pretty much thinking the same thing.

Well, kinda. Just not God-approved. Sorcerers with their magic arts:

Exodus 7:8-13 New International Version (NIV)
Aaron’s Staff Becomes a Snake

8 The Lord said to Moses and Aaron, 9 “When Pharaoh says to you, ‘Perform a miracle,’ then say to Aaron, ‘Take your staff and throw it down before Pharaoh,’ and it will become a snake.”

10 So Moses and Aaron went to Pharaoh and did just as the Lord commanded. Aaron threw his staff down in front of Pharaoh and his officials, and it became a snake. 11 Pharaoh then summoned wise men and sorcerers, and the Egyptian magicians also did the same things by their secret arts: 12 Each one threw down his staff and it became a snake. But Aaron’s staff swallowed up their staffs. 13 Yet Pharaoh’s heart became hard and he would not listen to them, just as the Lord had said.


29 posted on 11/15/2018 2:17:54 PM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: jarwulf
This was just a dry run for 2020 anyway.

Yep. Although it is my hope that by 2020 Snipes and Butcher are no longer around.

30 posted on 11/15/2018 2:19:37 PM PST by upchuck (Once political violence becomes common, the toothpaste is difficult to put back in the tube. ~Lifson)
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To: bicyclerepair

Most felons can’t read. Most won’t vote. The only way is to get a female to ask-like the Jehovas witness who comes to my house all dressed up. Who in their right mind would want to come politically to one of these guys?


31 posted on 11/15/2018 2:19:48 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: MayflowerMadam

The machine counted ballots have been locked down for a while. Removing and replacing over 12,000 ballots in the presence of witnesses would be problematic, even for scumbag Democrats.


32 posted on 11/15/2018 2:20:11 PM PST by billyboy15 (Es)
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To: JediJones

Well, 53, yes, but we still have to save Mississippi.


33 posted on 11/15/2018 2:24:23 PM PST by MrChips ("To wisdom belongs the apprehension of eternal things." - St. Augustine)
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To: Kaslin

And if Marco Rubio and concerned citizens hadn’t started screaming on election night, the Dems would’ve gotten away with the steal.


34 posted on 11/15/2018 2:28:19 PM PST by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: Baldwin77

Rubio might have gotten that GOP 2.0 upgrade along with Lindsey Graham.


35 posted on 11/15/2018 2:30:04 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: jarwulf

Scott could have removed Snipes and the sheriff but was unwilling to do so, probably for PR reasons.


36 posted on 11/15/2018 2:32:07 PM PST by Theodore R.
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To: Kaslin

IOW unless we can manufacture more votes


37 posted on 11/15/2018 2:34:29 PM PST by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Kaslin
All the laws and rules and checks and balances designed to provide fair and honest elections have one fatal flaw.
Somewhere in the equation is a person or persons who are entrusted with the responsibility and authority to observe and comply with them.

It is on their honor and honesty we must rely.
When those persons are corrupt they can, and do, commit election fraud in many different ways.

There is an old adage: "Who Will Watch The Watchers?"


38 posted on 11/15/2018 2:37:41 PM PST by Vlad The Inhaler (I started out with nothing, and I still have most of it.)
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To: Theodore R.

Scott could have removed Snipes and the sheriff but was unwilling to do so, probably for PR reasons.

Absolutely no reason to hold back now, the sour voters will have 6 years to forgive him if they need to.


39 posted on 11/15/2018 2:46:44 PM PST by heshtesh (Brtan)
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To: Kaslin; JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; ...

Florida Freeper


40 posted on 11/15/2018 3:06:18 PM PST by Joe Brower ("Might we not live in a nobler dream than this?" -- John Ruskin)
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