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FL SEN: Barring A Miracle, Rick Scott Is Going To Win
Townhall.com ^ | November 15, 2018 | Matt Nelson

Posted on 11/15/2018 1:46:57 PM PST by Kaslin

This race is over. Even while Broward and Palm Beach Counties continue with their mandatory recount, incumbent Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson is still trailing Republican Gov. Rick Scott by 12,000 votes. Barring a miracle, or massive voter fraud, there’s no way he’s going to win. Even CNN admits this:

Democrats hope a manual recount will overturn the results of Florida's Senate election and pave the wave for Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson to keep his Senate seat.

Appearing on Capitol Hill Wednesday, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer projected confidence about Nelson's chances.

"Bill Nelson is -- is strong as could be," Schumer said. "He believes, I believe, he's won a majority of the votes, and as long as they're counted, he will continue being senator from Florida."

History says this is very unlikely and Republican Gov. Rick Scott will maintain his lead over Nelson. Indeed, there doesn't seem to be a precedent for the type of change Nelson needs to overtake Scott.

Scott holds a little more than a 12,000 vote lead over Nelson. That amounts to an advantage of about 0.15 percentage points, which is well within the 0.25 point margin needed for a manual recount required by Florida law. This margin may seem small, but for recount purposes, it is actually quite large.

[…]

In terms of pure votes, it doesn't look any better for Nelson. The average recount from 2000 to 2015 shifted the result by 282 votes. You don't need to be a math wizard to know that 282 is considerably less than 12,000. The maximum change in the margin in any recount from 2000 to 2015 was 1,247 votes. That is far less than the change in the margin Nelson needs to overtake Scott.

The post closes with saying that the next senator from the Sunshine State is going to be a Republican. 

Florida’s elections were once again marred by ballot-counting operations that were shoddy, to say the least. No, not shoddy; they were actually in violation of state law. Brenda Snipes and Susan Bucher, the elections supervisors for Broward and Palm Beach respectively, weren’t giving updates on outstanding ballot tallies, as required by law—and their practices were found to violate public records laws by a judge. They were order to comply with all records requests last week, which they decided to ignore. This action was brought on by a lawsuit filed by Scott, who rightfully was curious about the lack of transparency with the ballot-counting process; he had already declared victory over Nelson as well. 

CNN’s John King: No chance for Democrats to win, they are now hoping courts “bend the letter of the law” pic.twitter.com/f6GukLocVV— Steve Guest (@SteveGuest) November 15, 2018

With over two-thirds of the machine recount completed, our margin of victory has grown. It’s time for @SenBillNelson to end this recount.— Rick Scott (@ScottforFlorida) November 15, 2018

It’s not unwarranted. These counties are the problem children in state elections. In past elections, Snipes illegally destroyed congressional ballots in 2016 during the Democratic primary in Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s race, she forgot to put amendments on the ballot, and her office posted elections results before the polls have closed. In 2018, the incompetence continues, while in Palm Beach, Scott’s campaign alleges that their representatives were barred from supervising the replacement ballot process, as required by law. Election officials can fill out a replacement ballot if machines can't read one. In essence, these officials are creating a new ballots, hence the need for witnesses. It’s a situation that’s ripe for fraud. Not saying that’s what happened, but the fact that Scott campaign officials were allegedly barred is fishy. Yet, it appears this race is about to be called soon. 3 P.M. today is the deadline for the recount to be completed. adsdafsdf

13/ @FLGovScott lawsuit against Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections Susan Bucher - supported by a verified complaint (i.e., sworn under penalty of perjury) - provides evidence of far more serious wrongdoing. https://t.co/JTfRAdZlOj— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

14/ State law provides that, if a paper ballot is physically damaged in a way that prevents it from being read by an automated tabulation machine, election officials may make a replacement ballot to be run through the machine instead.— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

15/ That is an *extremely serious power.* To prevent people from being disenfranchised (potentially due to ballot handling beyond their control), state law lets election officials create replacement ballots to be automatically tabulated instead of the original vote.— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

16/ In other words, election officials, quite literally, create new ballots to be counted. Obviously, the law requires them to fill out the replacement ballots the same way, for the same candidates, as the original damaged ballots they're replacing.— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

17/ The process creates a real, immediate opportunity for fraud that could change an election's results.If a damaged ballot were cast for @FLGovScott, for example, a hyper-partisan or corrupt official could be tempted to fill out a replacement ballot for Sen Nelson, or vice versa— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

18/ State law *recognizes* that the literal creation of new ballots to be counted is one of the most sensitive and vulnerable steps in the process. That's why it requires the creation of replacement ballots must occur "in the presence of witnesses." Fla. Stat. 101.5614(4)(a)— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

19/ @FlGovScott lawsuit provides sworn evidence that the Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections prohibited his campaign's reps from monitoring the creation of replacement ballots. Election officials are filling out new ballots, but the candidate's reps apparently couldn't see— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018

20/ Secrecy and apparent violations of state law are inexcusable when millions of people's fundamental right to vote at stake. The entire process must be completely transparent. /END— michaelmorley11 (@michaelmorley11) November 9, 2018



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2018election; billnelson; florida; recount; rickscott
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To: rfp1234

The Rat’s motto: “We don’t win all elections but we will always win the close ones.”

The bastards see nothing wrong in cheating to win an office, no matter how small.


41 posted on 11/15/2018 3:11:42 PM PST by BatGuano
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Brando that is a lifelong democrat. She is from Talledega Alabama and went to an all black college. She is privileged. She can do no wrong for the Democrats. She is very very skilled at altering votes while no one is looking and devising confusing ballots that encourage undervotes that she can fill in later. If she was altering them for Republicans the Democrats would’ve voted her out long time ago.


42 posted on 11/15/2018 3:13:44 PM PST by tinamina
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To: econjack

bkmk


43 posted on 11/15/2018 3:19:19 PM PST by Mama Shawna
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To: Kaslin
Barring A Miracle, Rick Scott Is Going To Win

Is there anyone else other than me who doesn't like the way that headline is worded?

44 posted on 11/15/2018 3:20:12 PM PST by ducttape45 ("Righteousness exalteth a nation; but sin is a reproach to any people." Proverbs 14:34)
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To: tinamina

Meant Brenda


45 posted on 11/15/2018 3:25:48 PM PST by tinamina
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To: Kaslin

I guess they got their ‘miracle’ they have to do a hand recount of the over-under ballots to discern who won!
Easy for the Democrats to steal the election now.


46 posted on 11/15/2018 3:27:15 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: Kaslin

Manual Recount Triggered by Margin of Votes

Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson trailed his Republican challenger, Florida Governor Rick Scott, by about 12,600 votes, or 0.15 percent of the more than 8 million ballots cast following an electronic recount. The razor-thin margin triggers a manual recount under state law.


47 posted on 11/15/2018 3:40:51 PM PST by CharlesMartelsGhost
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To: Kaslin

Massive voter fraud? Broward does that.


48 posted on 11/15/2018 5:01:03 PM PST by Eleutheria5 (If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Gov. Scott’s afraid to fire her, for fear they’ll say it’s a Saturday-Night Massacre in miniature, since he’s the subject of the election. Why he didn’t fire her in 2016 is a better question. I don’t think she’s incompetent, just corrupt.


49 posted on 11/15/2018 5:05:48 PM PST by Eleutheria5 (If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: Eleutheria5

Maybe she will leave naturally.


50 posted on 11/15/2018 5:33:06 PM PST by funfan
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To: bert
The black control is devistating and caused the murders of 17 in school

Do you know why they don't have mass murders in all black schools ?

Because all the students are 'carrying'.

51 posted on 11/15/2018 8:36:30 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: Kaslin

“Barring a Miracle, Rick Scott is going to win.”
***************
Miracles bring about good. Is this publication showing its bias in favor of Nelson.


52 posted on 11/15/2018 9:01:16 PM PST by Yulee
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To: funfan

Being corrupt, she’s got some money set aside in a little tin box, or maybe a big one. I’m sure she’ll be able to live it up in Albania, once the jig is up in the US.


53 posted on 11/16/2018 1:49:57 AM PST by Eleutheria5 (If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

She is an elected official in one of the most corrupt counties in the nation.


54 posted on 11/16/2018 3:56:44 AM PST by Louis Foxwell (The denial of the authority of God is the central plank of the Progressive movement.)
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To: Kaslin
WE ARE NOT RACIST FOR WANTING HONEST PROCESSES FOR ELECTING OUR LEADERS.

Time to look at countries that have overcome corrupt voting systems and borrow ideas from them...

I'll bet Israel doens't have party 'volunteers' tossing ballots in car trunks... and holding back boxes for 3 or 4 hours until they know how many ballots are needed to get the win... to add to the mix - to stuff... It's time for change.

WE ARE NOT RACIST FOR WANTING HONEST PROCESSES FOR ELECTING OUR LEADERS.

55 posted on 11/16/2018 7:33:15 AM PST by GOPJ (Watch this for our survival: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPjzfGChGlE)
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To: GOPJ

BTTT


56 posted on 11/16/2018 8:28:33 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Thanks Kaslin


57 posted on 11/16/2018 8:41:16 AM PST by GOPJ (Watch this for our survival: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPjzfGChGlE)
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To: GOPJ

My pleasure


58 posted on 11/16/2018 9:14:48 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

“Miracles” are by definition good things, that preludes a miracle helping Bill Nelson.


59 posted on 11/17/2018 6:09:22 PM PST by Impy (I have no virtue to signal.)
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To: Kaslin; SoFloFreeper; NFHale; GOPsterinMA; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief; ..

It’s very fitting that the pig ignorance (Broward voters forgot Senate cause it wasn’t were they expected on the ballot? REALLY?) of dem voters may be what prevented them from stealing the Senate race.

And the theory that sistas (Black women 18% DeSantis according to exit poll, only 9% voted for Scott) the single most dem-voting constituency in the US, sunk Gillum over school choice?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdUEeL8tEPY


60 posted on 11/17/2018 6:26:19 PM PST by Impy (I have no virtue to signal.)
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