EU warns no-deal Brexit is ‘increasingly likely’

financial times (UK) ^ | 3/25/2019 | Jim Brunsden

[Mount Athos]

Brussels said that it is “increasingly likely” that the UK will crash out of the EU without a deal, as it insisted the bloc was ready for a hard Brexit that would require everything from customs checks to quizzing British travellers at the border.

EU officials said that European companies were telling Brussels that they would prefer a no-deal outcome soon to prolonged uncertainty about whether there will be a managed exit.

“They were telling us ‘we want certainty, and if it has to happen so be it’,” one official said.

A no-deal Brexit would involve the immediate imposition of customs duties on UK goods entering the EU, as well as product checks.

[cuban leaf]

The no-deal deal is what I’ve been expecting from the beginning. Remember, when this was tried in the North American Union (NAU - AKA the United States), well, a lot of folks died.

[Gay State Conservative]

Wait until the EU realizes that German,French,Italian and Swedish cars cost 25% more in Britain than do British,Japanese and Korean cars.

[Kozak]

LOL. Like it’s a bad thing. That is the ideal outcome for Britain.

[central_va]

The gloBULLists Free Traitors™ have hyped Brexit up to ebola status!

[pepsionice]

Someone in the German business news brought up a piece from 10 days ago....that the German car industry is the one mostly affected by this no-deal situation. They were talking of the idea that German car plants would go to a month-long of a summer-shutdown or running just one-single shift for several months this summer, if no-deal is the outcome.

Overall, if no deal is the outcome, I’d predict a recession by late summer for most of the EU.

[central_va]

You don't decide on a profound thing like national sovereignty based on trivial things like German car production schedules.

[PapaBear3625]

American car companies might even start thinking about doing a production run with the steering wheel on the right.

[C210N]

require everything from customs checks to quizzing British travellers at the border... immediate imposition of customs duties on UK goods entering the EU, as well as product checks.

Reminds of the Won closing the government, so he made sure to "shut down" things to annoy those for the shut down.

Brexit is good for Britain. Remain is good for glowbullists.

[Dennis M.]

This really complicates the situation in Ireland. The Republic of Ireland, south Ireland, will stay with the EU. With GB out of the EU northern Ireland gets a hard boarder with southern Ireland. This will cause problems with the IRA / Catholics. Maybe time for GB to let Ireland go. Who knows?

[Georgia Girl 2]

No deal is the way to go. Make a clean break and move on.

[mac_truck]

You don't decide on a profound thing like national sovereignty based on trivial things like German car production schedules.

[olezip]

A no-deal Brexit would involve the immediate imposition of customs duties on UK goods entering the EU, as well as product checks.

Is this a bad thing?

The affected parties can work out new rules for trade, travel, and drivers' licenses one at a time, can they not?

Could they not fall back to the rules that were in place before Britain joined the EU?

Is the dreaded "No Deal Brexit" much ado about nothing? Why the hysteria about deals on so many fronts with so many issues when they can be worked out in an orderly manner in due time?

[RevelationDavid]

Dennis M. wrote:

This really complicates the situation in Ireland. The Republic of Ireland, south Ireland, will stay with the EU. With GB out of the EU northern Ireland gets a hard boarder with southern Ireland. This will cause problems with the IRA / Catholics. Maybe time for GB to let Ireland go. Who knows?

.....................

I also see this a ultimately a Irish sovereign/occupied issue.

Time to re-frame division to Irish vs. England......

[Cronos]

than do British,Japanese and Korean cars.

err.. which "British" cars? The Best selling car brands in 2017 were

The top 40 best-selling car marques in Britain in 2017 according to new passenger vehicle registration data released by the SMMT were:

	Car Marque	2017	2016	% Change	% Market share
	Total UK Market	2,540,617	2,692,786	-5.65	100
1	Ford	287,396	318,316	-9.71	11.31
2	Volkswagen	208,462	207,028	0.69	8.21
3	Vauxhall	195,137	250,955	-22.24	7.68
4	Mercedes-Benz	180,970	169,828	6.56	7.12
5	BMW	175,101	182,593	-4.1	6.89
6	Audi	174,982	177,304	-1.31	6.89
7	Nissan	151,156	152,525	-0.9	5.95
8	Toyota	101,985	96,746	5.42	4.01
9	Hyundai	93,403	92,419	1.06	3.68
10	Kia	93,222	89,364	4.32	3.67
11	Land Rover	82,653	79,534	3.92	3.25
12	Peugeot	82,226	98,529	-16.55	3.24
13	Skoda	79,758	80,372	-0.76	3.14
14	Renault	69,110	85,102	-18.79	2.72
15	MINI	68,166	68,984	-1.19	2.68
16	SEAT	56,130	47,456	18.28	2.21
17	Honda	53,901	59,106	-8.81	2.12
18	Citroen	51,455	62,991	-18.31	2.03
19	Volvo	46,139	46,696	-1.19	1.82
20	Fiat	44,475	60,581	-26.59	1.75
21	Suzuki	40,343	38,167	5.7	1.59
22	Mazda	39,092	46,609	-16.13	1.54
23	Jaguar	35,544	34,822	2.07	1.4
24	Dacia	25,149	26,499	-5.09	0.99
25	Mitsubishi	16,092	18,237	-11.76	0.63
26	Porsche	14,051	13,097	7.28	0.55
27	Lexus	12,670	13,915	-8.95	0.5
28	smart	10,323	12,020	-14.12	0.41
29	DS	9,082	15,898	-42.87	0.36
30	Jeep	6,380	14,090	-54.72	0.25
31	Alfa Romeo	4,997	4,881	2.38	0.2
32	Abarth	4,441	3,966	11.98	0.17
33	MG	4,441	4,192	5.94	0.17
34	Ssangyong	3,590	4,444	-19.22	0.14
35	Infiniti	3,515	2,891	21.58	0.14
36	Subaru	2,679	3,612	-25.83	0.11
37	Bentley	1,753	1,948	-10.01	0.07
38	Maserati	1,701	1,435	18.54	0.07
39	Aston Martin	1,471	906	62.36	0.06
40	McLaren	567	18	3050	0.02
	Other Imports	5,860	3,542	65.44	0.23
	Other British	700	825	-15.15	0.03
	Source: SMMT

The first "british" brand is #3 Vauxhall and that's owned by Opel, a Franco-German company. Then you have #11 Land Rover that is owned by an indian company, then #15 Mini that is owned by BMW

There aren't any "British car companies" of size at all.

Vauxhall are assembled in Luton from parts made in France, Italy etc.

Ditto for Rover and even more so for Mini (which uses the BMW platform). Japanese and Korean cars may become cheaper, yes -

[Cronos]

well, another option is to just give up the counties that voted STAY. Many Protestants also voted to stay in the EU and remember that Reese-mogg, the leader of the LEAVERS in the British parliament is Catholic

[semimojo]

...when they can be worked out in an orderly manner in due time?

There are lots of businesses and individuals who travel to and do business in the EU every day. Do they just shut down or stay home waiting for "due time" to pass?

It's exactly this economy-killing uncertainty that the article is talking about.

[RevelationDavid]

I understand Cronos...and you make a good point.

The fight for Irish independence should never have been and must never continue as a “holy war”… Irish independence is about Irish independence.

Having England in your country… Is like having your next-door neighbor live in your house and help you and your wife decide the best way for you to live. It’s simply would never work for you....… Has never worked and Will never work for the Irish.

Ireland is for the Irish. It’s time for Britain to leave.

[Cronos]

Correct. The first President of Ireland was Protestant and some of the leading lights of the independence movement in the late 1800s were Protestant.

The thing is that, just as in Poland, being Catholic and being Irish/Polish was the same thing because some (note: SOME) Protestants acted in favor of the occupying power.

in Ireland it was further complicated by the fact that many of the northern Irish are actually descendents of Scots (and further complicated by the fact that many Irish republicans have Scottish ancestry!! And further further complicated by the fact that the Scotti were originally an Irish tribe that invade Albia around the 5th century!!! I love how weird history gets!)

[FLT-bird]

Yep. Increasingly, no deal Brexit is what the British people want. It’s already the most popular outcome according to polling data.