Trump doesn’t need a high black vote, only high enough in the swing states to drive a stake into the evil, festering pustule that is the heart of the Democrat Party.
You are right on the black vote. The key is good turn GOP out and the Hispanic vote. If Trump gets the same % as last election for blacks about 6% he will be doing ok.
IF Biden (or other old white guy) gets the nomination look for him to add a woman who is either Black or Hispanic. That’s because the democratic vote is all about Black/Hispanic block voting. Thats how AOC and Omar among others got elected. Hispanic population suged again last year and is now up to 60 million
the increasing demographic or ethnic block voting for Dems- it’s 2/3 of the Dem vote, that is the real story, and challenge for GOP. Without the block voting of African American’s (93% + for Dems+ and especially Hispanic Americans-approaching 70%,) CA would still be the state that elected Reagan governor and nationally the Dems would have a little over 100 seats and about 10-12 Senate seats. At Least Hispanics don’t vote 90% dems, thats our opening
Just look at the states won by Trump,he won 32 states but only 4 have a population of Hispanic voters over 13%. Clinton by contrast won 28 states and only 5 had a Hispanic population of under 13%.
In CA, the Hispanic Population is now about 40% (and yes fueled by illegal immigrants and higher birth rate )and African American 12%.
This demographic shift and resulting voting trend is what is going on in early stages in Nevada, Az, Fl and now Texas. Colorado is now over 20% Hispanic and now a dem state, Nevada over 29% and voting solidly blue. I believe this is why the dems are for illegal immigration-it gets them votes and power.
I think Trump at least addresses , so we cannot pretend we can win without Hispanics or fall for the “its just white liberals” myth or the entire country will be CA and we will lose the presidential race in 2020 but we can win!