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Election Update: The First Post-Debate Polls Are In! And They’re … Pretty Weird.
Five Thirty Eight ^
| Nate Silver
Posted on 01/22/2020 4:22:45 AM PST by Zhang Fei
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Two national polls that show Bloomberg at 9%, up from 6%. Between his relentless ad barrage, and his 1000-strong paid campaign organizers, Bloomberg is making a splash. His signature message to Trump-hating Democrats in the primary? His 20,000 employee firm shows he has the business experience to run the country, his moderate economic policies won't crash the economy, his vast personal fortune will provide the firepower to defeat Trump in the general and his membership in the global warming cult means he will reverse Trump's pro-fossil fuel policies.
1
posted on
01/22/2020 4:22:45 AM PST
by
Zhang Fei
To: Zhang Fei
Silver of 538 has no credibility and his poll designs wouldn’t pass Statistics 101.
2
posted on
01/22/2020 4:30:24 AM PST
by
Hostage
(Article V)
To: Zhang Fei
So, polling is settled science?
3
posted on
01/22/2020 4:34:03 AM PST
by
SES1066
(Happiness is a depressed Washington, DC housing market!)
To: Zhang Fei
Nate Silver...that is all you need to know. Being nice, the twisted mind Silver, Sliver in not the brightest bulb in the lamp, when to comes to polling!!!
4
posted on
01/22/2020 4:39:29 AM PST
by
JLAGRAYFOX
(Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forev er!!!)
To: Zhang Fei
Can’t wait for the Trump/Biden presidential run. Gonna be fun to watch Trump smear him like an eighteen wheeler running over a frog
5
posted on
01/22/2020 4:41:22 AM PST
by
ImNotLying
(The Constitution is an instrument for the people to restrain the government...Patrick Henry)
To: Zhang Fei
They are polls. Of course they are weird. The best way to interpret is to figure out what they are pushing. The Deep State Democrats are still “pushing” Biden, no matter what. They are pushing Bloomberg as an alternative, Warren is out. They are all made up polls, designed to “push” their choices. I personally believe that they are jacking these numbers to assure a brokered convention, which Hillary is planning on “swooping down” from above....and claiming the Presidency which she is “owed”...
To: Zhang Fei
If Bloomberg were to win and the Republicans take the house, Bloomberg will be impeached on day one of his presidency.
7
posted on
01/22/2020 4:52:43 AM PST
by
EQAndyBuzz
(Operation Chaos is in play. Repeat, Operation Chaos is in play)
To: EQAndyBuzz
It depends on what kind of Republicans.
8
posted on
01/22/2020 4:59:32 AM PST
by
FrdmLvr
(They never thought she would lose.)
To: JLAGRAYFOX
So true , The former Daily Koz Gay baseball stat boy is a certified liar .
9
posted on
01/22/2020 5:01:05 AM PST
by
ncalburt
(Gop DC Globalists)
To: SES1066
In a way. Every media poll you have ever seen oversamples Rats by ten percent. Every single one.
10
posted on
01/22/2020 5:02:27 AM PST
by
wastoute
(Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
To: richardtavor
The Deep State isnt “pushing” anyone, people.
These polls have see-sawed all over the places for weeks. And none of them talk about the state-by-state numbers, where you start to get far different results than some goofy “national” poll.
To: Zhang Fei
National polling is meaningless except that they are trying to influence the voters in Iowa and NH to accept that slow Joe is viable.
12
posted on
01/22/2020 5:37:12 AM PST
by
outofsalt
(If history teaches us anything, it's that history rarely teaches anything.)
To: Zhang Fei
The only suspense is who will be on the ballot in November so Soros voting machine techs can get started working on the fix.
13
posted on
01/22/2020 6:01:48 AM PST
by
AU72
To: AU72
Tell me what you want and I’ll make you a poll to confirm it.
14
posted on
01/22/2020 6:29:08 AM PST
by
RonnG
(')
To: Zhang Fei
his moderate economic policies won't crash the economy
.... and his membership in the global warming cult means he will reverse Trump's pro-fossil fuel policies.You wrote those two contradictory statements yourself? How about writing "He is a moderate on gun rights and is a member of Gun Grabbers?
15
posted on
01/22/2020 6:37:05 AM PST
by
ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas
(Mozart tells you what it's like to be human. Bach tells you what it's like to be the universe.)
To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas
[You wrote those two contradictory statements yourself? How about writing “He is a moderate on gun rights and is a member of Gun Grabbers? ]
Bloomberg is an economic moderate, and not just compared to the rest of the Democratic field. He racked up budget surpluses during his 3-term tenure as NYC mayor, without raising taxes - he actually cut them. I don’t like his nanny state policies in general, but he was a pretty effective mayor who kneecapped the public unions. That is why his quest for the Democratic nomination is a long shot. The public unions hate his guts. He is having to take his case directly to Democratic voters, because the public unions are gonna be gunning for him.
No question that for a conservative voter, Trump or any given GOP candidate would be superior to Bloomberg. But if a Democrat were to win the election, Bloomberg would be the least worst Democratic alternative, from an economic standpoint.
16
posted on
01/22/2020 7:07:24 AM PST
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: Zhang Fei
Thanks for the reply. I believe that economic health, as well as national security, depends strongly on energy independence. I don't trust Bloomberg at all.
You make a good case that he won't be the nominee. Millions of far left dems hate Trump so much that they won't be satisfied with what they consider a "moderate."
Compared to Bloomberg, Biden on a bad day sounds like the reason for the 25th amendment.
17
posted on
01/22/2020 7:31:39 AM PST
by
ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas
(Mozart tells you what it's like to be human. Bach tells you what it's like to be the universe.)
To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
SurveyUSA has a new national poll that shows Joe Biden leading with 32 percent of the vote, followed by Bernie Sanders at 21 percent, Elizabeth Warren at 14 percent and both Pete Buttigieg and Michael Bloomberg at 9 percent. As compared with SurveyUSAs previous national poll in November, Biden is up 2 percentage points, Sanders is up 4, Warren is down 1, Buttigieg is down 2, and Bloomberg is up 6. While SurveyUSA has seemingly good news for Biden, an Ipsos national poll for Reuters does not...
Bloomberg has one advantage among the Bernie-bots -- when the inevitable defeat of Bernie happens, at least Bloomie won't look like a DNC insider. And Bernie-bots are obviously already comfortable supporting underqualified rich candidates.
18
posted on
01/22/2020 8:00:40 AM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
To: VanDeKoik
19
posted on
01/22/2020 8:02:52 AM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
To: Zhang Fei
20
posted on
01/23/2020 1:40:47 AM PST
by
Paul R.
(The Lib / Socialist goal: Total control of nothing left worth controlling.)
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