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To: Travis McGee

Shouldn’t the size of the country’s population be taken into account?

Got another chart that has scaled those absolute numbers?


5 posted on 03/12/2020 4:48:43 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Elsie

Any graphs at this point are approximations due to widely varying inputs.

They are helpful aids here and now, not post-pandemic textbook illustrations.


8 posted on 03/12/2020 4:50:04 AM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Elsie; Travis McGee
Shouldn’t the size of the country’s population be taken into account?

No! That is the point of exponential increases. The important number is the number of newly infected / day divided by the number of presently infected. If it doubles every three days, it doesn't matter where you start. Soon most of your population will have been infected. The difference between infecting all of Italy and all of the US is about 1/2 of a week.

By plotting the numbers on a log graph you can determine the alpha for each country and as Travis's plot shows it is pretty much the same country to country.

Now, if you were to show plots for Taiwan or Singapore or China you would see very different patterns because they have broken the chain of multiplication through effective public health measures.

14 posted on 03/12/2020 4:58:05 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Elsie

Also population density should be taken into account. Places like Wyoming have no coronavirus.


20 posted on 03/12/2020 5:05:23 AM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (Guide me, O thou great redeemer, pilgrim through this barren land.)
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To: Elsie

“Statistics lie and liars use statistics.”


50 posted on 03/12/2020 5:42:59 AM PDT by ManHunter (You can run, but you'll only die tired... Army snipers: Reach out and touch someone)
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To: Elsie; LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget
Try this site: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

At bottom you can select different country reported rates with very good graphs/numbers.


Courtesy of LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget post.

Link: https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3823686/posts?page=7#7

163 posted on 03/12/2020 2:17:45 PM PDT by Tunehead54 (Nothing funny here ;-)
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