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Please, Not 'Shovel-Ready' Projects Again!
Townhall.com ^ | March 17, 2020 | Stephen Moore

Posted on 03/17/2020 6:54:22 AM PDT by Kaslin

It was just a little over 10 years ago, at the height of the 2008-2009 financial crisis, that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said one of the dumbest things in modern times. The best way to stimulate the economy, she declared, was with "unemployment insurance and food stamps." Right. Paying people not to work will get more people to work.

Now here we go again. In the throes of the COVID-19 financial crisis, Pelosi is still spreading her economic pixie dust. Maybe it is just an inviolable rule of politics that politicians never seem to learn from their past mistakes.

The economy is now partially paralyzed from fear of the virus, so Republicans and Democrats want to do something to juice the economy. President Donald Trump's big idea is to cut taxes.

This may not do much to suspend the fear and gridlock that has gripped the economy, but it can incentivize more work (by allowing every worker to keep more of their own money) and can accelerate spending at a time when demand has fallen off the cliff.

Economists can debate back and forth about how well a tax cut will work to avert an economic calamity, but it can't hurt. What is for sure is that this plan is far more likely to succeed than what Pelosi and her Democratic colleagues want. They favor paid leave for workers who don't come to work (which incentivizes nonwork), unemployment insurance, Medicaid expansion, bailouts for hard-hit industries and so on.

Spend, spend, spend.

History teaches us that these kinds of so-called stimulus plans always fail. The mother of all government spending plans was the failed $830 billion fiscal stimulus during Barack Obama's first months in office. Obama's first chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, explained the rationale in early 2009 by stating: "A crisis is a terrible thing to waste."

Time magazine put Obama on its cover with a cigar and a top hat, looking like a dapper Franklin Roosevelt circa 1932. It was fitting because Obama had in mind a supersized New Deal. The promises were alluring. Obama told us that the money would be spent quickly on vital "shovel-ready projects." Soon after it passed, Vice President Joe Biden famously predicted that 2009 would bring "the summer of recovery" -- which never happened because the unemployment rate continued to rise.

The giveaway was always less about resuscitating the economy and more about spreading hundreds of billions of dollars to left-wing interest groups. There would be money for the National Endowment for the Arts (how does that stimulate the economy?), Head Start, unemployment insurance and food stamps for illegal immigrants, renewable energy subsidies, high-speed rail, Cash for Clunkers and Medicaid expansion. The whiz kid economists in the Obama administration predicted a 2009 growth rate north of 4.5%. It barely got to 2%.

By the Obama administration's numbers, every year from 2009 to 2011, unemployment came in much higher than Obama's team predicted it would have if we had done nothing. Many of the shovel-ready projects, such as the $535 million that went to the now-bankrupt solar company Solyndra, turned out to be lemons or scams.

The stimulus didn't work because it ignored the very nature of government activity, which is the feds can only give money to Peter by taking money from Paul. With a tax cut, instead of making money from Peter, it lets Peter keep it.

Harvard economist Robert Barro explained during the Great Recession why the spending spigot didn't grow flowers: "Every time heightened fiscal deficits fail, the policy advice is to choose still larger deficits," he concluded. "The results from following this policy advice are persistently lower growth and an exploding ratio of public debt to GDP."

Obama and his aides are now trying to rewrite history to persuade the public that the Recovery Act of 2009 was a grand success. Obama recently tweeted that his policies set the table for the Trump boom of the last three years. In reality, in the Obama years, the bar on growth and wages was so low that it was easy for Trump to hurdle over it.

The most famous "stimulus" failure was FDR's New Deal of the 1930s. It more than doubled government spending as a share of GDP but never got the unemployment rate down below 10% in the entire decade of the 1930s, as Amity Shlaes documented in her book about the Great Depression, "The Forgotten Man."

Trump understandably wants to act, and quickly. But he would be wise to avoid cutting a deal with Pelosi that forces him to waste taxpayer money or puts additional mandates on employers already getting crunched by the effects of the coronavirus. In this case, the palliatives could delay or impede a big economic snapback. In 2009, at the end of the day, all we got from the Obama stimulus was nearly $1 trillion of added debt and millions more people enrolled in welfare programs. Washington, aka "the swamp," got rich from the largesse, but not so much the rest of the country.

Picking winners and losers among industries such as airlines and energy companies (an idea that both parties appear to like) is inequitable because just about every sector is getting hammered. Who chooses who gets a new lease on life and who doesn't? The best solution to averting bankruptcies in an uncontrollable event like this is for the Federal Reserve to open its discount window for low-interest loans to distressed companies with collateral but little revenue stream thanks to the virus.

There are so many uncertainties about where the coronavirus is taking our economy and for how long, but the one thing we do know for sure is that the government can't spend and regulate our economy or our country back to health.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: nancypiglosi
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This is why President Trump, who is first a business man and not a politician, the right person for the U.S and should be reelected again
1 posted on 03/17/2020 6:54:22 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Yes indeed, we should run away from anything resembling the useless cr*p that oozed from dumb*ss Dorkbama the Muslim eunuch quota baby and his ignorant **** Speakeress of the Outhouse female butt kisser.


2 posted on 03/17/2020 6:57:38 AM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: Kaslin

Send all job seekers out to Build The Wall, and make sure it’s part of the Emergency Spending Bill


3 posted on 03/17/2020 7:00:25 AM PDT by nevermorelenore ( If My people will pray ....)
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To: Kaslin

This stupid a##!


4 posted on 03/17/2020 7:03:25 AM PDT by ronnie raygun (nicdip.com)
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To: All

Stephen Moore is sent to us directly from the Tom Donahue, Chamber of Commerce School of Economics and should be held at arm’s length.


5 posted on 03/17/2020 7:05:49 AM PDT by JonPreston
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To: Kaslin
Shovel Ready projects are not ready. I remember the last go round on this. In PA, state government had to run around with its head cut off to find projects. They didn't have the projects on the books. Why? Because they previously didn't have the money for the projects. No money, no projects. It's called a budget process, where money is allocated for projects. Massive infusion of money from the federal government, with time constraints for its use, by passes planning processes, workforce limitations, and all commonsense because people in government are naturally greedy.

And let's not forget the political consequences for when the money runs out. Republicans get hit over the head for cutting programs, just because the law expires.

6 posted on 03/17/2020 7:08:52 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA
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To: Kaslin
the one thing we do know for sure is that the government can't spend and regulate our economy or our country back to health.

That's why payroll tax cuts, as proposed by President Trump, are so smart.

7 posted on 03/17/2020 7:09:12 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: Kaslin

When the crisis is past and Trump turns his attention to recovery, we’re going to see a public infrastructure plan like no other. It will put people to work and help them recover from economic losses and it will accelerate the decoupling of our dependency on China in critical areas.

Call it what you will but it will guarantee his re-election and the continuation of MAGA.

To do nothing would guarantee President Biden, or Hillary.


8 posted on 03/17/2020 7:15:18 AM PDT by bigbob (Trust Trump. Trust the Plan.)
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To: Kaslin

The Democrats are Stuck on Stupid, and they think we are too. They can’t even pass a bill by July that would make a difference much less get it to functioning.. so this is all about PORK and the pockets of their allies for years after this event is history.

The question is, “Are we going to fall for it?”

There are smart ways to deploy stimulus but considering the Democrats, there is zero hope for smart.


9 posted on 03/17/2020 7:18:39 AM PDT by dalight
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To: Kaslin

The only thing that Obama got shoveled was billions of dollars from taxpayers
into the pockets and bank accounts of democrat politicians and their pals.


10 posted on 03/17/2020 7:25:45 AM PDT by Vlad The Inhaler (I love Mankind - It's Just Most Of The People That I Can't Stand)
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To: Kaslin

We need fast cash across the economy so that we don’t have a wave of personal and business bankruptcies.

Now is NOT the time for infrastructure. How do you do infrastructure projects when people can’t assemble in groups to do the damn things?

It’s also not the time for the payroll tax holiday, which is a slow drip of cash across months and months.


11 posted on 03/17/2020 7:26:56 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: Kaslin

The article understates the increase in debt. The total 2009 stimulus package was $1.2 trillion, of which only $80 billion actually went to infrastructure projects, and like all things placed into the Federal budget, it was never removed and added $9.6 trillion to the national debt. Of all that money, only the $80 billion was a one-time expenditure.

That $1.2 trillion is still in the federal spending plans, since they don’t actual budget any longer, and what programs it has been going towards is anyone’s guess.


12 posted on 03/17/2020 7:31:07 AM PDT by shotgun
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To: Kaslin

The only thing that will get the economy going again is forcing the schools to open back up.

The schools closed, and all the women who have nobody to take care of their kids had to take off work, and then most of the businesses can hardly operate because half of their workforce, who aren’t even sick, just left. The only way to reverse that chain reaction is to undo the first step and force the schools to open again.

Really, this fragility in our economy is a completely foreseeable consequence of feminism. Women decided to compete with men for jobs, but when times get tough, they will abandon those jobs if they need to care for their children, and the whole country is just expected to suffer the consequences of this selfishness.


13 posted on 03/17/2020 7:33:43 AM PDT by Boogieman
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To: Kaslin
Pretty sure the only people making money from Bambie's "shovel ready" scam were the road sign makers and the political friends of his.

I drove all around 5 states that summer and saw lots of signs and NO WORK.

14 posted on 03/17/2020 7:35:19 AM PDT by G Larry (There is no great virtue in bargaining with the Devil)
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To: Kaslin

Plenty of shovel ready jobs on the streets of San Francisco.


15 posted on 03/17/2020 7:35:22 AM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: nevermorelenore

Well, I don’t like the “send” portion of your idea; but I do like the idea of putting people to work building the wall!


16 posted on 03/17/2020 7:35:58 AM PDT by vpintheak (Leftists are full of "Love, peace" and bovine squeeze.)
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To: Boogieman

So you are on the “Let’s just spread the virus fast, and if people die, they die, but no point in ruining the economy” side of the debate.

To me that is a reasonable approach. The other reasonable approach is to do the absolute maximum to stop the virus, but completely destroy the economy. Either one of those could be logically defended.

We are doing neither one. We’re spreading the disease and ruining the economy both.


17 posted on 03/17/2020 7:36:58 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: Kaslin

How are people going to spend their stimulus dollars to spur the economy if they are locked indoor This is not a 2008 recession where we had structural economic issues from a bubble. It’s a health crisis and we do not need to be dropping money from helicopters right now especially for “shovel ready” projects.


18 posted on 03/17/2020 7:40:06 AM PDT by chuckee
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To: Kaslin

Why do Democrats talk about “shovel-ready jobs” in an age when most of this sort of work is done by bulldozers, backhoes, mechanical loaders and road graders? It’s sort of like their obsession with trains, such as California’s “Bullet Train,” in the age of the Boeing 737.


19 posted on 03/17/2020 7:42:35 AM PDT by Fiji Hill
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To: Boogieman

I wouldn’t call it “selfish” to eant to care for one’s children.


20 posted on 03/17/2020 7:43:51 AM PDT by IronJack
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