Posted on 07/29/2020 5:32:49 AM PDT by RandFan
LOL Can’t wait for Nov. 3! It will be a landslide! MAGA
I am hoping they keep burning the Rat cities until November!! That should really help down ticket Rs!!!
A companion national survey of 1,039 likely voters was also conducted July 24-26, 2020.
The margin of error, as traditionally calculated, is ±1.94% for the battleground and ±3.04% for the national poll.
Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-10
These numbers are meaningless anyway. They still have no way to correctly ascertain the size of Trump's largest voting block - non-college educated white men. They don't respond to pollsters because they're too busy working for a living. And chances are they are even more numerous than in 2016. And if Rasmussen's polling is accurate, 4 in 10 African American likely voters approve of the job that Trump is doing. Those two realities by themselves means that Donald Trump steps on Joe Biden's face on 11-3.
Margin of error (MOE) for the battleground states is +/-1.94% -— none of the results in your post are within the MOE.
https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-10
Me too.
People here are worried that will suppress the vote.
I am SURE no blm or antifa is gonna show up at my mostly Italian neighborhood’s grade school where voting takes place.
But they will be in the big cities and may just cost some dem votes.
Usually the margin of error is up to 3% for most polls.
Either way this isnt too bad.. The 15 points down polls are nonsense!
Also Biden does not crack 50% in any of these polls.
Which is also a good sign...
How heavy did they oversample Dems?
“In July 2017, Change Research was incorporated as a Public Benefit Corporation, with the mission of improving American democracy by making public opinion insights more accessible to forward-thinking political campaigns and advocacy organizations. “
https://www.changeresearch.com/our-story
Two Fruitcakes and a Dream!
Does this translate to 14% nationally? These are completely made up good or bad?
“ The first debate is in two months. Let’s talk after that.”
Joe wants everyone to watch the debates on their record players and to say a prayer to “The Thing” that he does well.
Now they are tightening the polls to:
1. Not look like total incompetent idiots when Trump wins
2. Try to scare the lazy lefties into voting as they know the enthusiasm gap is enormous.
Only one poll counts which is election day. So get out and vote on election day and fight for our President every day till election day!
They are also extremely small sample sizes. 284 - NC, 382 - PA and 392 WI. Almost meaningless. That said, Joe is in bad shape and he knows it.
Thank you for that.
They should be in the thousands to get more accurate sample sizes.
So this isn’t too bad then. One thing for sure is the 15 points down nonsense is not reflected at the state level and as I say Biden is not cracking over 50% in ANY of them!
I know it’s anecdotal but I polled my (Trump supporting) family members and all of us said the same thing: None of us would EVER answer a pollster that we were voting for Trump.
I suspect there are many out there just like us who refuse to answer these polls or slam the phone down (so to speak).
Same in 2016, on the day of the election, when Hillary had an over 90% chance of winning the election.
These polls tell us what we really already knew — these states are toss ups. They truly could go either way at this point. Certainly Trump’s not in trouble like the media keeps reporting, but nor is he in the clear like some on here seem to believe. We cannot get complacent and think we’ve got this election in the bag. Old Cankles showed us what happens when you get complacent about an election. Let’s not make that mistake.
TLDR version — polls, schmes, get out there and fight; nothing is decided.
Not only were polls wrong in 2016, but the Exit Polls were wrong on the day of the Election to try to suppress the Trump vote. I don’t believe the polls.
Cahaly from Trafalgar gave an interview saying that Trump is at 274 right now, with WI and MI won. He is down in PA but Baris from PPD said he is up there. Bottom line is Joe is not in good shape and it will continue to get worse for him.
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