Posted on 07/29/2020 5:32:49 AM PDT by RandFan
FORGET POLLS! They are all FAKE!
You are being manipulated. Don’t let them!
As one who watches this closely, I concur that oversampling of Ds and the shy Trump vote likely equals a 10 point swing, which flips these 5 point Biden leads unto 5 point deficits.
And that’s even if this poll sampled likely voters, rather than registered voters, which I haven’t checked yet.
Are these polls of registered voters, eligible to be registered voters, likely to be paroled before the election voters, or actual registered likely voters?
No. Bad way to look at this. NONE are within the “margin of error” because none of these polls are legitimate. Mabye-—maybe Trafalgar is close.
They are STILL using 2016 models as Nate Cohn himself confessed yesterday, which means they are still using 2012 models.
Many are STILL asking for “the youngest voter in the home.”
NONE are capturing the “shy voter,” whom now three separate pollsters have admitted they are having tremendous difficulty identifying.
Bottom line: Trump is ahead in all these states, some more than others. I think MI and WI are close, but bigger than Trump’s 2016 margin. Trump himself has flatly stated his polls have them up in PA, GA, OH, FL, and MN. That’s the election right there.
Thanks for sharing your superb analysis.
We need FOUR MORE YEARS of PDJT to MAGA AGAIN!!!
That’s what I’ve heard/read that they’re doing....sampling Dems +10.
OMG they’re escorting Biden like a child to make sure he doesn’t stop and so he remembers where he’s supposed to go. This whole thing is a farce. Wake up America. How the heck could this guy run anything let alone America? https://t.co/lLpneRF483— Donald Trump Jr. (@DonaldJTrumpJr) July 29, 2020
Trump needs to play this clip, in an ad, over and over.
Registered or likely voters?
People over 18.
Oh, so in other words exchange students from overseas and illegal immigrants are reflected too.
It wouldn’t surprise me one bit. The Dims will do ANYTHING to remove President Trump in November. Hopefully, it will end in abject failure like the other 10 or 15 tries they’ve attempted.
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