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New Battleground Election Polls (CNBC/ChangePolls)
Twitter ^ | July 29 | PpollingNumbers

Posted on 07/29/2020 5:32:49 AM PDT by RandFan

@PpollingNumbers #NEW @CNBC/@ChangePolls

#Pennsylvania: Biden 48% (+2) Trump 46%

#Arizona: Biden 47% (+2) Trump 45%

#Florida: Biden 48% (+3) Trump 45%

#NorthCarolina: Biden 49% (+3) Trump 46%

#Michigan: Biden 46% (+4) Trump 42%

#Wisconsin: Biden 48% (+5) Trump 43%

(7/24-26)

(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: battleground; biden; changeresearch; cnbc; poll; polls; trunp
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To: RandFan

FORGET POLLS! They are all FAKE!

You are being manipulated. Don’t let them!


41 posted on 07/29/2020 7:11:42 AM PDT by faucetman (Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: dp0622

As one who watches this closely, I concur that oversampling of Ds and the shy Trump vote likely equals a 10 point swing, which flips these 5 point Biden leads unto 5 point deficits.

And that’s even if this poll sampled likely voters, rather than registered voters, which I haven’t checked yet.


42 posted on 07/29/2020 7:17:59 AM PDT by chiller (Davey Crockett said: "Be sure you're right. Then go ahead'. I'm going ahead.)
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To: RandFan

Are these polls of registered voters, eligible to be registered voters, likely to be paroled before the election voters, or actual registered likely voters?


43 posted on 07/29/2020 7:20:23 AM PDT by Chewbarkah
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To: RandFan

No. Bad way to look at this. NONE are within the “margin of error” because none of these polls are legitimate. Mabye-—maybe Trafalgar is close.

They are STILL using 2016 models as Nate Cohn himself confessed yesterday, which means they are still using 2012 models.

Many are STILL asking for “the youngest voter in the home.”

NONE are capturing the “shy voter,” whom now three separate pollsters have admitted they are having tremendous difficulty identifying.

Bottom line: Trump is ahead in all these states, some more than others. I think MI and WI are close, but bigger than Trump’s 2016 margin. Trump himself has flatly stated his polls have them up in PA, GA, OH, FL, and MN. That’s the election right there.


44 posted on 07/29/2020 7:54:26 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Thanks for sharing your superb analysis.

We need FOUR MORE YEARS of PDJT to MAGA AGAIN!!!


45 posted on 07/29/2020 8:02:42 AM PDT by edie1960
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To: vikingd00d

That’s what I’ve heard/read that they’re doing....sampling Dems +10.


46 posted on 07/29/2020 8:04:12 AM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: RandFan; dp0622; PghBaldy; All
Basement Joe can't even walk around, by himself. Here he's being escorted/led, by a freaking staffer...

OMG they’re escorting Biden like a child to make sure he doesn’t stop and so he remembers where he’s supposed to go. This whole thing is a farce. Wake up America. How the heck could this guy run anything let alone America? https://t.co/lLpneRF483— Donald Trump Jr. (@DonaldJTrumpJr) July 29, 2020

Trump needs to play this clip, in an ad, over and over.

47 posted on 07/29/2020 8:07:14 AM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: RandFan

Registered or likely voters?


48 posted on 07/29/2020 4:54:34 PM PDT by MSF BU
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To: MSF BU
Registered or likely voters?

People over 18.

49 posted on 07/29/2020 4:55:57 PM PDT by Ratman0823 (Today's news is all about the Leftist's "narrative". If it doesn't fit, the sheeple don't see it.)
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To: Ratman0823

Oh, so in other words exchange students from overseas and illegal immigrants are reflected too.


50 posted on 07/30/2020 6:46:25 AM PDT by MSF BU
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To: MSF BU

It wouldn’t surprise me one bit. The Dims will do ANYTHING to remove President Trump in November. Hopefully, it will end in abject failure like the other 10 or 15 tries they’ve attempted.


51 posted on 07/30/2020 7:17:56 PM PDT by Ratman0823 (Today's news is all about the Leftist's "narrative". If it doesn't fit, the sheeple don't see it.)
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