51.7 Biden
44.7 Trump
10/26/2020
Watch it get closer and closer to election day so these pollsters who are all blatant liars can save face
Wishful thinking. Like every other poll, this is intended to change opinion rather than reflect it.
It’s all about Party breakdown and assumed turn out models used and of course what ever bias or special sauce the pollsters decide to use.
Nothing has really changed since 2016. Polls are mostly bullshit and we won’t know until after election day which were correct.
Bogus!! I got this on 10/22! Here are the real world numbers! I just got these latest numbers three days ago from my friend who is friends with the independent pollster who is one of the best. Notice the national poll numbers and number of respondents:
NJ Trump 45 Biden 48
NM Trump 45 Biden 46
OR Trump 46 Biden 47
NV Trump 49 Biden 46
CO Trump 47 Biden 47
WI Trump 50 Biden 45
NH Trump 49 Biden 46
ME Trump 48 Biden 46
VA Trump 47 Biden 47
PA Trump 50 Biden 45
MN Trump 47 Biden 44
AZ Trump 50 Biden 45
MI Trump 50 Biden 44
FLA Trump 52 Biden 44
TX Trump 54 Biden 42
NC Trump 53 Biden 43
OH Trump 53 Biden 41
IA Trump 54 Biden 41
Real Clear Independent Pollster
IA: Ernst +1 Ernst +13
AZ: Kelly +2 McSally +5
MN: Smith +1 Lewis/Smith tied
TX: Cornyn+6 Cornyn +14
National Poll: At least 100 people in each Congressional District have been polled Almost 44 to 50 thousand respondents
Trump 51.2 Biden 44.4
It is a national poll, broken out by region and demographics. The election is by Electoral college. Even if the percentages were correct, which I doubt, it matters by state. Large polling in Cali, MA, NY and a few others can really skew the data.
RE: IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll
I don’t like what I see. IBD/TIPP was one of the most accurate polls in 2016. They actually went against the grain 4 years ago and predicted a Trump victory.
Biden is an empty suit. Nobody will vote for someone who literally is not there. The left is hoping people will turn out to vote against Donald Trump not for Joe Biden. I don’t think it will happen.
The Biden camp believes they are winning big, hence Joe can stay in his basement while they are sending Kamala to Texas.
IBD/TIPP was right in 2016, but that’s not to say they’ll be right again this year. Biden is performing worse than Hillary in mostly all early voting. There is no enthusiasm for Biden, only hatred for Trump.
Biden needs to post Obama-like numbers to have a chance and so far, he’s not even close. Obama had people fainting at his rallies, and had kids singing songs about him. Biden has a few hasbeen celebrities.
The only strength Biden has is corrupt press and social media organizations. I personally don’t believe they have as much power as most people attribute to them, but that’s just my opinion.
Just about every indicator of enthusiasm and activity is on Trump’s side. Hard to ignore evidence and positivity on the ground.
If Biden wins, we’re really out of touch with who and what our country actually is, and I just don’t think that’s the case.
Anyone that Believe Biden is ahead in the South by seven points is delusional.
It seems impossible that a racist, corrupt pedophile too cowardly to leave his basement has a chance to win the presidency. I simply refuse to believe it.
Here’s a national poll released this morning with far more likely voters sampled -
OCT 21-25, 2020
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
1,500 LV
Biden 47%
Trump 48%
It does look worrisome to me if Biden is “campaigning” in Georgia this week and Harris is in Texas. This means they think they have the battleground states they need and are expanding their leads.
Of course there’s only so many times you can visit PA I guess.
Hmmmm...
Not good.
They call themselves most accurate, but in 2016 they had Trump 45, Clinton 43.4 and Johnson 7.6. I believe the actuals were Clinton 48, Trump 46 and Johnson 3. Not that accurate if you ask me.
“The latest presidential poll from IBD/TIPP finds a slightly narrower lead for former Vice President Joe Biden, but further cause to doubt that President Donald Trump can mount a comeback in the race’s last eight days.”
can’t wait to see what IBD has to say about this in two weeks ...