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Delta, Delta, Delta (vanity)
Johns Hopkins ^ | 7/24/21 | Johns Hopkins

Posted on 07/26/2021 5:37:21 AM PDT by JonPreston

CHARTS



TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: chart; delta; india; vanity; variant; virus
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If you look at the COVID-19 chart from India, it appears the Delta (India) variant has an approximate 6-week spike followed by a sharp return to normal. India appears to be past Delta. The UK followed this same app. 6-week spike and is now in the downturn. America has begun the Delta uptick and if India and the UK are a guide, cases will rise for app. a month followed by a sharp decline come the start of September (+/-)
1 posted on 07/26/2021 5:37:21 AM PDT by JonPreston
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To: JonPreston

Six weeks is just enough time to force the vax on everybody and then claim victory with the decline.


2 posted on 07/26/2021 5:42:38 AM PDT by xenia ("In times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act." George Orwell)
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To: JonPreston

At which time Biden and his incompetent cronies will claim victory and grab all the glory of defeating the virus....................mark my words.............


3 posted on 07/26/2021 5:42:46 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: JonPreston

Delta seems to be a very contagious mostly non-fatal variant. That’s ideal if we want herd immunity. If this 6-week wave holds true for the US, then I would think that after we get to September, it would be very difficult for the US to see further significant COVID trouble.


4 posted on 07/26/2021 5:42:48 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy
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To: JonPreston

The problem with India’s figures is that information gathering is problematic at best. Health care in rural areas is practically non-existent, testing is not being done so identifying and tallying cases and deaths is extremely difficult. I’ve read stories that say you should be multiplying the India figures by a factor of 10.


5 posted on 07/26/2021 5:42:52 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: xenia

GMTA!....................


6 posted on 07/26/2021 5:43:08 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: JonPreston

With 80% of Boomers vaxxed, the case #’s seem irrelevant. The real number is hospitalizations and deaths. Those numbers are hard to get a fix on because the data is delayed or just dumped into a period. That’s why 29 people died on the 18th and 789 on the 21st(July).


7 posted on 07/26/2021 5:44:46 AM PDT by AppyPappy (How many fingers am I holding up, Winston? )
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To: Red Badger

Benedict Biden: THAT’S HIS NAME!

Destroying America: THAT’S HIS GAME!!


8 posted on 07/26/2021 5:47:04 AM PDT by 2harddrive (FREE 3D-printable Firearm blueprints available here: https://drive.google.com/drive/mobile/folders/)
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To: DoodleDawg

That is true. At the same time, India normally has huge numbers of upper respiratory problems at this time of year due to the terrible air pollution, dust/dirt and heat. Throw the high numbers of TB into the mix and you have a potent recipe for lots of illness because so many people’s lungs are compromised.


9 posted on 07/26/2021 5:50:09 AM PDT by Madam Theophilus
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To: AppyPappy
Due to all the inconsistencies of how deaths are recorded (with regard to cause of death), it might be better to just look at overall deaths in general.

That would filter out all the subjectivity.

For example, how many total deaths (regardless of cause) occurred during the January to June period of 2021? Then do a YOY comparison of January to June 2020 and so forth.

I'm thinking that as a total number, the increase YOY of total deaths will not look so alarming. This would also indicate that deaths attributable to "COVID" are largely offset by a decrease in deaths from other causes.

On an anectodal note, there is a funeral home in my town that I drive by often. It really doesn't look any busier than it ever did in the past. In fact, it's quiet much of the time with an empty parking lot.

10 posted on 07/26/2021 5:52:39 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (Give me a Pigfoot and a Bottle of Beer)
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To: DoodleDawg

I’ve read a story about an epidemiologist who says we should be multiplying US case counts by 3X-4X. This was as of January or February. Lots of people get the disease who have a really minor case/experience, and never show up in official case counts.


11 posted on 07/26/2021 5:55:27 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: JonPreston
As I've said before: Delta is the vaccine. It's free and has a few side effects, but less severe than the other variants. Some people here said back in April 2020, maybe earlier: let the thing spread and mutate so we get it over with. They were right. I didn't believe them, but I do now.
12 posted on 07/26/2021 5:59:19 AM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
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To: FreedomPoster
That's correct. CDC says 34% infected and officially 10% of Americans were diagnosed.
13 posted on 07/26/2021 6:00:11 AM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
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To: SamAdams76

The problem has been that Covid is a culling disease. It kills the elderly and sick. So the death numbers probably aren’t radically different from the usual numbers. So far, the vaccine has kept Covid out of the lungs of people who got it but the 85+ crowd has lower vax numbers than the Boomers below them. That may be the current death numbers. Also, the death numbers are people WITH Covid whether it killed them or not.

The paramedic that took my family member to the hospital said he could hear Covid lungs in his sleep because he had heard it so much.


14 posted on 07/26/2021 6:03:19 AM PDT by AppyPappy (How many fingers am I holding up, Winston? )
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To: JonPreston

I don’t trust anything coming from Fauci’s CDC, MSM, or pharmaceutical companies.

Does Delta even exist? Do they really have an electron microscope at every clinic, or is there some easy way to know what variant a virus is everywhere?


15 posted on 07/26/2021 6:03:27 AM PDT by MNDude
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To: JonPreston

If these numbers were arrived at using the totally discredited PCR test then this is a waste of time.


16 posted on 07/26/2021 6:18:13 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: SamAdams76
I like your TSM (trailing six month) to TSM approach. It washes out the likely impact of SEASONALITY .

The majority of deaths in most countries can be attributed to causes that feature a distinct seasonal pattern. The figure depicts the relative monthly frequencies of nine selected causes of death in the United States for women and men combined for the years 1959–2014. The reported number of counts in parentheses in the title of each panel is the actual number of deaths.

While the variant spikes in India and the U.K. (if that's what they are...it could also reflect vaxxed people feeling invincible and returning to 3-second hand washing and licking doorknobs etc.) may abate soon, the autumnal equinox will undoubtedly be accompanied by a case/fatality etc uptick.

Why? Viruses gonna virus. Even non-viruses gonna non-virus - even non-airborne killers have seasonality.

Anyone who promotes eradication of the "systematic risk" in a free society as a policy goal is either a fool or a statist (or both). It's like the war on drugs...liberty is destroyed, lives are lost, and Leviathan grows.

A very likely reality, is that this bug will be with us forever - like influenza, it'll be a highly contagious but more fatal (case fatality rate of about 1.8% vs 0.2% for influenza) and seasonal annoyance. When faced with this reality, we should follow the policy prescriptions of a wise FReeper: Quarantine the sick. Protect the vulnerable. Free everyone else.


17 posted on 07/26/2021 6:19:22 AM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s^2)
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To: DoodleDawg

And I’ve read stories /s which correlate the drop in India deaths to use of Ivermectin, and that the drop in cases in urban areas corresponds to what is happening in poorly reported rural areas. Deaths may eventually be adjusted upwards, but the trend remains the same.


18 posted on 07/26/2021 6:29:47 AM PDT by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)
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To: DoodleBob
Quarantine the sick. Protect the vulnerable. Free everyone else.

That's essentially what I've been saying since around April of last year. But, not nearly so elegantly. I LOVE it !

19 posted on 07/26/2021 6:34:40 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!it)
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To: Madam Theophilus

That is true. At the same time, India normally has huge numbers of upper respiratory problems at this time of year due to the terrible air pollution, dust/dirt and heat. Throw the high numbers of TB into the mix and you have a potent recipe for lots of illness because so many people’s lungs are compromised.


India has a very high incidence of diabetes.......also a significant complicating factor.


20 posted on 07/26/2021 6:46:25 AM PDT by GotMojo ( )
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