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Does the spike in oil prices presage an economic downturn?
The hill ^ | 03/08/2022 | VIVEKANAND JAYAKUMAR

Posted on 03/08/2022 12:34:36 PM PST by ChicagoConservative27

The threat of further sanctions on Russia has caused global crude oil prices to surge. U.S. business cycle history suggests that a sharp spike in oil prices may portend a recession.

That the Federal Reserve missed the window of opportunity last year to painlessly remove monetary accommodation and initiate monetary tightening has made the current situation particularly dicey. With inflation rates already at 40-year highs, and yet to peak, a stagflationary outcome is hard to rule out.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; Russia; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: chechens; chechnya; economic; gasprices; mediawingofthednc; oil; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; prices; putinsbuttboys; putinworshippers; ronklain; russia; russianaggression; spike; thehill; theshill; ukraine; vivekanandjayakumar; zottherussiantrolls
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Yes and yes
1 posted on 03/08/2022 12:34:36 PM PST by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Let’s ask Ginger Goebbels............


2 posted on 03/08/2022 12:35:32 PM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Let me think about it for second. YOU BET!


3 posted on 03/08/2022 12:37:48 PM PST by HighSierra5 (The only way you know a commie is lying is when they open their pieholes.p)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Yes, 3rd Quarter negative economic growth, with inflation.


4 posted on 03/08/2022 12:38:58 PM PST by BusterDog
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To: ChicagoConservative27

We were already heading for an economic downturn, Dear The Hill Author, this sh*t only going to hasten such.......


5 posted on 03/08/2022 12:40:05 PM PST by cranked
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To: BusterDog

“Yes, 3rd Quarter negative economic growth, with inflation.”

Yes - what BusterDog said.


6 posted on 03/08/2022 12:40:27 PM PST by plain talk
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To: Red Badger

Peter Doocy tried to explain this to her.


7 posted on 03/08/2022 12:41:46 PM PST by rdl6989 ( )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

For every action there is an equal and opposite OVER-reaction.


8 posted on 03/08/2022 12:41:48 PM PST by READINABLUESTATE ( ‘When tyranny becomes law, resistance becomes duty.’)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I guess no one has ever heard of a yield curve?


9 posted on 03/08/2022 12:42:41 PM PST by nickcarraway
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To: rdl6989

It’s over her head.................


10 posted on 03/08/2022 12:43:04 PM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

This looks just like the housing bubble in 2008. If you remember the price of oil shot up tremendously, then people had to decide whether they were going to drive to work or pay their mortgage. So when it all crashed we were left with the “messiah”.


11 posted on 03/08/2022 12:43:25 PM PST by packagingguy
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I second the motion. Its pretty darn obvious at this point.


12 posted on 03/08/2022 12:44:18 PM PST by buwaya (EPA)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Got to love how Biden is blaming his sh*tty economy and high gas prices on the Russians.

How does he explain all the “I did that” stickers at gas stations and food stores well before Russia moved on Ukraine?


13 posted on 03/08/2022 12:55:05 PM PST by Pxzftrnqfrn
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To: ChicagoConservative27

More omnivorously there is a huge downturn in food production to to increasingly scarce and much more expensive fertilizer. Thanks to the dismantling of the fossil fuel infrastructure natural gas, the key ingredient of fertilizer, simply is not available or too expensive. Also with the downturn in real productivity due to energy shortages, there will be inflation and many if not most people in the third world simply will not be able to afford what food is available. If there are poor harvests in India and China, there will not only be hunger but famine as well. Surefire formula for widespread wars. Thank a green activist and the moronic politicians they control, the next time you see one.


14 posted on 03/08/2022 12:55:14 PM PST by allendale
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Ya think?


15 posted on 03/08/2022 12:56:45 PM PST by Basket_of_Deplorables (Putin is behaving rationally. The war is on Biden and Obama.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Everyone has predicted a recession/depression for so many years they have to be right eventually.


16 posted on 03/08/2022 12:57:21 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Definitely will harm the economy, although the extent will be tough to gauge. Investopedia primer:

https://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0511/how-gas-prices-affect-the-economy.aspx

FROM INVESTOPEDIA

KEY TAKEAWAYS

When gas prices rise, it can be a drag on the economy—impacting everything from consumer spending to the price of airline tickets to hiring practices.

Gas is an important input for transportation, which directly impacts households as they drive, but also businesses that rely on logistics and transportation chains around the globe.

If discretionary spending is hampered by higher gasoline costs, it can have knock-on effects throughout the broader economy.

(such as restaurants and retail purchases)


17 posted on 03/08/2022 1:08:54 PM PST by Old West Conservative
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To: ChicagoConservative27

These people are delusional.

Does a large, bleeding, painful lump in your breast probably indicate cancer?

Does a big oil puddle under your car indicate an serious engine problem?

Does fire coming out of a jet engine presage an engine failure?

Does an inability to move one side of your body indicate a stroke?

Does a blood alcohol level of .23 taken after an accident mean you are a drunk driver?


18 posted on 03/08/2022 1:16:20 PM PST by rlmorel (The concept of a "cashless society" is simply a vector for the exercise of tyranny.)
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Does a bear…you know the rest…c’mon man…


19 posted on 03/08/2022 1:16:43 PM PST by TnTnTn
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To: Old West Conservative

The article does not discuss the impact of the cost of a barrel of oil (triple since Bidet stole the election) which affects every product make from petroleum and petroleum byproducts which is a long long list....

https://innovativewealth.com/inflation-monitor/what-products-made-from-petroleum-outside-of-gasoline/

You cannot triple crude oil prices without crushing the economy....

Tick, tick, tick....


20 posted on 03/08/2022 1:20:43 PM PST by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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