Posted on 08/05/2022 10:58:14 AM PDT by RomanSoldier19
SEIZING THE STRATEGIC INITIATIVE’: Russia is taking Ukraine's threat to retake the southern province of Kherson seriously, shifting forces from its eastern front to prepare for an expected Ukrainian assault to reclaim lost territory in the south.
“Ukraine is likely seizing the strategic initiative and forcing Russia to reallocate forces and reprioritize efforts,” says the latest assessment from the Institute for the Study of War. “Russian forces are increasingly transferring personnel and equipment to Kherson and western Zaporizhia Oblasts at the expense of their efforts to seize Slovyansk and Siversk, which they appear to have abandoned.”
“Russian forces are also redeploying military equipment — artillery and aviation in particular — to Crimea from elsewhere in Ukraine,” according to the Washington-based think tank. “Ukraine’s preparations for the counteroffensive in Kherson and the initial operations in that counteroffensive combined with the dramatic weakening of Russian forces generally appear to be allowing Ukraine to begin actively shaping the course of the war for the first time.”
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
“Abandons Donbas offensive”?
Could have fooled me based upon recent gains.
I’ve just been seeing recent reports it’s the Russians that are going on the offensive.
Let me know when they start fighting in Syria again.
Let’s see how they supply and or resupply 25,000 troops and all the equipment of war without a land bridge.
Russia has lost 75,000+ troops in this war of aggression and conquest.
Looks like they want to lose some more and I hope the Ukrainians oblige them.
Know what would be catastrophic but darkly hysterical? If China invaded Russia.
Is this the imminent million man counter offensive?
“Know what would be catastrophic but darkly hysterical? If China invaded Russia.”
In my estimation I believe China will invade eastern Russia >>> this fall <<<. Then they can take advantage of the winter to consolidate their positions while the Russians struggle to send troops to Siberia in the middle of the winter.
Trying to find a way to invade Russia in the winter?
“Trying to find a way to invade Russia in the winter?”
Eastern Russia is virtually undefended right now. 80% to 90% of the Russian forces that had been stationed there were diverted to the Ukraine War. And the units on the Kurile Islands were recently sent to fight in Ukraine as well.
Were China to invade and annex Siberia in the fall then Russia would have to quit the Ukraine War and send their troops 4500 miles east during the Siberian winter to try to retake the territory from a vastly superior opponent.
And I doubt the Russians can do that. More likely they’ll impotently bluster about nuclear threats and do nothing while the Chinese entrench themselves in what used to be Chinese territory anyway.
Hardly......
‘Russia Advances in Donbass Trigger Recriminations in Washington, Kiev; China Continues Taiwan Drills’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fu4SHroJiag&t=2s
“Know what would be catastrophic but darkly hysterical? If China invaded Russia.”
It is not out of the realm of possibility. China has coveted Siberia for a hell of a long time, as it believes Siberia is really part of China.
Definitely not occurring. Nothing more than more propaganda from the US/EU/NATO/Pro-Ukrainian media....
‘Biden White House off-ramp; Pin the blame on Zelensky’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnta5DqJZzI
“Know what would be catastrophic but darkly hysterical? If China invaded Russia the US via Alaska.”
You think that would be hysterical? Gives you the giggles, does it?
Ukraine SitRep - Casualties Leak - Ukraine Admits Russian Breakthrough - Southern Front Paralysis
> New Moon of Alabama
There is an report on Ukraine making the rounds that was allegedly written by the higher command of the Ukrainian army and leaked from somewhere.
Ukrainian channels are discussing what might be a leaked data from AFU General Staff:
- The AFU are only at 43-48% strength
- medical workers at their limit
- small arms and armor are not enough
- 191 thousand soldiers were killed and wounded (only AFU, not including others)
- there is not enough hydraulics and liquid nitrogen for M777 howitzers
- no one cares about the missing - there are no statistics
- the equipment transferred by the West is running out
- western weapons are operated by amateurs, since there are no qualified specialists
- no way to repair weapons on the spot due to the lack of spares and specialists - everything is sent to Poland
BTW, even with this dire report, I would caution against predicting a decisive break in morale. As with Peski, the walking wounded are sent straight back into the trenches
There are some pictures of documents written in cyrillic script attached to the above tweet.
The documents look legit. The overall numbers and issues mentioned seem plausible to me.
[rest at link]
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/08/ukraine-sitrep-casualties-leak-ukraine-admits-russian-breakthrough-southern-front-paralysis.html
Ukraine SitRep - Casualties Leak - Ukraine Admits Russian Breakthrough - Southern Front Paralysis
There is an report on Ukraine making the rounds that was allegedly written by the higher command of the Ukrainian army and leaked from somewhere.
Dr.Snekotron @snekotron - 12:50 UTC · Aug 5, 2022
Ukrainian channels are discussing what might be a leaked data from AFU General Staff:
- The AFU are only at 43-48% strength
- medical workers at their limit
- small arms and armor are not enough
- 191 thousand soldiers were killed and wounded (only AFU, not including others)
- there is not enough hydraulics and liquid nitrogen for M777 howitzers
- no one cares about the missing - there are no statistics
- the equipment transferred by the West is running out
- western weapons are operated by amateurs, since there are no qualified specialists
- no way to repair weapons on the spot due to the lack of spares and specialists - everything is sent to Poland
BTW, even with this dire report, I would caution against predicting a decisive break in morale. As with Peski, the walking wounded are sent straight back into the trenches
There are some pictures of documents written in cyrillic script attached to the above tweet.
The documents look legit. The overall numbers and issues mentioned seem plausible to me. The high number of casualties (plus the missing) is not astonishing. It would be astonished though if the Russian army and its allies have more than one tenth of those. This is mostly an artillery war and the Russian side has had a vast superiority in guns and missiles.
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