Posted on 08/20/2022 7:32:59 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Republicans Adam Laxalt and Sheriff Joe Lombardo now lead their respective races in the swing state of Nevada, according to a Trafalgar Group poll released Friday.
Lombardo, who is running for governor against incumbent Democrat Gov. Steve Sisolak, has taken the lead in the general election race by about three points (46.2 – 43.6 percent). Libertarian Brandon Davis holds 3.8 percent, while other candidates combine for 0.6 percent. 5.8 percent of respondents are undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
So does the Libertarian candidate take more votes from the Republican candidate or the Demorat candidate or neither?
We have to get rid of Sisolak and Cortez-Masto.
This has to be fake. The poll is from Trafalgar and not corporate media or left wing Universities. They tell me Biden is on a roll, people love this economy and democrats lead the generic ballot
I will wait for FOX to chime in and Brett Baier giving me a detailed analysis of the Trump republican implosion……
Fox News Poll Overstated Democratic support in 2020 by an average of:
Arizona: D+9.65
Ohio: D+9.6
Florida: D+9.2
Michigan: D+7.14
Wisconsin: D+6.5
Nevada: D+6.3
Pennsylvania: 6.3
National: D+4.55
The only state they polled correctly was Georgia
Somebody may have clued them in that the GOP SoS was on the Soros payroll.
Usually Libertarian candidates draw votes from Republican candidates.
Yes we do but I don’t have much confidence since we were unable to even get the voter rolls cleaned up after 2020.
Hoping Lombardo can take Vegas. He’s not exactly conservative but hopefully he’s better than Sisolak.
You ain’t the only one. He is totally useless. Don’t really care for Lomardo but holy crap, sissypants(🤡) has gotta go. As does cathy mantoes. Sadly, the NevaDUH legislature will likely remain firmly in demokkkommie control. Thanks to las vegas/Reno. 🤬
That is what I am thinking too.
I also think Perot took more votes from Bush than Clinton in 1992.
Even if Oz loses in Pennsylvania, Walker, Masters and Laxalt are going to unseat Democrats in the Senate.
Meanwhile Johnson in Wisconsin, Budd in North Carolina and Vance in Ohio are going to hold on to Republican seats.
Republicans will be +2 at a minimum in the Senate.
Libertarian and Constitutional candidates take a majority of their votes from Republicans and Green Party and Socialist Party candidates take more from Democrats.
Excellent observation.
It seems to me in most cases Libertarians take 5% of the total vote. Greens and socialists about 2 to 3%. The Demorats seem to have a more loyal core of supporters than the Republicans.
Laxalt did not “take” the lead. They are just referring to the most recent poll that happens to use Likely Voters.My view is that he is, and has been, holding a 2 point lead.
Take a look at the realclearpolitics polls that have been conducted in this race. There are 2 that use Likely Voters and 4 that use Registered Voters.
Laxalt is ahead by 2 in both LV polls. Lombardo is ahead by an average of 4.5 in the 4 RV polls. That’s a 6.5 point difference. Someone is wrong.
If you believe, as I do, that LV polls are more accurate you see that Laxalt has slight edge. Probably not outside the fraud range.
Hispanics.
Laxalt winning gives Repubs 50 seats by my calculations.
They would then need to win one of AZ, GA, or PA. to get to 51. Win all 3 in a wave and they’re at 53.
But don’t forget Collins, Murk, and Romney are considered “repubs” so it’s a very fragile majority, albeit a necessary one to stop the most radical appointments by traitor joe.
They’re already at 50. A net gain of 2 seats results in a 52-48 Republican Majority.
Yes, let’s remember we are in the age of Biden, crime, inflation, education/gender issues which work against all Ds.
Then add an Orc who’s mommy & daddy coddled him for 35 years, and who wants to legalize heroin and loves Bernie Sanders. Ditto in AZ; Blake/Kelly. JD Vance in Ohio looks good. Johnson in Wisconsin....too early to write these off, if there ever was a concern to write any of our guys off given the odor of the democratic party.
Laxalt appears to be another case.
There’s no reason to assume victory, but R hand-wringing is a bit premature.
Remember, house incumbents are the most difficult to replace. Everybody hates politicians, ‘except they like their guy.’
Even if Oz wins Republicans will be +3 at that time. Even if Oz wins Republicans will be +3 at that time.
“I also think Perot took more votes from Bush than Clinton in 1992.”
Hell yeah. It was that, “Read my lips. No new taxes”, statement by 41 that gave the White House to Clinton. After he raised taxes, GOP voters were pissed. (At least that’s how I recall it.)
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