Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Nolte: Two Polls Show Pennsylvania Senate and Governor Races Too Close to Call
Breitbart ^ | 08/25/2022 | John Notle

Posted on 08/25/2022 11:20:18 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

We now have two separate polls showing Pennsylvania’s closely-watched U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races are too close to call.

After a series of polls showed Democrat U.S. Senate candidate and former Mayor John Fetterman with what looked like an insurmountable lead over GOP candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz, that lead is not looking so insurmountable now.

An Emerson poll shows it’s just a four-point Senate race, with Fetterman up 48 to 44 percent.

Trafalgar, which has proven over three election cycles to be a remarkably accurate pollster, also shows a four-point race, with Fetterman up 48 to 44 percent.

Oz’s hurdle is cultural. Fetterman, though he is a left-wing extremist who wants to empty the prisons and kill the economy with enviro-fascism, is selling himself as a regular guy’s regular guy against the effete Dr. Oz.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida; US: Pennsylvania; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2022election; dougmastriano; fetterman; florida; governor; hamiltonjay; johnfetterman; joshshapiro; mastroiani; mehmetoz; oz; pa2022election; paping; pennsylvania; races; rondesantis; senate; shapiro
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-74 next last
But but fox news polls!!! (s)
1 posted on 08/25/2022 11:20:18 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Yes, fox News polls are among the worst, if not the worst.


2 posted on 08/25/2022 11:25:14 AM PDT by laplata (They want each crisis to take the greatest toll possible.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

That must mean the Repub.’s are leading.


3 posted on 08/25/2022 11:26:43 AM PDT by Son-Joshua ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Expect the usual drill in one or both races: polls will close, R-candidate will be ahead buy 1/2 a percent or so. Then the demhole will cut the lead in half with the recount. Then, of course, boxes of overlooked ballots will be miraculously discovered....and of course these will favor the demhole 98-2.
Then the R-lead will be down to a thousand votes or so....then another recount, more new found ballots.....etc, etc, etc, ...

it’ll happen as many times as necessary until the demhole is in the lead. then the results are certified within 24-hours.

the Republicans are like Charlie Brown trying to kick the football Lucy is holding....


4 posted on 08/25/2022 11:28:32 AM PDT by wny
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Big manly communist American vs effete crudite-eating capitalist Turk.


5 posted on 08/25/2022 11:29:44 AM PDT by nwrep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: laplata

Trafalgar poll I dug into. It grossly oversampled women and Republicans and under sampled independents, don’t know about the Emerson, haven’t seen it. I also suspect, but don’t know, because it didn’t list it, that they may oversampled eastern pa as well.

I really wouldn’t. Get excited by the Trafalgar poll based on what it’s internals look like.


6 posted on 08/25/2022 11:31:31 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

The Sleestak God. Land of the Lost.


7 posted on 08/25/2022 11:36:36 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: HamiltonJay

Emerson internals D+ 4.7


8 posted on 08/25/2022 11:45:02 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Let’s go Brandon!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: BigEdLB

Even with that Trump +5 over Dr Dementia


9 posted on 08/25/2022 11:45:53 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Let’s go Brandon!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

How heavy did they oversample Dems?


10 posted on 08/25/2022 11:48:02 AM PDT by bray (The Vax is fake and deadly)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nwrep

This crudite plate looks good. I like shrimp
11 posted on 08/25/2022 11:50:31 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Let’s go Brandon!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: bray
Emerson internals:
link
12 posted on 08/25/2022 11:52:46 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Let’s go Brandon!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: BigEdLB

“Emerson internals D+ 4.7”

As of the last voter registration update in PA, Democrats actually outnumber Republicans by over 6% (45.7% to 39.5%).

So in fact Emerson oversampled Republicans since (for those who may be mathematically challenged) 6% is greater than 4.7%.

The only reason for a liberal pollster to oversample Republicans at this time to pretend the gap is closing, and then sometime after the all-important arbitrary Labor Day deadline when the campaign REALLY starts (as if this is still 1932 or something) they can re-do the poll with the correct sample and breathlessly claim “Democrat Drooler Surges to Massive Lead in PA!!!!”


13 posted on 08/25/2022 11:53:38 AM PDT by PermaRag (We have SO many targets, and -- for now -- the means to see they get what they deserve.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Son-Joshua

Republicans can never lead in polls.


14 posted on 08/25/2022 11:54:05 AM PDT by Luke21
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Put Dr Oz and on a bicycle or something requiring good health and have a commercial showing his good health. The let him talk about the crime in the cities, inflation and the border. Hold it to two or three key issues and pound them home.


15 posted on 08/25/2022 11:54:31 AM PDT by Midwesterner53
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bray

If you’re referring to Emerson, they didn’t “oversample Dems”. Just because more Democrats were in the poll than Republicans doesn’t mean “oversampled”.

See post 13.


16 posted on 08/25/2022 11:55:05 AM PDT by PermaRag (We have SO many targets, and -- for now -- the means to see they get what they deserve.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: HamiltonJay

PA registered voters:

4.02 Million (D)
3.4 Million (R)
1.3 Million (I)

If (D) voters aren’t engaged there’s a good chance we could win one of the positions. I’d prefer Governor but I’m not too optimistic.

Philly is notorious for cheating and PA likes “middle of the road” candidates. Which is suspicious, because they should LOVE someone like Oz and hate Mastriano. However, both are polling “bad”? Something just doesn’t add up.


17 posted on 08/25/2022 11:57:47 AM PDT by mikelets456
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: laplata

Side Bar Note: The real honestly elected, POTUS, Donald John Trump will be holding a massive political campaign rally in Mohegan Sun Arena, Casey,Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania Saturday, September, 3rd, 2022. Be there!!! Arena Capacity around 10,000 people!!!

Please quickly contact the Trump Web Site to request free tickets (2) each request. We are going into the fourth turn headed into the November, Mid-Term Elections, so...please turnout in massive support numbers....across the board!!!

Trump has just come off a gigantic win of primary elections in Florida and New York!!! Support Trump and all those good folks, women and men that he has endorsed and is supporting!!!
Be There, Be There, Be There!!! “VICTORY”!!!


18 posted on 08/25/2022 11:59:25 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

I just returned from a trip to Lancaster County. I took the highway down and back roads up. That’s about two hours driving total. Zero Fetterman and Zero Shapiro signs. There are still occasional Trump signs and flags and plenty of new signs for Republicans in November races.


19 posted on 08/25/2022 12:00:17 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wny

Regardless what the outcome is if we lose both houses consider America dead and buried. The diabolical rats will bury us so deep we won’t be able to scratch our way out of that grave! I fear so much for my grandchildren. We need Strong Brave Top Gun MAGA Patriots(SBTGMP) to fight along our commander-in-chief President Trump! Folks this is a battle we cannot afford to lose! Unfortunately we’re gonna have to do the job for McConnell and McCarthy because they’re just sitting on their butts doing absolutely nothing to encourage the base! But I got news for them if we win both houses we want them in the corner out of the majority seats!


20 posted on 08/25/2022 12:00:38 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-74 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson