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Latest Trafalgar Polls - Missouri Senate, Pennsylvania Governor and Senate Races

Posted on 11/04/2022 7:02:19 AM PDT by cotton1706



TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; US: Missouri; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: dougmastriano; droz; elections; ericschmitt; fetterman; joshshapiro; mastriano; missouri; pennsylvania; polls; trafalgar; trudyvalentine
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My hope is that Republicans are keeping quiet in Pennsylvania and Mastriano will be able to pull off a win, or that Oz's support pulls him over the line.

We'll see.

1 posted on 11/04/2022 7:02:19 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706
I think Mastriano wins.
People forget VA/NJ. This was the poll a week before Ciattarelli almost won.


2 posted on 11/04/2022 7:04:50 AM PDT by struggle
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To: struggle

“I think Mastriano wins.
People forget VA/NJ. This was the poll a week before Ciattarelli almost won.”

I think you’re right. I also hope you’re right.


3 posted on 11/04/2022 7:06:21 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

New @trafalgar_group #PASen #Poll (11/01-03) shows #Oz taking the lead in a tight race to the end #papol

47.7% @DrOz
45.5% @JohnFetterman
3.0% Other
3.7% Und

See Report: https://t.co/8hyRAV90g7 pic.twitter.com/hQRrOv4YwG— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) November 4, 2022


4 posted on 11/04/2022 7:08:56 AM PDT by conservative98
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To: cotton1706

Oz is the pull for the others. He certainly was the right pick. There really was no one else. And I like him.


5 posted on 11/04/2022 7:09:03 AM PDT by Sacajaweau ( )
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To: conservative98

New @trafalgar_group #PAGov #Poll (11/01-03) shows #Shapiro still leading but #Mastriano closing gap #papol:

49.7% @JoshShapiroPA
45.4% @dougmastriano
2.0% Other
2.9% Und

See Report: https://t.co/eW9e8OSn4j pic.twitter.com/WMzMTLarwt— The Trafalgar Group (@trafalgar_group) November 4, 2022


6 posted on 11/04/2022 7:09:26 AM PDT by conservative98
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To: cotton1706

>I think you’re right. I also hope you’re right.

Rust belt states are weird like that. They don’t answer polls and NJ PA OH MI WI etc tend to flip +5 to +10 R. This is in addition to Indie votes (which are relatively small) in PA going 60%+ to R. I don’t think many Ds will flip R, but I don’t see any reason that Shapiro has popular support except from the rabid left.

I’m really curious to see if Ds sit out election day completely as well. Fetterman was so shockingly impaired, there’s just no way at least a small percentage doesn’t just walk away.


7 posted on 11/04/2022 7:10:00 AM PDT by struggle
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To: struggle

that’s what I think. dems won’t vote republican but they’ll hate their choices so much —they just won’t show to vote.


8 posted on 11/04/2022 7:15:36 AM PDT by ckilmer (q)
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To: cotton1706
That Mastriano is this close despite being outspent $infinity to $50 is pretty impressive.

This race is key. If Republicans want to win the presidency in 2024, we need a non-cheater as PA governor.
9 posted on 11/04/2022 7:17:39 AM PDT by Antoninus (Republicans are all honorable men.)
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To: ckilmer
but they’ll hate their choices so much —they just won’t show to vote.

Therein lies the problem. Those Ds who don't show up to vote, will have their votes cast on their behalf by the activists in charge of counting the vote. That's been the Philly way for decades.
10 posted on 11/04/2022 7:19:16 AM PDT by Antoninus (Republicans are all honorable men.)
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To: Antoninus

We doubled our contribution to him this week.

Hope others chip in, how they can.


11 posted on 11/04/2022 7:23:23 AM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: cotton1706

If people get in the voting booth and vote for Oz, I doubt they’d turn around and vote for Shapiro.

If they vote for Oz, they’re absolutely more likely to vote for Mastriano, too.


12 posted on 11/04/2022 7:33:16 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (Rush, we're missing your take on all of this!)
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To: cotton1706

The more I see and hear Oz, the more I like him. I’m now fully on board with him and think he is exactly right for Pennsylvania as a senator. I think he probably will be better than Toomey. And I started off thinking Oz was a New Age scam artist. If Fetterman wins, I’ll be so disappointed that the state picked the very definition of a Loser over Oz.


13 posted on 11/04/2022 7:35:31 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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To: Alas Babylon!

“If people get in the voting booth and vote for Oz, I doubt they’d turn around and vote for Shapiro.

If they vote for Oz, they’re absolutely more likely to vote for Mastriano, too.”

I think that’s true as well but there are people who split their tickets, and the Karl Rove’s and Charlie Dent’s of the world don’t help in their campaigns against Mastriano.


14 posted on 11/04/2022 7:38:08 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: Opinionated Blowhard

“The more I see and hear Oz, the more I like him. I’m now fully on board with him and think he is exactly right for Pennsylvania as a senator. I think he probably will be better than Toomey. And I started off thinking Oz was a New Age scam artist. If Fetterman wins, I’ll be so disappointed that the state picked the very definition of a Loser over Oz.”

I’m in MA but listen to Philadelphia radio in the morning and have heard Oz on Chris Stigall’s show. He DOES sound like a very good candidate, speaks his mind without the usual mealy-mouthed crap that we would have heard from an Establishment type.

So I agree with you. I think he’ll be a good Senator.


15 posted on 11/04/2022 7:39:58 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

I live in MO, and a conservative part of MO at that. Only seen a couple of Busch Valentine yard signs, but frankly haven’t seen signs for Schmitt. The Valentine ads all seem to feature a farmer saying, “Schmitt voted twice to let the Chinese buy our farmland!” But I don’t see that moving too many voters at all.

I think the seat will stay Republican and it will be a more reliable Republican vote to boot.


16 posted on 11/04/2022 7:54:33 AM PDT by hanamizu
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To: hanamizu

There’s very few yard signs here in Eastern,PA.....I only see some of the radical signs when I go into the Boroughs and a few sprinkled throughout the neighborhood.

Just about everyone on my block is either Republicans or Staunch Trump supporters....Not a single sign out front but they are pissed and are voting. I didn’t put out signs either-—I’m tired of broadcasting who I vote for...plus the signs are a pain every time I have to cut the grass or rake leaves.


17 posted on 11/04/2022 8:03:55 AM PDT by mikelets456
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To: Sacajaweau

I didn’t know until I saw him on Newsmax.
He could be like Glenn Youngkin who we all thought was going to be a RINO.
In any case, he will be lightyears better than Fetterman.


18 posted on 11/04/2022 8:08:17 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: conservative98

Too late for Mastriano unfortunately.


19 posted on 11/04/2022 8:08:26 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: Antoninus

ballot harvesters will gobble up all the non-voting ballots and fill them out for them “as a public service”.


20 posted on 11/04/2022 8:37:49 AM PDT by imabadboy99
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