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Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is in fourth place in the early primary state of New Hampshire and inching close to fifth, the latest Trafalgar Group survey found. They survey asked Republican primary voters — those who said they were either “very likely” or “likely” to vote — who they would support in the GOP primary if it were held today. Former President Donald Trump leads the pack with 45.1 percent support, followed by former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who came in 27 points behind with 18.1 percent support. Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie came in third place with...

Republican J.D. Vance secured 53.9 percent of support from likely voters in the Ohio U.S. Senate race and has a ten-point lead over Democrat Rep. Tim Ryan in the latest Trafalgar Group poll. Trafalgar’s late Sunday night poll showed that 53.9 percent of voters in Ohio would support Vance in the midterm election in just two days, compared to the 43.5 percent who said they would support the Democrat. Only 2.5 percent were undecided.

Interesting Trafalgar results. It's a well known phenomenon that election polls are more accurate if they ask participants how others will vote: Much more predictive than asking who are you going to vote for. This way it includes all kinds of people who are not participating in polls and avoids people hesitating to tell the truth about who they plan to vote for. So Trafalgar always asks this question. Most recent results (October 31, 2022) were published. "Who do you think your neighbors and friends will vote for in the 2022 midterm elections?" Republicans -- 60.6% Democrats -- 35.7% Third...

Pollsters reveal Hispanic, African-American and undecided voters shifting toward Republican candidates as the midterm elections approach on 'Hannity.'

A Trafalgar Group poll this past weekend revealed that a Republican candidate leads a Democrat candidate by 5.3 percentage points on the generic congressional ballot. The poll found that of the 1,079 likely general election voter respondents, 48.2 percent would vote for the generic Republican candidate, while 42.9 percent would vote for the Democrat candidate. Additionally, less than a month before the election, only 8.9 percent said they were undecided.

Allies of Republican Senate candidate Dr Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania have dramatically increased their funding for his candidacy in the state, with new polls released Tuesday suggesting that their contributions are impacting the race. Fetterman currently leads Oz by under 2%, gaining 47.7% of the vote to Oz’s 45.9%, per a September poll by the Trafalgar Group – within the margin of error of 2.9%. In July, the same poll showed Fetterman leading Oz by 5%, outside the margin of error. The new polling data follows reports of concern within Fetterman’s campaign about being outspent by Oz’s team. In a...

New polling shows Pennsylvania Republican gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano pulling close to Democratic rival Josh Shapiro as the contentious governor’s race nears its home stretch. Polling from the Trafalgar Group shows Mastriano within two points of Shapiro, at 45.7% to 47.7%, respectively. That indicates the race may be significantly closer than data from earlier weeks demonstrated.

EXCLUSIVE — The first-ever Alpha News/Trafalgar Group statewide Minnesota poll was released this morning, marking Alpha News’ expansion into polling.Republicans could be on the verge of winning their first statewide race since 2006, with the attorney general’s race representing the best opportunity for a GOP pickup, according to the results.***The results of the new Alpha News/Trafalgar Group poll show tight races in all four statewide contests with just a few days to go until early voting begins.At the top of the ticket, Republican challenger Dr. Scott Jensen trails the [Democrat] incumbent ... by just under 3 points. Only 4.9% of...

Of all the key Senate races to watch, and there certainly are some battleground, the Pennsylvania race to replace retiring Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) may truly be the one to watch. For how likely it supposedly has been that Democrat John Fetterman would win, it turns out a shift in polls shows the momentum may not be on his side, but rather that of his Republican opponent, Dr. Mehmet Oz. It's already been nearly a month since the Trafalgar Group poll was released showing Fetterman's lead against Dr. Oz at just under 5 percentage points. His lead has now shrunk...

Republicans lead Democrats by six points on the generic congressional ballot, according to the latest Trafalgar Group poll released Wednesday. The poll found that of the 1,084 likely general election voters surveyed, 47.2 percent said they would vote for the generic Republican candidate. In contrast, only 41.4 percent of the respondents said they would vote for the generic Democrat.

The FBI raid on former President Trump’s home in Mar-a-Lago has energized independent and Republican voters, a new Trafalgar Group/Convention of States Action survey shows. Asked whether the “FBI raid on President Trump” increased motivation to vote in the 2022 midterm elections, 70 percent of likely general election voters said yes. Among Republicans, 83.3 percent said the raid motivated them to turn out on Election Day, while 71.7 percent of independent voters said the same. Respondents were also asked who they believed to be responsible for the raid. A majority of Republican voters, 76.7 percent, said “Trump’s political enemies,” while...

President Donald Trump maintains his polling lead over President Joe Biden in a potential 2024 matchup, according to Trafalgar Group polling released Monday. Trump leads Biden by 5 Points (47.9 to 42.6 percent) with 9.6 percent undecided. The survey polled 1085 general election voters from July 11-14 with a 2.9 margin of error. The poll sampled four percent more Democrats (39-35 percent).

New polls conducted by the Trafalgar Group show Joe Biden’s approval numbers still in the cellar, and congressional Democrats lagging behind Republicans by over 13 points on the generic ballot. Of the 1,083 likely general election voters surveyed between 01/12/22 and 01/15/22, just 38.7 percent approved of Biden’s performance and 59.2 percent disapproved. Nearly 50 percent of voters said they strongly disapprove of the job Biden is doing. Among Republicans, a mere 10.1 percent approve, and 88.3 percent disapprove. Biden also polled poorly with unaffiliated voters as well, garnering only 30.8 approval versus 67.7 percent disapproval. Biden still enjoys majority...

Virginia’s Republican gubernatorial candidate Glenn Youngkin is in the midst of a dead heat with Democrat challenger Terry McAuliffe in the state’s governor’s race, a Trafalgar Group survey released Tuesday revealed. The survey, taken August 26-29 among 1,074 likely general election voters, asked, “If the election for Governor were held tomorrow, who are you most likely to support?”

The liberal media have made it a mission to convince viewers that businesses need to mandate a COVID-19 vaccination on employees and infringe on freedom. Voters are rejecting the idea. A newly released poll of 1,080 likely voters revealed that a 42.7 percent plurality of respondents were “more likely” (10%) or “much more likely” (32.7%) to do business with companies “NOT requiring employees [to] be vaccinated.” Even more revealing in the poll by The Trafalgar Group — in partnership with Convention of States Action — was that the percentage of voters who were “much more likely” (32.7%) to do business...

One of the nation’s more accurate pollsters is bullish on Sen. Kelly Loeffler’s chances to win her runoff race against Raphael Warnock but less confident that Sen. David Perdue will best Jon Ossoff. “We see the Warnock-Loeffler race as one that will be less close. We feel more confident that Loeffler is going to probably prevail,” Robert Cahaly, the chief pollster for the Trafalgar Group, told the Washington Examiner. “We feel more confident that the other one is going to be closer.” Trafalgar’s most recent polls in Georgia show two different races developing, with Loeffler leading Warnock by almost 7...

The @trafalgar_group team thanks @BretBaier for the shoutout. “All the polls, well except Trafalgar [are having a bad night]”