Is Ballot Tampering and Voter Fraud being factored in?
From your mouth to God’s ears. I really hope you are correct especially with the Senate count. That would put turkey neck on notice.
Nice analysis but it doesn’t take into account the 10,000 mules out there stuffing drop boxes with phony ballots, etc.
The supposition that elections are honest and reliable is no longer valid in the current dictatorship.
Sorry to be so negative. I hope for a landslide but am prepared for the worst. Heaven help us!
My final prediction stands. Anyone still afraid of losing?
I’m right there with you. This election will be like none other in modern history.
50 House seats, 4 Senate seats...BOOK IT!
Don’t count your chickens before they cross the road....................
Only 2 weeks ago, bongino and Hannity et al were being very cagey, very circumspect about GOP prospects in general. Now, they are giddy and arrogant projecting a giant red wave. You just know that they’ve gone too far now and there are going to be some disappointments. Oz, in pennsylvania, in particular, is looking very very shaky. For what rational reason I could never explain.
The unknown factor is how much fraud there will be. Pennsylvania has already said they’re going to need extra time to manufacture votes for Democrats. The better the Republicans do, the bigger that job will be. They can count on the media to cover for them so it’s going to be huge.
I predict Republicans pick up
Governor’s races in Oregon, Wisconsin, Nevada, New Mexico, Minnesota and New York. I think Democrats hold onto the governor’s mansion in Pennsylvania just like Republicans hold on in Arizona and Georgia. This is a net +6 for Republicans
Senate races in New Hampshire, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona. I would guess Democrats hold onto Washington. Republicans hold onto Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina and Pennyslvania. Technically Alaska is going to be held by a Republican (at least officially) either way. This is a net +4 for Republicans.
House races - I think the Republicans end up at 245 which means it will be a net +33 for Republicans.
There will have to be a massive margin of victor for the “R’s” to overcome the now-routine and perfected election fraud the Dems will commit with abandon. They know nothing will happen to them, but they’ll have the right to punish those who point out their fraud.
I agree with will get both the House and the Senate, it’s just a matter of if we win, or win big.
I’m very hopeful for this election, but with one caveat. The Dems in areas they now control have gotten so good at cheating that with any close race we’re going to see the old familiar pattern of temporizing and the consequent discovery of new votes that put the Democrat just over the top. I think it was Mark Steyn who said that in order to win, a Republican had to get himself over the margin of fraud.
Appreciate your diligent research. I hope and pray your correct, or even that the red wave coming is even greater than your predictions.
God bless brother
I’m sorry, but this analysis doesn’t take into account anything other than wishcasting.
You completely ignore the polls, EV data, fundamentals, and most importantly, exposure.
Picking up that many seats in the House, would require cracking deep Blue urban districts that went for Biden by 30 points.
Picking up 7 Senate seats would require holding PA, and then sweeping GA, AZ, NV and NH, PLUS winning CO, WA and then winning two more out of VT, NY, CT, CA, MD, OR and HI.
Insane wishcasting is as bad as the doomer threads.
I DO believe that flipping the House is a guarantee, as well as a likely flip in the Senate.
Beyond that, 240 in the House and 53-54 in the Senate is possible, but your numbers are not.
Turnout and vote-count vigilance will be key.
Voting will be in a massive red wave, but will the counting correspond with it?
My prediction, no matter who holds power the people will not be better off. That being said I’m hoping the Repukes take the house.
Okay, the Republicans “win.” What changes? Asking for a friend.
+7 R in Senate would be 57, not 56.
That would be pretty crazy. Would mean we win all the tossups plus VT, CO, WA, or maybe substitute CT for one of those 3.
Also, IL Gov race is NOT solid D. The Repub has a real chance to win this. Gov. Pigster is under 50% and several polls had the Repub within a couple points.