removing the sanctions will be the last step of the peace process
and it won’t happen at all until the last invading Russian soldier leaves Ukraine
So says the Canadian nobody asked for his opinion. Fix your own country and leave us to fix our own.
“removing the sanctions will be the last step of the peace process
and it won’t happen at all until the last invading Russian soldier leaves Ukraine”
exactly
the very first thing demanded from Ukraine will be that every single russian soldier is out of their country. And there will need to be a few weeks to verify that completely
So says the Canadian nobody asked for his opinion. Fix your own country and leave us to fix our own.
>won’t happen at all until the last invading Russian soldier leaves Ukraine
Ukraine’s borders will be redrawn by then
Magic 8 Ball reading.
They are in the process of mobilizing so that may be conservative.
Modern warfare burns through smart weapons that are difficult to replace in any militarily significant time frame at a rapid burn rate. NATO, including the US, are burning through our stock piles of advanced smart weapons at a stunning rate in our effort to prop up the Ukrainian resistance and keep them from being over run by the Russians. America alone has blown through 25-30% of it's war reserve stock piles of Javelin and Stinger missiles as well as a similar amount of artillery munitions.
These burn rates are unsustainable and due to budgetary constraints, supply chain issues, parts and materials shortages, covid driven labor shortages, energy shortages, and destruction of military/industrial manufacturing base it is becoming very difficult for NATO to replenish these expensive and difficult to manufacture munitions in both the critical short term and also in the longer term.
The Ukraine will face serious challenges as NATO is forced to withdraw the blank check Ukraine has been given - both in the form of billions in direct financial support and in the form of gift in kind of the advanced munitions that have been pretty much the only thing keeping the Ukraine in the fight.
There is a very real chance that neither NATO nor the Ukraine will be in a strong position to dictate terms to Russia - short of direct NATO intervention or a massive increase in supply of of already critically depleted NATO war reserves.