Posted on 06/12/2023 12:41:25 PM PDT by conservative98
Trump has 'what appears to be an insuperable 36-point lead' over the Florida Governor.
New polling of the 2024 Republican presidential race offers good news for Donald Trump and red flags for Ron DeSantis.
“Trump’s edge, when it comes to his own party, again appears insurmountable at this early stage of the nominating process,” claims the memo accompanying the latest I&I/TIPP Poll.
The story is a familiar one of traction for Trump and doldrums for DeSantis. The former President’s 55% support gives him “what appears to be an insuperable 36-point lead” over DeSantis’ 19%.
Other names are even further back.
Former Vice President Mike Pence has 6% support, followed by former United Nations envoy Nikki Haley and current South Carolina U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, both at 3%. Author Vivek Ramaswamy and New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu each have 2% support, meanwhile, with other names further back still.
The poll of 482 likely Republican Primary voters was in the field May 31 through June 2, before Trump’s federal indictment and before Sununu ruled out a run for the White House.
The 36-point Trump lead is well above the margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points for the Republican and Republican-leaning sample.
This poll is in line with the Race to the White House polling average, which shows the former President with 55% support, against 22% for DeSantis.
Race to the White House, at least at this point, sees a lopsided delegate fight. It forecasts Trump with 1,862 delegates in a crowded field, well above the 1,234 needed to win, with DeSantis mired at 539.
In a field that narrows to Trump and DeSantis after Nevada, the landscape is more forbidding still for the Florida Governor. Trump is projected to have 1,971 delegates in that scenario, with DeSantis garnering just 484.
(Excerpt) Read more at floridapolitics.com ...
TIPP POLL: Trump holds 36-point lead for Republican Nomination
• Trump — 55% (+36)
• DeSantis — 19%
• Pence — 6%
• Haley — 3%
• T. Scott — 3%
• Ramaswamy — 2%
• Sununu — 2%
TIPP (A-) | May 31-June 2 | 482 RVhttps://t.co/AsH7BNCXkc pic.twitter.com/XmZ3iBNrYV— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 12, 2023
Better luck next time!
Trump’s up by 36 points. DeSantis must be bad at math if he thinks swinging the 2 % undecideds will get him over the top.
The FIB better get ready for REALLY BIG smack down. Treason for all of them. TREASON.
The first primary election is over 7 months away, and lots of things can happen in 7 months. Show up and vote for the candidate you favor.
The more the Uniparty Industrial Complex tells us they don’t want Trump, the more certain it becomes that Trump is the right one to choose.
Let’s get this very clear. This is a focal moment.
There is no politics. There is only Swamp disruption, and no one else makes any noise about it. You have an array of GOP Swamp filth running so they can live in DC and be part of Swamp Central
None of them talk about disruption. All of them imagine that populism is somehow distasteful because it rejects elites. They imagine themselves superior elites.
Let’s make something clear, here. If Trump is killed, physically, MAGA will vote against the GOPe, even if that means for a Democrat, because Uniparty means Uniparty.
NeverTrumpers and Desimps on the day of Ron’s annoucement: “DeSantis is going to be LEADING in 30 days.....”
This date is 12 days away.
I disagree. And I say this as a Trump supporter. It's probably wise for DeSantis to keep running, if for nothing else than to be in position in case the Dims are successful at persecuting, I mean prosecuting, Trump. Also, it's probably wise to run with future years in mind even if you don't win this time (i.e. 2016 wasn't Trump's first run, maybe DeSantis can win in 2028 with experience and name recognition built from running in 2024).
Based on 482 registered republicans…somewhere. It doesn’t say where.
And it’s an “online” poll. So, it’s self selecting. Over three weeks.
I wouldn’t bet the house on a poll like that.
Anyone except Trump and Vivek is the equivalent of taking the blue pill. Forget everything you’ve learned.
The convention is more than a year away.
And if you think the GOP is going to seat Trump delegates, then you don’t know them like I do.
Yes, and if anything happens that causes a 36% swing you can be sure it’s not on the up and up. That has government trying to hold onto power at all coats written all over it. Things have changed!
Indict him again - he needs to extend his lead to 85%
“The convention is more than a year away.”
That’s a new one from you guys. More excuses. Add it to the list.
Saw a Christie 2024 bumper sticker here in Louisville on Sunday. Couldn’t believe it.
Trump had better hope his fund-raising perks up, because the tsunami of cash he’s using against DeSantis ($15m in ads before DeSantis even announced) is costly.
https://twitter.com/ChristinaPushaw/status/1663606243687014404
DeSantis only starting to return fire after he announced two weeks ago. Trump zeroed out his bankroll way early against Biden in 2020, and had to resort to dunning terminal cancer patients $500 every week as their life force ebbed away. Ended up with no money to go against Biden despite no primary primary challenge. Blamed Brad Parscale for the campaign’s early fizzling when Trump probably pushed for the initial profligate spending to goose his poll numbers. This primary will be like Trump’s failure against Biden in 2020. Trump starts out strong because of lavish spending, then craters as he runs out of cash to counter the opposition’s campaign spending.
At this point the only way to desantis is going to catch up with Trump is if he is indicted too. It’s a badge of honor to be indicted by Democrats, it would add to his resume considerably.
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