>> Looks like the Cain folks have split between Bachmann and Perry. Newts grabbing all the establishment republicans. >>
Oh I think you have to say that Newt got some Cain folks, although I would think Perry and Bachmann got some too.
I was a Cain-Newt-Perry sort of guy - now I”m a Newt-Perry sort. But, I’m not in Iowa....
Perry + Bachmann combined was at around 5 percent. Now Perry + Bachmann combined is 23 percent.
That’s 18 percent. Pretty much all the Cain supporters.
Romney, has dropped from around 25 percent to 12, 13 percent of whom have gone to Newt.
Analysis seems pretty clear.
1. Cain supporters to Perry + Bachmann. Romney supporters to Newt, because Romney can’t win.
Actually, fromer Cain supporters are spread pretty evenly across the candidates.
http://news-releases.uiowa.edu/2011/december/121211Caucus_Haweye_Poll.html
The move to write in Cain is gaining steam. He still has a strong support system, and is still on the ballot in key states.