It cuts both ways. Why is Romney campaigning in Florida, a state that almost everyone on both sides has considered was in the bag for him? On FOX last night, they were saying both campaigns are balancing out best case scenario vs. worst case scenario because neither one has a clue if they’re going to win.
I can see Mitt winning FL, VA, NC, OH, WI, NH and CO before he wins PA. I just don’t think he’s going to lose any of those and still win PA. So PA is really nothing but extra EVs for him. My guess is he only campaigned here as a bluff, to force Obama to devote resources here instead of to states Mitt has a better chance in. Having Clinton waste time here instead of going to OH, WI or VA is a GREAT thing for Mitt.
I don’t think your looking at it right. The theory is that Ohio is a hard battleground simply because of all the negative attacks early in the campaign. PA has no such issue. Coal country has never been hit harder than under Zero. All we have to do is overcome a predictably depressed Phily turnout and we can win it. Democrats have known for years it was only a matter of time before PA went red. This may be the year.
I believe he is in FL well after he has won the state in order to provide coattails for Connie Mack who has been lagging behind.
In VA, Romney needs Allen to win. Without a GOP controlled senate he cannot get his agenda past gorgon Reid.
IIRC, GWB thought he had FL in the bag, so he didn’t go back there just before the election, and we all know how that turned out. He won FL but it was a big damn fight.
So I think Romneys’ just making doubly sure.