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Hurricane Florence Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence Isaac Invest 95L
No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L
at publication deadline

Florence Public Advisory Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence Buoy/Observations near Isaac Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I



TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florence; hurricane; hurricaneflorence; hurricaneflorenceii; isaac; nautinurse; tropical
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To: thoughtomator

The attitude I get in my part of Columbia is concerned but no hysterics or panic (yet).

I found a decent collection of unused sandbags in storage but alas no real sand source in the burbs. There is Lowe’s I guess. I need to make a count of how many I actually have on the truck.

My spouse is a tad on the very nervous side. At most I could protect the garage door area.

The lower yard is out of the question. Simply not enough.

This area didn’t flood during the last big one a few years ago when I almost had my last drink of water. None of the neighbors who have been here longer than us seem to be worried. We moved here about a year ago.

One of my higher ups lives a few hundred yards on past me down another street and nothing happened to her place the last time.

A guy who keeps a boat near me a little while ago that a big concrete place in Sumter had some huge amounts of sand available.

Even if it were true and 378 was ok to travel, that is a good hour ride at least. I get to go by myself and do all the labor.

Taking all that into account, I’d just assume buy as I needed from Lowe’s if I become an entry level sandbagger.


81 posted on 09/12/2018 4:12:03 PM PDT by wally_bert (Terrific! Terrific? Harve Nyquist never ordered any radials.)
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To: snarkpup

Very true. Heck, Ike did substantial damage in the ST. LOUIS, MO, area...


82 posted on 09/12/2018 4:13:14 PM PDT by Paul R.
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To: MplsSteve

WiFi wireless camera

https://www.bestbuy.com/site/arlo-indoor-outdoor-720p-wi-fi-wire-free-security-camera-white-black/2018091.p?skuId=2018091&ref=212&loc=1&gclid=EAIaIQobChMIiqrdxsu23QIVEuDICh36kwjjEAYYAiABEgI4NPD_BwE&gclsrc=aw.ds


83 posted on 09/12/2018 4:13:50 PM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: MplsSteve

“What is an ARLO camera?”

One that takes 8x10 color glossy photos that the judge can’t see.


84 posted on 09/12/2018 4:19:10 PM PDT by RS_Rider (I hate Illinois Nazis)
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To: NautiNurse
Suggestions to those in the path.

Park extra cars in high rise car parks such as office buildings. Of course as for promission and give management contact info.

Ice coolers are great for storage of important papers. They keep water out and float so if you need to wade in high water everything stays dry.

Have cash, sometimes credit card machines are not working.

Travel light, you can't take everything.

Have insurance papers, phone numbers and call as soon as you know of damage. Insurance is a slow process so get ahead of others who wait. Take photos of all damages.

Be prepared for one week on your own, food, water, etc. With large areas of damage help is slow and need is great. So have the basics.

85 posted on 09/12/2018 4:27:53 PM PDT by Lockbox
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

Just read on Fox news that inmates at MacDougall Correctional Institution will not be evacuated. Oh the outrage!/s.


86 posted on 09/12/2018 4:34:10 PM PDT by freebird5850 (Trust Republicans Under My Presindency)
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To: tomkat
All that lumber .. my God .. wind and water simply deconstructed those properties !
Anyone with sense knows that even the best homes aren't forever, but to be taken apart stick by stick and piled up like so many boxes of spaghetti

Indeed - some of the aerial photos of the Katrina "debris line" are amazing. That photo in the previous thread is up close (and I have an acquaintance who lost a house on one of those very streets); the following photo shows where a lot of the lumber ended up - washed a half-mile or more inland. It would've probably gone further, if not for the railroad tracks that were built up and run parallel to the beach road. Between the rail line and the beach, the town of Waveland was pretty much erased in 2005.


87 posted on 09/12/2018 4:34:22 PM PDT by Charles Martel (Progressives are the crab grass in the lawn of life.)
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To: Lockbox

Useful info—thanks for sharing.


88 posted on 09/12/2018 4:44:58 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: All

recon in there now..pressure is up some again..still weakening


89 posted on 09/12/2018 4:45:27 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: MplsSteve
Thanks FRiend 😶 Tatt
90 posted on 09/12/2018 4:48:53 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... (Had I brought Christ with me, the outcome would have been different. Dr.Eric Cunningham)
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To: janetjanet998

this may not even be a CAT 3 right now...according to recon data


91 posted on 09/12/2018 4:49:55 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: MustKnowHistory; wally_bert; RushIsMyTeddyBear; PeteB570; ncalburt

Thanks to everyone for your prayers, thoughts and concerns.

I got 98% of my outside work done. After being admitted to the ER, my stepson was diagnosed with diabetes (blood sugar was near 700) and was probably heading right for a diabetic coma. They are working on getting his blood sugar down. BP is elevated, so prob has high blood pressure as well.

I feel a bit better about things but still uneasy.


92 posted on 09/12/2018 4:50:49 PM PDT by Mr Fuji
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To: Charles Martel

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_part01.asp

part one of a multi part discussion w. pics and maps of katrina’s surge.


93 posted on 09/12/2018 4:52:04 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: janetjanet998

NHC drops it to 120MPH for now....bit IMO its not even that

Sep 12 2018 LOCATION...30.9N 72.5W
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM SE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM ESE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.03 INCHES


94 posted on 09/12/2018 4:52:05 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: wally_bert

You should be OK in Columbia. It won’t be a picnic but if you didn’t get flooded out in the past few years, most likely you won’t this time.


95 posted on 09/12/2018 4:55:00 PM PDT by Mr Fuji
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To: janetjanet998

Good!!!


96 posted on 09/12/2018 4:56:00 PM PDT by Mr Fuji
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To: Mr Fuji

Good to hear things are stabilizing for you.

I’m not that worried about floods in my area. No one around me seems concerned. There is a civil engineer next door and I have yet to see him take any kind of action.

Not that I’m a nosy neighbor, which I’m not but I do pay attention to what’s around me.


97 posted on 09/12/2018 4:57:10 PM PDT by wally_bert (Terrific! Terrific? Harve Nyquist never ordered any radials.)
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To: janetjanet998

One thing to consider is that it will still be moving over the gulf stream, which should strengthen it. Hopefully, it’ll weaken more before going over it.


98 posted on 09/12/2018 4:58:35 PM PDT by Mr Fuji
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To: SE Mom

115 mph. They went with in the end


99 posted on 09/12/2018 5:01:04 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: freebird5850
Just read on Fox news that inmates at MacDougall Correctional Institution will not be evacuated. Oh the outrage!/s.

Someone posted an article about it on Twitter yesterday. The main topic of the article was the SPLC complaining about it.

100 posted on 09/12/2018 5:01:06 PM PDT by snarkpup ("We need to have a REAL political campaign - rivaling the scale of Comic-Con!" - Tan)
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