Posted on 12/22/2019 6:37:01 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum
The nation’s illegal and legal immigration system will help shift 26 congressional seats, primarily from red states, and redistribute them to mostly blue states next year, according to new analysis.
Every year, the United States imports about 1.2 million legal immigrants who largely arrive to reunite with foreign relatives already in the country. This level of annual legal immigration is in addition to the hundreds of thousands of foreign workers who arrive on work visas every year and nearly a million illegal aliens who successfully enter the U.S.
Research by the Center for Immigration Studies’ Steven Camarota and Karen Zeigler finds that annual illegal and legal immigration to the U.S. will redistribute political power in the form of 26 House seats away from a number of red states and towards massively populated blue states like California and New York.
“To put this number in perspective, changing the party of 21 members of the current Congress would flip the majority in the U.S. House,” Camarota and Zeigler note.
2020 Census: Counting Citizens Likely to Shift Power from Illegal Alien-Flooded Coasts to Middle Americahttps://t.co/ybnOBSYTp3
— John Binder 👽 (@JxhnBinder) July 30, 2018
Ohio, a swing state that voted for President Trump in 2016, will get three fewer congressional seats in 2020 due to mass immigration in other states. Michigan and Pennsylvania, also states that voted for Trump in 2016, will each have two fewer congressional seats. Wisconsin, a Trump-supporting swing state, will have its congressional seats cut by at least one.
Red states such as Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, and West Virginia, Camarota and Zeigler predict, will all get one less congressional seat in 2020. Smaller blue states such as Minnesota and Rhode Island will each receive one less...
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
I am shocked.
Every Bush League Republican has contributed to this.
Re-elect them at our peril.
How the Political Map Is Likely to Shift After the 2020 Census (7/22/2019)
So we have a pretty clear idea of which states will be winners and losers in congressional reapportionment, based on Census estimates and projections. According to a late-December 2018 analysis from Election Data Services, Texas will pick up three House seats and Florida two; while Arizona, Colorado, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon will gain one each. New York is projected to lose two seats, while Alabama, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and West Virginia are expected to lose one. California and Minnesota are thought to be on the bubble for possibly losing one seat.
So here's the net result if we take these numbers at face value:
2016 "RED" STATES: Texas (+3), Florida (+2), Arizona (+1), Montana (+1), North Carolina (+1), Alabama (-1), Michigan (-1), Ohio (-1), Pennsylvania (-1) and West Virginia (-1) ... total net change +3
2016 "BLUE" STATES: Colorado (+1), Oregon (+1), New York (-2), Illinois (-1) and Rhode Island (-1) ... total net change -3
It's also worth noting that the two states "on the bubble" for potentially losing one seat after the 2020 census are both BLUE states (California and Minnesota).
New York's decline has been astonishing. After the 1930 census New York had 45 House seats. It had 41 seats as recently as 1972 before the post-1970 redistricting was done. If it loses two seats after 2020 it will be down to 25.
Gotta side with you on that one. More Leftist bilge...
No. Baris has shown that immigrants in FL are disproportionately R voters.
The founders screwed up when they just made the assumption that population = Citizens. They should have clearly stated that only citizens count when proportioning representatives. I have no doubt that is what they intended. They never imagined that the government would be working to flood us with invaders. The only thing that could save us here is mass deportation of illegal citizens before the census. That does not leave us much time.
Correction:
The founders screwed up when they just made the assumption that population = Citizens. They should have clearly stated that only citizens count when proportioning representatives. I have no doubt that is what they intended. They never imagined that the government would be working to flood us with invaders. The only thing that could save us here is mass deportation of illegal immigrants before the census. That does not leave us much time.
Good analysis. My impression is that the people who did the study were more interested in how illegal immigration affected the apportionment of seats than in how those seats were actually going to be apportioned.
All Trump had to do was stand up for the Census count he wanted. I still don’t get why he gave up SO easily.
You are correct, moving a seat from a red to a blue state will not necessarily result in a party change for that seat, there’s still lots of red seats in blue states and vice versa.
No taxation without equality in representation. It’s really that simple. It’s been their plan for 20 years.
Speaker Pelosi is only Speaker Pelosi because of this.
They would actually have to live with their constitutes Increasing the number of congressmen plus repealing the 17th would go a long way towards restoring the republic.
Legal immigration from 3rd world countries should be stopped. To keep letting these people into the country is national suicide. The next step if it’s not stopped will have to be secession by some states. They have our attention diverted while they continue to steal our country.
This is of course largely because Trump didn’t expell the 10s of millions of illegals he promised to when he campaigned the first time.
Yeah, but immigration is flipping some large red states blue. Texas and Georgia are headed in that direction, for example.
The article is far from being stupid. The changes will happen beginning with the 2022 midterms. It will give the Dems more seats. Even if Trump wins in 2020, he could lose the House in 2022 even if we are able to regain it in 2020. And the Dems will be in an even stronger position electorally in 2024 than they are now.
The only thing stupid is the GOP, which has failed to understand how mass immigration will make the Dems the permanent majority party. Like the frog being slowly boiled alive, by the time they realize what is happening, it is too late to jump out of the pot. We still continue to bring in over a million legal permanent immigrants a year, 87% of whom are minorities as classified by the USG. Since 1990 over 35 million legal permanent immigrants, two thirds of whom are eventual Dem voters, have entered this country. Immigrants and their US born children drive 80% of our population growth.
I suggest you read the study to understand the issue. Your NY example clearly shows you haven't a clue. Check out Tables 1 and 2.
Currently NY has 27 House seats. Based on the 2020 census, the number should decline to 26. However, if you take into account the impact of immigrants and their US born children, they would be entitled to 22 seats or just without immigrants, legal and illegal, 23 seats.
Ohio on the other hand will see its number of House seats decline from 16 to 15 based on the 2020 census, but if immigrants and their US born children were not included, Ohio would gain seats to 18.
In 2020, there will be more than 61 million immigrants and their U.S.-born minor children in the United States, representing nearly one in five U.S. residents. In 2020, the average House seat will represent roughly 760,000 people. So it is not surprising that immigration redistributes seats. Of course it is not just the number of immigrants or the number of children that matter. In 2020, just four states (California, Texas, Florida, and New York) will have 53 percent of the nation's immigrants and their U.S.-born children under age 18. It is both the size of this population and its uneven distribution that causes the significant redistribution shown at the bottom of Table 2.
Table 2 shows that Ohio is the biggest loser from immigration, with three fewer seats due to the presence of immigrants and their U.S.-born children residing in other states. Michigan and Pennsylvania will have two fewer seats, while Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia, and Wisconsin will each lose one seat. California is the biggest winner, as it will gain 11 more congressional seats due to immigrants and their young children; New York and Texas will get four more seats each, while Florida will get three seats, New Jersey two seats, and Massachusetts and Illinois one seat each. Table 2 also shows that immigrants (legal and illegal) alone, not including their U.S.-born children, redistribute 18 seats. Ohio would have two fewer seats due to immigrants, while Alabama, Idaho, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Utah would lose one seat under this scenario. California would still be the big winner, followed by New York, Florida, Texas, New Jersey, and Illinois. Immigrants alone, not counting their U.S.-born minor children, have a very large impact on the apportionment of House seats.
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