Posted on 10/15/2020 8:35:21 AM PDT by bort
Some very good news:
In the heavily red "WOW" counties in Wisconsin, roughly 30% of the early voters are either "new" voters or "infrequent" voters, compared to roughly 25% of the voters in Dane County and Milwaukee.
Significance? The WOW counties surround Milwaukee and fueled the surge of Scott Walker and the Wisconsin Republican machine for almost two decades. Trump lost ground in these suburban counties in 2016, but the early numbers appear to show strong Republican-leaning turnout.
By contrast, Dane Co. is the home of the U. of Wisconsin (Madison), a huge, liberal school. Milwaukee obviously has Marquette U. and other schools and is a heavily Democrat area. That Republicans are turning out more "new" and "infrequent" voters than a college town and a Democrat city is highly significant. (continued)
1) Zero votes have been counted. TargetSmart "models" voters based on past voting history/data banks.
2) I am not including 2016 numbers because they are meaningless in 2020. With the Dems push for mail voting, Trump's comments critical of mail voting, the China Virus potentially scaring voters from the polls, etc., past numbers mean very little.
3) Trump has the potential of picking up large numbers of votes out of the WOW counties. Discuss...
Ping
Spot-on. Will post Milwaukee/Dane relative to rest of state.
A lot of republicans in the WOW counties sat out the 2016 and 2018 election due to Charlie Sykes blasting Trump. Now many of those Republicans have swung back to Trump, partially due to the abysmal response to the BLM/Antifa violence in Milwaukee, Kenosha, and Wauwatosa.
“In the heavily red “WOW” counties in Wisconsin, roughly 30% of the early voters are either “new” voters or “infrequent” voters...”
The one thing we do know is that new or infrequent voters are going strong Trump.
I’m sure the media polls like NBC and ABC/Wash Post are picking up on infrequent and new voters, cause those polls are so committed to truth, and not shaping the narrative......
Are the Koch funded Quisling Republicans advertising heavily in those counties?
This is “TargetSmart.” Don’t know if I trust them.
Not so humblegunner will be by shortly to blast you for pimping your blog.
Me? I just ask that when you or anyone posts something they wrote they add (vanity) to the title.
Also what does WOW stand for? Is it the initials of those counties, or what?
Thanks in advance...
Numbers I looked up about a week ago:
Interesting Factoid: Wisconsin has fewer registered voters today than the 2016 election.
Oct 1, 2020: 3,583,804 (https://elections.wi.gov/node/7147)
Nov 16 2016: 3,619,996 (https://elections.wi.gov/node/4420)
That is quite astonishing. Florida by contrast is increased by over 1 million voters in 4 years. Texas by 2 million.
I think college students are part of that. Students in the past 4 years graduated and relocated throughout the country. College students in 2020 haven’t registered to replace them. Also the pandemic has knee capped Dem voter registration drives throughout the state and country.
Have to feel more Clinton voters have disappeared than Trump voters.
When I was a kid rowing up in Wisconsin, students could NOT VOTE as residents of the state.
They could only vote absentee from their home addresses if they were out of state students. In state students also voted absentee using parent’s addresses.
IMO, Students have been double voting for years.
Like New York City liberals voting in New York AND in Florida?
Like that?
BTW, have any potential buyers shown up for that lovely horse breeding property?
First, I do not have a blog. Second, the WOW counties are Washington, Ozaukee, and Waukesha counties that surround Milwaukee.
This is “TargetSmart.” Don’t know if I trust them
———______
You can trust them 100% on the voter history of the early voters. The information I posted is not a model. TS gets the information straight from voter file information from the board of elections. Bottom line: WOW counties early voters are more likely to be new or infrequent voters than those in Dane/Milwaukee.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_of_Warcraft
Original poster doesn’t define acronyms, you can insert your own.
Thanks.
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