An hour ago the PredictIt shifted hard towards Youngkin win, as did BetFair:
Posted on 11/02/2021 1:25:41 PM PDT by Az Joe
“if people think in 2022 midterms the Dems are gonna get their butts kicked they are living in a dream world..”
Agree. Got a local early morning conservative radio talk show guy here that thinks all that is a big paranoid delusion.
If/when the dems hold the house and or senate next year I plan to call in every day to remind him how wrong he was.
Doesn’t really tell you anything. Many pros bet both sides of a question, adding to their bids on one side or the other as things progress.
This could just be people who think they are too heavy on the other side, cutting their risk.
We only need to go back to 2016 when the prediction markets were absolutely sure Hillary was unstoppable.
Until she wasn’t.
People around here don’t seem to understand how powerful and popular democrats are these days despite results or the economy or anything.
I’ll wager Abbott loses TX and Desantis loses FL never time as well.
Next time
Preditic is more like track para mutual betting where the amount of $$$ determines the odds rather than bookmakers skewing the odds to keep them in the middle and balanced.
But they don't have any less knowledge either. If I was going to BET, I'd bet on McAuliffe as well. The Republican will be leading at midnight, but the mail-in votes will come in and change everything.
Talk about fools being separated from their money. Betting against an American Democrat in one of our banana republic elections is as stupid as it gets.
The Dems know that with mail in ballot voting, they cant lose..who cares what the polls say..Fox News poll has Youngkin up EIGHT points..Id love to know who they polled because other places had Youngkin up 2.3 points which is well within the margin of fraud..I never believed for one second that Youngkin was up EIGHT points no way, maybe 3 or 4 points but 8, yeah not possible, not in Virginia..will see what happens tonight but yeah the Dems know how to cheat, 2022 wont be easy
Yeah, at the ‘climate change BS meeting’ Biden acted like he knew ‘the win’. I almost thought he was going to spill the spread...
well, there you go.....
The chatter over there is that the numbers in NOVA are coming in too strong for McYoung to overcome.
Just created your FR account a few days ago huh?
By the looks of your comments I’d say your a TROLL
Abbott loses TX his own fault.
On Predictit, the site owners do not make any wagers. They merely facilitate them, and charge a fee for service. “Contracts”, i.e., wagers are made by people who want to let their money talk.
We have more takers than makers in America. Get used to socialism.
Globalism has killed the wages for 50-60% of American workers.
Wait until automation kicks in.
Some interesting news.
At one precinct in Augusta County, Virginia, chief election officer Lesley Piner said she had to ask the county for more ballots before lunchtime, having run out by 11 a.m.
This is very unusual for the Precinct (they never run out). Trump won Augusta County with 72%. This a good sign not related to gambling.
But VA is quite capable of cheating big-time. A good example of cheating the last election that no one mentions. Out of the over 500,000 more mail-in ballots than in 2020, how many were valid? Biden got 2,413,568 in 2020, and Clinton got 1,981,473. In 2012 Obama got 1,971,820. So, around 500,000 more votes than average in 2020 for a candidate that hid in his basement most of the election cycle. This jump mail-in ballots is way outside the margin of Dem voter growth.
An hour ago the PredictIt shifted hard towards Youngkin win, as did BetFair:
Good news here
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455635356326502405
Lefty reporter
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
As strong as turnout has been in blue areas, red areas looking even higher. Rockingham Co. (Trump +40) now up to 116% of its ‘17 turnout, w/ three hours left to go. By comparison, Charlottesville (Biden +73) is at only 89% of its ‘17 turnout.
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