Posted on 04/20/2024 8:42:40 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
We are now roughly six and a half months from election day or election month, depending on your state’s election laws.
Today, we’ll focus on Joe Biden’s recent polling surge, as shown in the Real Clear Politics Poll Average of Trump vs Biden. You will note Trump is up over Biden by a whopping 0.4 percentage points. If we remove the possible outlier Rasmussen survey from the average, showing Trump at +8, Joe Biden would be ahead by 0.4. Republicans might be dismayed by this, and Democrats encouraged.
In January of this year, Trump was ahead of Biden by +4. Since then, the poll average has tightened. Is this real, or is there something else going on?
Before getting into some poll internals, let’s see how a few polls have changed since the beginning of 2024. A good one to start with is Emerson.
1/26 Trump +1
2/13 Trump +1
3/05 Biden +2
4/02 Trump +1
4/16 Trump +3
Next, let’s look at the Economist/YouGov Poll.
1/07 Tie
1/14 Biden +1
1/21 Trump +1
1/28 Biden +1
2/04 Trump +1
2/11 Tie
2/18 Trump +1
2/25 Tie
3/03 Trump +2
3/10 Trump +2
Finally, let’s look at the Quinnipiac Poll.
1/25 Biden +6
2/15 Biden +4
3/21 Biden +3
Looking at the poll trend rather than the chatter, you might conclude that Trump was slowly gaining strength. But the RCP polling average contains different surveys in different combinations, some of which shouldn’t be included.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Those numbers aren’t real. The polls are weighted to show the supposed voter base—and the voter base is fraudulently warped.
What might happen is Biden could be replaced by Michele O, and that would shake things up. But still, the fraud is baked in.
I can imagine a worse outcome - Donald Trump "winning" after making a Mike Johnson-esque deal with the Deep State only to have the economic roof cave in in 2025 with MAGA Republicans getting the blame for all of it.
The Deep State has come to see Biden as a liability, but they will want to make sure Trump is on a much shorter leash than last time in return for letting a fairer election proceed. Such an election would help them by dispelling some of the public skepticism that 2020 and 2022 created, skepticism that has slowed achievement of their long term objectives. And Trump might agree to this deal to ensure his legacy and in the hope that he can still achieve some of his policy objectives. His vocal support for Johnson is a signal.
Interesting times, indeed.
Trump won in 2016. He is only MORE popular since. Only rank and file will vote for Joe.
I will not believe a Joe ‘victory’.
Are they polling the invaders? No way Joetatoe is ahead of Trump. You’ve got to be an imbecile to want to vote for him.
The polls are essentially tied now, with 6 months to go. Nobody really loves Biden, but the now never-ending flow of ugly stories and legal claims about Trump will continue to chip away at his support outside the base.
If Trump is convicted of a felony in NY, there will be a nationwide movement to remove him from all ballots. That’s what Nikki is waiting for.
I am a firm believer in all polls after Hillary’s poll-predicted/promised glorious victory in 2016!
no
The purpose of polls like this at this time in the election cycle is to create a scenario of a “close enough “ election that fraud is less likely to be invoked
Biden’s numbers are bogus to get people to take the bait to follow the trend.
The closer the election gets the wilder the stories the democrats use.
DEMOCRAT PARTY 4 MINUTE PROMO. They just keep getting BETTER & BETTER!
https://www.bitchute.com/video/9dAh9jLHqU3C/
DEMOCRAT PARTY 4 MINUTE PROMO. They just keep getting BETTER & BETTER!
https://www.bitchute.com/video/9dAh9jLHqU3C/
DEMOCRAT PARTY 4 MINUTE PROMO. They just keep getting BETTER & BETTER!
https://www.bitchute.com/video/9dAh9jLHqU3C/
Good one it’s spot on their propaganda repots never end.
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