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To: Poohbah
"Spin the cylinder and pull the trigger enough times, and the odds of you blowing your brains out approach 100%."

< nitpick >

Common fallacy of probability. What are the odds of getting "heads" when you've just flipped 100 "tails"? The same as when you first started: 1:1

< /nitpick >

;^)

16 posted on 08/29/2002 8:59:02 AM PDT by Cyber Liberty
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To: Cyber Liberty
Common fallacy of probability. What are the odds of getting "heads" when you've just flipped 100 "tails"? The same as when you first started: 1:1

Not when it is expressed across N tries, as it was in my example. The odds get close to 100% when you have six tries.

18 posted on 08/29/2002 9:09:25 AM PDT by Poohbah
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