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Keyword: 2018polls

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  • Poll: 6-in-7 GOP Voters Say Minorities Favored over White Americans

    12/10/2018 4:29:17 AM PST · by Altura Ct. · 33 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 12/10/18
    Midterm election polling analysis reveals deep divides between Democrat and Republican voters on the growing multicultural populations in the United States. Polling analysis from the Pew Research Center reveals that the overwhelming majority of Republican voters in the recent midterm elections, 85 percent, say the U.S. today favors minorities over white Americans. Only 11 percent of GOP voters said white Americans are favored over minority groups. On the opposite end of the political spectrum, 87 percent of Democrat voters in the midterm elections say white Americans are favored in the U.S. over minorities. Only 12 percent of Democrat voters say...
  • Poll: Russia Collusion and Climate Change Least Important Issues to Voters

    11/06/2018 12:09:35 PM PST · by kevcol · 18 replies
    CNSNews ^ | November 6, 2018 | Michael W. Chapman
    A new survey shows that while healthcare and the economy are "very important" to voters, the issues of climate change and alleged Russia collusion in the 2016 election are at the bottom of the list for voters in terms of importance. In the poll, Gallup asked, "How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for Congress this year?"
  • Vanity: Latest poll in FLA

    11/06/2018 11:06:08 AM PST · by spacejunkie2001 · 101 replies
    11/6/18 | me
    Rush just reported a polling group (tensilar?) just reported the last poll of the election with DeSantis 50 to 46 Gillum and 49 Scott to 47 Nelson. This group was the only group in 2016 that had Trump winning. Please God, let it be so!!!!
  • Almost Heaven? RCP Moves West Virginia To Toss-Up On Election Eve

    11/06/2018 8:40:44 AM PST · by mandaladon · 29 replies
    Hot Air ^ | 6 Nov 2018 | Ed Morrissey
    If Joe Manchin loses in West Virginia, that will be one mountain-mama of a story. RealClearPolitics now assesses the race as a toss-up, moving it out of the Leans Democrat yesterday as part of its Election Eve final calls. That would be perhaps the most stunning upset of the night, not because of West Virginia’s voting character but because of Manchin’s storied record as a political survivor: Democratic incumbent senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia is in the fight of his political life, as his race against Republican Patrick Morrisey was changed to “toss up” on the eve of the...
  • Reasons to bet the polls are still flawed

    11/06/2018 9:50:34 AM PST · by TBP · 46 replies
    The New York Post ^ | November 6, 2018 | Leonid Bershidsky
    A big political gambler I met in Las Vegas in 2016 is in London betting that the Republican Party will keep control of the US Congress. Robert Barnes is essentially wagering that US pollsters haven’t fixed any of the problems that led them astray during the 2016 presidential campaign. Barnes, a trial lawyer, lives in Las Vegas, but he has to travel to the British Isles to wager on US politics since it’s not allowed in the US. The bookies know him as a high roller; the political betting team at Ladbrokes even tweeted his photo to mark his arrival...
  • Poll that's never been wrong since 1946 signals GOP keeps House

    11/06/2018 9:03:08 AM PST · by FR33DOM4ME · 82 replies
    Half of Americans believe that Republicans will maintain control of the House in the midterm elections Tuesday, according to Gallup's nal poll. The result of that question has lined up with the actual election outcome every time Gallup has asked it since 1946. Fifty percent of Americans believe Republicans will stay in power in the House, while 44 percent believe Democrats will take control. In a larger note of condence, Americans also believe that Republicans will retain the majority in the Senate. Sixty-one percent say Republicans will hold power in the Senate following the elections, and 33 percent believe that...
  • RealClearPolitics Gives GOP +2 (ND, MO)with no Toss ups. No Dem Pickup

    11/05/2018 5:31:06 PM PST · by SMGFan · 44 replies
    Real Clear Politics ^ | November 5, 2018
    Is this their final prediction? I had a feeling months ago Pollsters would give GOP few Pickups... So RCP thinks all other Toss Ups will fall Dem.
  • Dems Open Up A Big Lead On Eve Of Midterms, But Trump Gets High Marks On The Economy: IBD/TIPP Poll

    11/05/2018 9:58:23 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 112 replies
    IBD ^ | 11/05/2018 | John Merline
    With voter interest in the midterm elections at historic heights, Democrats opened up a 9-point lead over Republicans on the question of who should control Congress after the midterm elections, while President Donald Trump's approval rating remained unchanged at 40%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll. The two top issues for voters in the midterm elections are the economy and health care, which benefit each party. The poll also found that Trump still hasn't closed the deal with the public on his trade policies. There's no question that the interest in the midterm elections is incredibly high for both Democrats...
  • Politico: Generic Ballot Down To A D+3 On Election Eve

    11/05/2018 8:56:49 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 19 replies
    Hotair ^ | 11/05/2018 | Ed Morrissey
    What happens if you threw a wave party, and only a low tide showed up? The last midterm poll from Politico/Morning Consult shows Republicans have cut the Democratic lead in the national generic ballot by more than half. A week ago, that poll series showed a D+8 lead, but in the final iteration it’s down to just three points: According to the poll, 43 percent of registered voters would vote for the Democratic congressional candidate in their district — only slightly more than the 40 percent who would vote for the Republican candidate. Eighteen percent of registered voters are...
  • WAYNE ALLYN ROOT: Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts GOP Upset

    11/05/2018 7:19:35 AM PST · by bitt · 50 replies
    GATEWAY PUNDIT ^ | 11/4/2018 | Wayne Allyn Root
    This is my final column before the midterm election. So, this former Vegas oddsmaker turned national political commentator has a few predictions and common sense observations to make. Back in 2016 I predicted a Trump victory when (** almost) no one else did. Every poll showed Trump would lose by a wide margin. Nate Silver of the NY Times predicted Hillary’s chances of winning at 92%. These pollsters make their living by polling actual human beings. I don’t. So how did I know? Simple. First, size matters. You could see it in the rallies. Trump would attract eight hour lines...
  • House Democrats in position to gain (210 to 225 seats) but still face hurdles — CBS News poll

    11/05/2018 5:05:21 AM PST · by 11th_VA · 38 replies
    cbsnews.com ^ | November 4, 2018 | By Jennifer De Pinto, Anthony Salvanto, Kabir Khanna, Fred Backus and Jennie Kamin
    It may not be easy for Democrats to take the House majority, as they have to win a string of districts in Republican territory and get strong turnout, but they head into Tuesday in position to do so — even if narrowly. CBS News ran three scenarios. Scenario one is our best estimate as of today: 225 Democratic seats — just beyond the 218 needed for a majority — to 210 Republican seats, with a margin of error of plus or minus 13 seats on each, keeping the possibility open that Republicans retain control...
  • Generic Congressional Ballot’s All Tied Up (Republicans LEAD by a Point!!!!!)

    11/05/2018 6:02:30 AM PST · by PJ-Comix · 30 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | November 5, 2018 | Rasmussen Reports
    The final Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot before Election Day shows Republicans edging ahead by one point, but in essence, the two parties are tied. The survey has a +/-2 percentage point margin of error. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds that 46% would choose the Republican candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty-five percent (45%) would vote for the Democrat. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) A week ago, Democrats held a 47% to...
  • Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot’s All Tied Up

    11/05/2018 5:55:21 AM PST · by ScottfromNJ · 35 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | Monday November 05, 2018 | Rasmussen Reports
    The final Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot before Election Day shows Republicans edging ahead by one point, but in essence, the two parties are tied. The survey has a +/-2 percentage point margin of error. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds that 46% would choose the Republican candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty-five percent (45%) would vote for the Democrat.
  • WashPo/ABC News Poll Has Ominous News For Democrats

    11/04/2018 1:25:45 PM PST · by COUNTrecount · 72 replies
    American Greatness ^ | November 4, 2018 | Julie Kelly
    Despite the headlines about an eight-point advantage for Democrats in the generic congressional ballot, the detailed results of today’s Washington Post/ABC News poll should make most Democratic Party leaders and their billionaire benefactors sweat. First, the eight-point gap represents a five-point drop from the same poll just three weeks ago, when Democrats had a 13-point advantage. (Like most polls, the sample favors Democrats by six points among registered voters.) But even more ominous for Democrats is how specific voting blocs responded. If Democrats are going to win control of the House, they need to pull votes from independent women and...
  • Why Do The Polls Keep Getting It Wrong? Many Republicans Have Stopped Taking Surveys.

    11/01/2018 6:42:52 PM PDT · by 11th_VA · 97 replies
    HuffPost ^ | Updated Apr 28, 2017 | Dr. Benjamin Knoll, Ph.D. , Contributor
    ... I run an exit polling survey project in Boyle County, Kentucky as part of a regular community-based learning component of our political science courses at Centre College. Our students have surveyed over 1,000 randomly-selected voters on their way out of the voting booths in every fall election since 2011. To examine these competing theories, I compared the results of the exit polls with the actual results in Boyle County in each of these recent elections. Central Kentucky is an especially appropriate place to test for such an effect given that the economic and demographic characteristics are favorable to a...
  • Voters credit Trump over Obama for booming economy: poll

    10/31/2018 6:04:17 PM PDT · by yesthatjallen · 30 replies
    The Hill ^ | 10/31/18 | Michael Burke
    More voters credit President Trump than former President Obama for the current state of the economy, according to a new poll. The Harris Poll, conducted with Harvard University’s Center for American Political Studies, found that 47 percent of respondents said they believe President Trump is responsible for the current economy, compared to 21 percent who said they believe Obama is responsible. Among those surveyed, 15 percent said they think Republicans in Congress are responsible for the state of the economy, versus 10 percent who said the same of Democrats in Congress. Trump has frequently touted the success of the stock...
  • New polling nightmare: Trump supporters 'won't say it out loud (from 2017)

    10/23/2018 5:55:27 PM PDT · by 11th_VA · 73 replies
    washingtonexaminer.com ^ | Oct 4, 2017 | by Paul Bedard
    ... At Rasmussen Reports, which was the most accurate 2016 pollster, questions on Trump often see a spike in those who check "don't know." Francis Coombs, Rasmussen managing editor, said, "In most surveys, you generally get 4 or 5 percent who say they are undecided, but if you ask about a controversial issue, particularly one involving Trump, that figure often jumps to the high teens — 17 percent or 18 percent. That tells me that a lot of those people agree with the president but just aren't going to say it out loud."
  • Pollster John McLaughlin Has New Poll With Dems Up Onlt 2% and Trump ar 48%!

    10/23/2018 6:57:36 PM PDT · by CWW · 49 replies
    Fox News Hannity ^ | 10-23-2018 | Cww
    Reliable GOP pollster John McLaughlin just announced that he is releasing new polling data that has the Dems only up by 2 pats over the GOP using a national sample of 1000 voters, and he has Trump up to 48% approval, the same as Rasmussen and the NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll.
  • Blowout: Heidi Heitkamp Now Trails By 16 Points In North Dakota

    10/23/2018 6:59:46 AM PDT · by mandaladon · 44 replies
    Hot Air ^ | 23 Oct 2018 | ALLAHPUNDIT
    Sure, there’s probably some Kavanaugh effect at work here. Plus a little red-state effect. Plus a little “Heidi Heitkamp’s campaign committed one of the great unforced errors in recent political history” effect. Either way, it’s ballgame in North Dakota. In an exclusive poll by KVLY, KFYR and Strategic Research Associates of 650 likely voters in North Dakota conducted between October 12 – 19, 2018, Republican challenger Kevin Cramer leads incumbent Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp 56% to 40%, increasing his lead since Gray Television’s September poll, in which Cramer held a 10-point advantage. Heitkamp’s support appears relatively fixed. Only 5% of...
  • Post-Michael poll: Andrew Gillum, Ron DeSantis deadlocked; Rick Scott narrowly leads Bill Nelson

    10/17/2018 7:18:32 AM PDT · by PJ-Comix · 46 replies
    Florida Politics ^ | October 17, 2018 | Peter Schorsch
    In the first poll since Hurricane Michael devastated the Panhandle — and changed the course of state politics — the race for Florida Governor is virtually tied. Twenty days before Election Day, Democrat Andrew Gillum is at 47 percent, while Republican Ron DeSantis is at 46. However, among those who say they have already voted, DeSantis is at 49 percent, while Gillum is at 45 percent. A similar scenario is set up for Florida’s U.S. Senate race — heading into the stretch in dead-heat fashion, according to the new survey by St. Pete Polls. Republican Gov. Rick Scott has a...