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The polls are swinging wildly and voter enthusiasm seems higher than usual for midterms in recent memory or maybe ever. Vice President Mike Pence predicts the Republicans will hold both houses and I tend to agree with him. In fact, I have a months-old dinner bet riding on his prediction coming to pass. It’s not only that, freed of some of the more restrictive regulations and with tax cuts, the economy is booming and unemployment low, it’s a psychological thing. People are more optimistic and bullish than they were when Obama was president. I read this to mean they are...

All the talk of a “blue wave” is nothing more than a fantasy the Socialistic Democrats tell themselves for comfort. The Democrats may have at one time had a chance as historically the party that does not control the White House takes control of the House and sometimes the Senate in the midterm elections. This time, the Democrats have sunk the ship before it even had a chance to leave the harbor. This writer has said for a long time now, although I unfortunately did not put it in writing – that the Republicans will win seats in the House...

I'm not at all convinced there's movement nationally toward Democrats—the generic ballot has been very flat. But, they may be closing well in swing districts because of their big spending advantage, which ought to be a bit scary for R's... But to bring this back: When people look at 538 and ask "what if the polls are wrong?", that's *the question our model is trying to answer*. The polls say Ds will win the House. Our model says, based on how accurate polls have been in the past, there's a 15-20% chance they won't...

Defy the Democrats. Vote Republican and bring on a Red Wave that they’ll never be able to forget. Warning to all Republican voters: Devious Democrats—who have harvested your emails—are now sending out 11th-hour pleas for you to vote Democrat in Tuesday elections. Warning to all of those who haven’t yet voted: You have been unknowingly HARVESTED by the Dirty Democrats, with a message that includes asking you to spy on your friends!

The night Donald Trump was elected was supposed to be, for most liberals and a few conservatives, the beginning of the end of the world. The economy would surely implode. The U.S. would probably blunder into a catastrophic war. The new American president would be blackmailed into conducting foreign policy as Putin’s poodle. * * * But as Trump’s presidency moves forward, it’s no longer smart to think it’s right. There’s more than one type of intelligence. Trump’s is feral. It strikes fast. It knows where to sink the fang into the vein.

Let me begin today’s article with a statement: there will be no blue wave. The dimms will not take over the House. This is not going to happen. It’s all a pollster’s wet-dream, aimed at demoralizing the Republican base. But it’s not working. Here’s my premise: OCTOBER JOBS: +250K… ECONOMY ADDING 1,000 MANUFACTURING JOBS PER DAY… HISPANIC UNEMPLOYMENT ALL TIME LOW… WAGE GAINS STRONGEST IN DECADE… POLL: TRUMP APPROVAL 51%… See, it’s the economy, stupid. Why would anyone vote for Democrats? Do you think Americans want antifa and social justice warriors running their country into the ground? Now, when things...

A new poll released Friday shows incumbent Republican Rep. Dana Rohrabacher with a nine-point lead over Democrat challenger Harley Rouda with just days to go before the midterm elections on November 6. ....................................................... Strategist John Thomas notes: “While California overall breaks in favor of Democrats and against Trump, CA-48 is proving to be the firewall holding back the blue wave.” The poll is the first to show Rohrabacher with a statistically significant lead. Rohrabacher’s rise in the polls is remarkable, given that Rouda and his allies have outspent Rohrabacher many times over. .......................................... Thomas elaborated on other factors helping Rohrabacher:...

It looks like even die-hard Democrats are not buying the media propaganda about a Blue Wave sweeping them to power in the House and maybe the Senate. If they believed Nate Silver’s prediction of an 85% probability of taking over the House and putting Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, and Maxine Waters in charge, why would we be seeing this from NBC News? According to a poll conducted by YouGov and commissioned by the fitness site Daily Burn, Democrats are 50 percent more likely than Republicans to say they’re “eating their feelings” as a result of the current political climate. They’re also drinking...

If we want to see the blue wave in full effect, we only need to take a look at liberal Los Angeles, where millionaire celebrities lecture the rest of the population from their mansions, surrounded by rat-infested slums. Health officials have now warned that the number of flea-born Typhus cases in Los Angeles has just hit 107.

Democrats appear confident they'll take back the House majority next Tuesday — a fact top Republican strategists all but concede privately less than a week before Election Day. "Up until today I would have said if the election was held today we would win. Now I'm saying we will win," House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said Tuesday night on CBS's The Late Show with Stephen Colbert. Although nearly all of the competitive races remain close, conversations with several Democratic and GOP strategists, as well as public opinion polls, campaign finance reports and historic trends, all point to a strong...

A political analyst updated his outlook for the House just days before midterm elections, giving the Democrats an even greater edge over Republicans hoping to maintain power. Dave Wasserman, who is House editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, tweeted Wednesday that their forecast was being updated, predicting that Democrats gain 30-40 seats, up from 25-35 seats.

Hope everyone is having a Happy FReeper Halloween. Do the Dem.s ever trick-or-treat or do they just trick & trick & trick? The blue wave is being dwarfed by the red tide, and the red tide is about to turn into a red tsunami.

With 12 days to go before the midterm elections, there are plenty of reasons to believe that we know the general directions that the House, Senate, gubernatorial, and state legislative elections will go, just not the degrees. After the political fallout from Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court confirmation fight, if Democrats can just break even in the Senate, it would be a relief for them. Right now, GOP gains look very likely, but if so, is it one, two, or three seats? Two or three months ago, pre-Kavanaugh, it was plausible that Democrats could capture the two seats needed to flip...

Democrats are hoping the coming election will give them a majority in the House of Representatives. Republicans and much of our nation dread that prospect. My question is: What would a House majority mean for the Democrats? Let's look at it. To control the House of Representatives, Democrats must win at least 218 seats, which many predict as being likely. To control the Senate, Democrats must win enough seats to get to 51, which many predict is unlikely. Let's say the Democrats do take the House. If they were to pass a measure that Republicans in both houses didn't like...

Nancy Pelosi is declaring victory in the battle for the House. In public and private, the House minority leader — who wants to make history herself by retaking the speaker’s gavel she lost eight years ago — has said Democrats will pick up more than enough seats to win back the House and end the Republicans’ lock on Congress. Appearing on “The Late Show” with Stephen Colbert on Tuesday, Pelosi (D-Calif.) said that “up until today, I would've said, 'If the election were held today, we would win.” "What now I'm saying is, 'We will win, we will win," Pelosi...

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi made yet another bold prediction in the days leading up to the midterm elections—Democrats “will win” the House. Pelosi, D-Calif., who is hoping to take back the gavel and assume her former position as House speaker, has projected confidence for months about her party's chances of regaining the majority. But in her latest comments, she predicted victory, with no caveats, while suggesting Democrats could even take the Senate -- though recent polling still reflects a GOP advantage in the upper chamber. “Let me say this. Up until today, I would’ve said, ‘If the election were...

On Tuesday’s broadcast of CBS’ “Late Show,” House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) predicted that Democrats will win the majority in the House of Representatives, and if they “have a bigger victory,” they will win the majority in the Senate. Pelosi said, “Well, let me say this, up until today, I would have said, if the election were held today, we would win. What now I’m saying is, we will win.” She added, “Democrats will carry the House. If we have a bigger victory, the Senate, governorships. It’s going to be a great night for America.”

For those wondering why the polls have shifted much more favorably for Republicans in recents months, there are very real explanations — explanations that could blunt the much hyped blue wave. The media has pushed the blue wave narrative with great hope and anticipation. Much of that is based on earlier polls and the tradition that the part in power tends to lose a lot of seats during a midterm. Part is also based on the idea that Americans hate President Trump. But that is falling part. Apparently, the media’s relentless flogging of this narrative is not necessarily enough to...

With only a few exceptions, Democrats face more uncertain prospects in Republican-held House seats centered on the blue-collar, exurban and rural communities where Trump remains popular

in 7 Chance Democrats win control (86.4%) 1 in 7 Chance Republicans keep