Free Republic

During the Democrats’ long agonizing Election Night coverage of Donald Trump’s victory, one thing was clear: The media believed the polls. They only bothered to question them when the real numbers came in. Michigan’s results are a classic example of the disconnect between the polls and reality. A review of the 6 ½ hour Youtube of NBC’s coverage revealed a lot about how the media had been lied to and never bothered to check the truthfulness of what they were being fed. The polls told them what they wanted to hear and that was good enough. These observations were made...

President Trump’s disapproval rating has hit a high point of 60 percent, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll that also finds that clear majorities of Americans support the special counsel’s Russia investigation and say the president should not fire Attorney General Jeff Sessions. At the dawn of the fall campaign sprint to the midterm elections, which will determine whether Democrats retake control of Congress, the poll finds a majority of the public has turned against Trump and is on guard against his efforts to influence the Justice Department and special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s wide-ranging probe. Nearly...

Mclaughlin & Asscociates Poll likely voters for August 2018 generic ballot, US Congress, shows Dem: 44 GOP: 44 This poll was published yesterday, 8/29/2018. See link for chart.

Must be linked...

After a week that saw President Donald Trump's former campaign chairman convicted on eight counts of fraud and his former lawyer plead guilty to felony campaign finance charges, the president's job approval rating remains virtually unchanged, new polling from NBC News and The Wall Street Journal shows. But the stability in Trump's approval rating also comes as more than half of voters say he has not been honest and truthful regarding the ongoing investigation by special counsel Robert Mueller. And fewer than three-in-ten voters are convinced that Trump himself is not implicated in the wrongdoing of the six of his...

As Texas Democrats attempt to win a major statewide contest for the first time in almost three decades, a new NBC News/Marist poll finds Democrat Beto O’Rourke trailing Republican Sen. Ted Cruz by just 4 percentage points. O’Rourke, a congressman from El Paso who has ignited Democratic hopes with his impressive fundraising, has 45 percent support among registered voters compared with Cruz’s 49 percent. Six percent of voters remain undecided.

For the first time in months, Democrats and Republicans are tied on the Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot. The latest telephone and online survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Another 44% would now opt for the Republican. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) A week ago, Democrats held a 48% to 41% lead on the generic ballot.

Rep. Lou Barletta (R-PA) and Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) are in a dead heat in the Pennsylvania Senate race, according to a poll released on Monday. A Commonwealth Leaders Fund poll found that Sen. Bob Casey leads by only two points, with Casey at 47 percent, Barletta at 45 percent, and 6.1 percent of Pennsylvania voters undecided. The poll had a 3.6-point margin of error, making the Pennsylvania Senate race a virtual toss-up. The poll also weighted heavily for a significant Democrat turnout that outpaces previous “Democratic waves.” The poll suggested that Democrats will have a five-point turnout advantage over...

The big difference in President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in 2020 could be the level of support he receives from the black community. And, the man most despised by the black community could become the most pro-black president of the modern era. A Rasmussen poll released last week indicates growing support for Trump among blacks. A big part of that is economics. For the first time ever, black unemployment has fallen below six percent. That means record numbers of black men, women, and youth are employed. Trump has created opportunities where for decades, the Democrats have offered only unfulfilled promises....

The first inkling I got that a lot more blacks liked Trump than they dared let on was during a dinner table discussion with a relative a couple of days before the 2016 presidential election. He flatly said that he was voting for Trump. There was dead silence, shock, and then loud outbursts of “no” followed by non-stop pillorying of him. He stuck to his guns and said Trump appealed to him because he represented change and he thought he’d be good for small business and would cut taxes. It was a textbook Horatio Alger, laissez faire rationalization that would...

Maybe the Black community doesn’t hate Trump as initially assumed as the American President saw a surge in his support from Black Americans. This comes even after reports emerged that Trump used the N-word in a recording while on the TV Show ‘The Apprentice.’ At the moment, the approval rating from the Black community sits at 36% which represents double of what it was last year and it’s more than triple what it was in 2016 when it sat at a depressing 8%. What are the reasons for this? Well, it is speculated that it is largely due to Black...

Democratic enthusiasm and a GOP malaise surrounding President Trump have set the stage for a potentially devastating midterm election for the House Republican majority. In a series of special elections mostly in reliably GOP districts, Democratic candidates have routinely outperformed Hillary Clinton’s share of the vote from 2016. At the same time, Republican candidates have underperformed President Trump's vote share in all but two special elections. If that pattern holds in November, the worst-case scenario for the GOP is a truly historic wipeout of as many as 72 House seats, according to The Hill’s analysis of special election results and...

Link only due to copyright issues: https://chicago.suntimes.com/news/donald-trump-african-american-approval-rating/

I stand by my prediction of Republicans picking up 11 seats in the Senate. The most recent generic survey results should make Democrats queasy. The path of generic number charts are eerily like they were in 2010 and 2014 which is very bad news for the Democrats. The current average of the four newest generic surveys shows a sharp drop in the Democrats’ lead. While the Democrats’ led by 6 points two weeks ago, it has dropped to just 2.25% now. This basically means Democrats are losing since they have to have a lead of more than 6 points in...

STORY HIGHLIGHTS 47% of Democrats view capitalism positively, down from 56% in 2016 57% of Democrats now view socialism positively, little changed from 2010 Republicans very positive about capitalism; 16% positive on socialism

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove. The latest figures include 35% who Strongly Approve of the way the president is performing and 40% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -5.

Surely you are familiar with the old cliché, “Politics is a blood sport” — but now I suggest an update, “Politics is a betting sport” — due to the growing popularity of political prediction betting.Of course, through the lens of the media, politics is already covered as a “game” with winners and losers, while the presidential Election Day equates to the “Super Bowl.” Thus, with campaigns costing millions and daily lives affected by policy decisions, it is logical that prediction betting has become an armchair sport with odds that may foretell the outcome of an election or political event.If you want to play along,...

Link only due to site not working for me: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/08/trump-still-has-high-approval-among-rural-base-in-farm-states-poll.html Hopefully you'll have an easier time with it. I can't even scroll down to see who the author was or read the article, but based on the headline it looked interesting. Let me know.

President Trump’s repeated cries of “fake news” and attacks on journalists as “enemies of the American people” have resonated with his base, with 43 percent of Republicans saying he “should have the authority to close news outlets engaged in bad behavior.” The results — suggesting that a plurality of Republicans would have no problem trashing the First Amendment — came from a stunning new poll conducted by Ipsos and reported Tuesday by the Daily Beast. The survey also showed that just 36 percent of GOP voters disagreed with that statement. When asked if Trump should close down specific news organizations,...

HILLSBORO, Ohio — After President Trump’s less-than-stellar performance side by side with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki, many Trump critics may have hoped, reasonably, that Trump’s approval ratings — already historically low compared with other presidents — would take a nose-dive. Instead, his numbers remained basically steady. A July NBC/Wall Street Journal sampling even found that Trump’s approval rating climbed one point from the previous month, to 45 percent, and, most notably, his 88 percent approval among Republicans is the highest of his presidency. Republican pollster Bill McInturff, part of the team that conducted the poll, said the stability...