Free Republic

This is CNN… On Friday, the outlet once dubbed the “least-trusted” name in network news for its rabid anti-Trump and anti-Republican bias, published an op-ed suggesting that women engage in a “sex strike” before the midterm election, no doubt to help Democrats. “It’s time for a revolution,” wrote Wednesday Martin. “At the polls, and in the bedroom. And in our understanding of who women are, sexually and otherwise. Given the tight interweaving of economic and political power with sexual entitlement, female sexual autonomy has never been more urgent, and women’s sexual pleasure has never been more political. Let’s consider what...

11/5/14 "For much of this election cycle, Democrats complained the polls were biased against them. They said the polls were failing to represent enough minority voters and applying overly restrictive likely-voter screens. They claimed early-voting data was proving the polls wrong. They cited the fact that polls were biased against Democrats in 2012. The Democrats’ complaints may have been more sophisticated-seeming than the ”skewed polls” arguments made by Republicans in 2012. But in the end, they were just as wrong. The polls did have a strong bias this year — but it was toward Democrats and not against them."

... I run an exit polling survey project in Boyle County, Kentucky as part of a regular community-based learning component of our political science courses at Centre College. Our students have surveyed over 1,000 randomly-selected voters on their way out of the voting booths in every fall election since 2011. To examine these competing theories, I compared the results of the exit polls with the actual results in Boyle County in each of these recent elections. Central Kentucky is an especially appropriate place to test for such an effect given that the economic and demographic characteristics are favorable to a...

Full title : Mary Matalin to Newsmax TV: GOP Will Hold House, Add Senate Seats Republican political consultant Mary Matalin told Newsmax TV on Thursday that she believes the GOP will not only win seats in the Senate, but also hold on to the House majority. In remarks on “Newsmax Now,” Matalin — who’s served under President Ronald Reagan, was campaign director for George H. W. Bush, and was an assistant to President George W. Bush — said Democrats “forget even recent history” We’re going to win in all the same places” Republicans were victorious in 2016, she asserted. “I've...

I use RCP as my polling resource. It's a bit left-leaning, but it tends to have more polls that most other sites, and makes trends a bit easier to see. Anyway, last week, they had the House as 205-198 with 32 "tossups". As of today, it is 203-198, with 34 tossups. Clearly, the MSM isn't going to share this change, so it is up to us to notice and spread the word... thus, this vanity. Among the 34 tossups, 30 are current GOP seats. The two that just shifted rightward are MN7 and NV4, both current Dem seats. Curiously, the...

The exclusive ABC15 Arizona and OH Predictive Insights poll shows McSally with a seven-point lead with 52% of the vote compared to Sinema's 45%. On the flip-side, a CNN poll also released Wednesday had Sinema with 51% of the vote compared to McSally's 47%.

Speaking exclusively to Fox News on Monday, vulnerable incumbent Missouri Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill dropped the names of two high-profile colleagues, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, when asked to identify the "crazy Democrats" from whom her campaign has distanced itself in recent days. McCaskill said she wouldn't call the two "crazy," but noted they had disagreements with each other. **SNIP** When Baier asked if McCaskill had any "crazy" colleagues in the Senate, McCaskill referenced Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, considered a potential 2020 presidential contender. "Well, I would say this," McCaskill replied. "I would not call my colleagues crazy, but Elizabeth...

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President Trump is reportedly considering implementing a plan to block Central American migrants fleeing for the U.S. from claiming asylum when they reach American soil. The move reported by the Washington Post Thursday night is the latest potential escalation in the president's preoccupation with a caravan of such migrants slowly trekking toward the the southern border. The report said Trump is looking at using authority like he did when he implemented a travel ban on certain majority Muslim countries to bar Central Americans from entering the country as a matter of national security. The Post reviewed a draft of the...

Reliable GOP pollster John McLaughlin just announced that he is releasing new polling data that has the Dems only up by 2 pats over the GOP using a national sample of 1000 voters, and he has Trump up to 48% approval, the same as Rasmussen and the NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll.

Fox News on Monday hyped an interview with open borders advocate and Univision anchor Jorge Ramos,...Last year, Ramos declared that the U.S. belonged to Hispanic immigrants, not American citizens. “...Let me repeat this: Our country, not theirs. It is our country. And we are not going to leave,” Ramos said at the time. “We are nearly 60 million Latinos in the United States. And thanks to us, the United States eats, grows and, as we’ve seen today, sings and dances.”

Two weeks out, district-level polls reflect a House battleground gradually polarizing along the lines of the 2016 presidential race. Democrats are maintaining leads over GOP opponents in upscale, Clinton-won "Whole Foods suburbs" of Chicago, Denver, Kansas City, Minneapolis and Northern Virginia. But Republicans' numbers continue to improve in Trump-won districts in places like rural Minnesota, Upstate New York and Downstate Illinois. A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats enjoy a four-point lead in midterm election interest, narrower than their ten points average lead for the first nine months of the year. It's likely that cultural flash points like the...

The gun control group “Guns Down America” is asking citizens to send a text alerting authorities if they see an armed citizen near a polling area. They suggest their request is made out of concern of the political climate under President Trump.

New WSJ/NBC News poll finds President Trump’s job-approval rating at 47%, the highest mark of his time in office.

The Breitbart News best guess estimate 18 days before the election is that there are a range of outcomes in which either party ends up with a majority in the House. In the best outcome for the Republicans, they win 14 of these remaining 20 toss-up races, and emerge with a narrow five vote margin over the Democrats when the 116th Congress convenes in January, 220 Republicans to 215 Democrats. In the best outcome for the Democrats, they run the table in these 20 “toss-up” races and end up with a 23 vote majority in the 116th Congress, 229 Democrats...

President Donald Trump's approval rating among members of the military has slipped slightly since he took office two years ago, according to a poll by Military Times. Trump's most recent overall approval rating was 43.8 percent, down from 46.1 percent in 2016. His disapproval rating was 43.1 percent, up from 37 percent two years ago. Troops overwhelmingly support Trump's handling of military issues over that of former President Barack Obama, however. More than 60 percent said they believe the military is in better shape now than under Obama and nearly the same number have a favorable view of Trump's handling...

If you're a regular reader, this trend doesn't come as a surprise.  We've been tracking and flagging it since the Kavanaugh ordeal, which galvanized legions of previously-disengaged or underwhelmed GOP-leaning voters.  We've demonstrated how that impact has continued to reverberate, particularly in Senate races.  And now, the mainstream conventional wisdom appears to be catching up.  Charlie Cook, who leads the vaunted Cook Political Report, is out with a new detailed analysis pointing to a clear uptick in Republicans' fortunes: Charlie Cook: “One question that keeps coming back up is whether those who led the out-of-control demonstrations on Capitol Hill against...

Americans are becoming more likely to think President Donald Trump will win a second term in office, while Joe Biden stands atop a crowded field of Democrats perhaps looking to replace him, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. The public is split over whether they think the President will win a second term -- 46% say he will and 47% say he won't. But that's a steep improvement for him since March, when 54% of adults said they thought he'd lose his bid for a second term. The share seeing a second Trump win in the offing...

Lonely Democrat media (NY TIMES, CNN) still hoping Bredesen can pull it off. In the NY Times poll, it literally says "It’s just one poll, though." Where was that attitude when they were predicting Trump to lose in 2016? 28,607 CALLS on this poll. 593 responses. Marsha Blackburn, the Republican candidate, leads our poll.

The BIG TAKEAWAY I got from watching their live polling is that ONLY about 1 in every 40 or 50 people bother to even answer their calls. I was surprised because I thought it would be more like at least 1 in 10. So isn't there something unusual about people who actually do answer their phones and respond to the polling questions? Most likely people with lots of time on their hands. I rarely answer my phone if I don't recognize who is calling me or the phone number. And those rare times I do answer and realize the stranger...