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Poll finds Santorum surging in Gingrich's home state Georgia
The HIll.com ^ | 02/12/12 | Meghashyam Mali

Posted on 02/12/2012 12:55:11 PM PST by writer33

A new poll shows GOP hopeful Rick Santorum surging in rival Newt Gingrich's home state of Georgia, threatening the former House speaker’s strategy of focusing on southern states to win the nomination.

A new Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone poll of Georgia GOP voters finds Gingrich ahead in the state with 35 percent support, but followed by a rising Santorum with 26 percent.

Mitt Romney, who won Maine's Saturday caucuses and is the leader in delegates in the Republican race is in third place with 16 percent, followed by Texas Rep. Ron Paul at 5 percent support.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: ga2012; georgia; santorum; santorum4romney
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1 posted on 02/12/2012 12:55:13 PM PST by writer33
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To: Clint N. Suhks; American Constitutionalist; Antoninus; Colonel_Flagg; cripplecreek; ...

For those interested. Of course it’s too early to tell if these poll results show any accuracy at all.


2 posted on 02/12/2012 12:56:06 PM PST by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: writer33

All the talk on todays poli talk shows had Gingrich number three all around.Santorum is doing well.


3 posted on 02/12/2012 1:01:07 PM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!

Yes, sir. He is doing well.


4 posted on 02/12/2012 1:03:26 PM PST by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
Gingrich number three all around.
Santorum is doing well.

Anybody but Mittens.

5 posted on 02/12/2012 1:04:07 PM PST by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: writer33

Georgia will finally matter in a primary election.

And not just matter, but it’ll be a bellwether.

I’m sure rural Georgia will go to Gingrich, but I’m curious to see how Atlanta will vote.


6 posted on 02/12/2012 1:07:17 PM PST by Downinthedixie (ABO)
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To: Downinthedixie

I would be surprised if Gingrich doesn’t take Georgia. That’s favorite son territory.


7 posted on 02/12/2012 1:08:06 PM PST by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: writer33

Don’t think Newt will lose Ga, or the South-— after which, the narrative will change once again.


8 posted on 02/12/2012 1:08:32 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: writer33
Newt needs to step aside and endorse Rick—otherwise he will be responsible for splitting the conservative vote and thus hand the nomination to Mitt who will then get stomped by Obama.

Newt needs to do what's best for America and let go his big ego.

(sounds like the Newt fans not so long ago, doesn't it?;)

9 posted on 02/12/2012 1:11:15 PM PST by Happy Rain ("If you're shiftless and in doubt-find a liberal whine and pout-pretty soon you're making out.")
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To: writer33

Plenty of people down here are wise to Gingrich’s “conservatism”. While I’m sure he’ll get the win, anything other than a good ole fashion butt whoopin would be a failure for Newt, in my opinion.


10 posted on 02/12/2012 1:12:15 PM PST by Downinthedixie (ABO)
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To: Happy Rain

I can completely understand that point of view.


11 posted on 02/12/2012 1:12:28 PM PST by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: Downinthedixie

We’ll see how it all shakes out in the next three weeks.


12 posted on 02/12/2012 1:13:08 PM PST by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: Happy Rain
Newt needs to step aside and endorse Rick—otherwise he will be responsible for splitting the conservative vote and thus hand the nomination to Mitt who will then get stomped by Obama.

Newt needs to do what's best for America and let go his big ego.

(sounds like the Newt fans not so long ago, doesn't it?;)

Don't count your chickies before they hatch.

Newt is still the ONLY Conservative running, although most of us will support Santorum if he gets the nod.

13 posted on 02/12/2012 1:14:56 PM PST by Conservative Vermont Vet (l)
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To: Happy Rain

No, it sounds more like a Santorum follower is desperate.

Saint Rick honestly doesn’t have the platform to make those kinds of demands.

Newt does, though.

Pray to your Saint to drop before he splits the vote further! A brokered convention will probably wind up with Romney or some other goober getting the nod.


14 posted on 02/12/2012 1:15:50 PM PST by Apollo5600
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To: Apollo5600
Pray to your Saint to drop before he splits the vote further!

Split the vote? Rick is winning if you haven't noticed. Just check the delegate count and states won for confirmation.

15 posted on 02/12/2012 1:20:44 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic; American Constitutionalist; Antoninus; AuH2ORepublican; BlackElk; ...
Santorum for President Ping List.

FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.

16 posted on 02/12/2012 1:21:34 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: Downinthedixie

You’re 24 years old. You were 11 the last time Newt was actually in the House. You don’t seem wise about him, you seem ignorant about his history. Newt was the leader of the hard-line conservative Republicans in the 1980s. Newt pushed the Republican platform further to the right when people like Bob Dole wanted to raise taxes and not make a pronounced issue out of the Soviet Union, for fear of losing American liberal votes. Newt fought against and publically embarrassed Bush, Sr. when Bush, Sr. reneged on his campaign promise not to raise taxes. Newt was reelected in Georgia for 2 decades. Newt educated a generation of conservatives through his political action committee GOPAC and led them to take over the House in 1994 when the Republicans hadn’t held the house for 40 years. Even Dick Cheney said he never thought Newt could pull it off. Newt presided over the most conservative House as Speaker that anyone in modern times can remember. He was despised by liberals and viciously attacked throughout his career as Speaker. His fellow Republicans more often than not cowardly caved in and threw him under the bus. They then went on to go on a spending spree under Bush in the 2000s and eventually get voted out of the House in a Democrat sweep in 2006.


17 posted on 02/12/2012 1:22:45 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: JediJones
His fellow Republicans more often than not cowardly caved in and threw him under the bus. They then went on to go on a spending spree under Bush in the 2000s and eventually get voted out of the House in a Democrat sweep in 2006.

It would have been nice if Newt had done something to stop them, or at least protest.

I guess he has an alibi: he wasn't around. But that works better for somebody who hasn't been elected yet, not for somebody who's been in Congress for 20 years and then leaves and doesn't look back.

It's convenient to say now that Newt wouldn't have done what the rest of Congress did. But given that he didn't protest, some of us are going to conclude that you're drawing a false distinction between Gingrich and the rest of Congress.

18 posted on 02/12/2012 1:39:51 PM PST by x
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To: writer33

Newt is not going to lose GA.


19 posted on 02/12/2012 1:41:17 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: JediJones

All this bickering and people are missing the big point of this poll.

31 of the 76 delegates in GA are allocated by the statewide vote, but there’s a 20% threshold to get any of those. If Romney falls under 20%, he’s out of luck on those.

The other 42 are allocated by CD. If the winner of the CD gets more than 50% in that CD, they get all 3, but if they get less than 50%, then it’s a 2-1 split. This means Santorum can finish 2nd in a lot of these CD’s behind Newt and still get delegates.

Newt may win GA and even several CD’s with 50% of the vote, but over 50% statewide may be a tough task according to this poll.


20 posted on 02/12/2012 1:41:21 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: writer33
Shouldn't the headline be: Romney support collapsing in George.

It's a rhetorical question, but why do facts that hurt Romney always get spun by the media as damaging some other candidate.

21 posted on 02/12/2012 1:41:47 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: vbmoneyspender

George = Georgia


22 posted on 02/12/2012 1:43:08 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: Lazlo in PA

“”Split the vote? Rick is winning if you haven’t noticed. Just check the delegate count and states won for confirmation.””

TOTAL DELEGATES
Mitt Romney
Pledged*: 104
Unpledged RNC*: 20
Total: 124

Newt Gingrich
Pledged*: 34
Unpledged RNC*: 4
Total: 38

Rick Santorum
Pledged*: 36
Unpledged RNC*: 1
Total: 37

Ron Paul
Pledged*: 27
Unpledged RNC*: 0
Total: 27

Michele Bachmann
Pledged*: 0
Unpledged RNC*: 0
Total: 0

Rick Perry
Pledged*: 0
Unpledged RNC*: 0
Total: 0

Jon Huntsman
Pledged*: 0
Unpledged RNC*: 0
Total: 0

Delegates Needed to Win: 1,144

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/scorecard/statebystate/r


23 posted on 02/12/2012 1:48:44 PM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: writer33

Per another thread, Santorum is leading in TN, too.

That ‘southern strategy’ may not be such a viable strategy after all.

If Santorum picks up a couple more states soon, he might just have enough Big Mo going to become the best challenger against Romney.


24 posted on 02/12/2012 1:52:44 PM PST by TomGuy
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To: Conservative Vermont Vet
Same here with Newt—I would gladly vote for him in the general, it's just that I will be gladly voting for Santorum instead.
25 posted on 02/12/2012 1:54:56 PM PST by Happy Rain ("If you're shiftless and in doubt-find a liberal whine and pout-pretty soon you're making out.")
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To: Apollo5600
Not too fond of Christian Conservatives are you?

That's OK, we have you in our prayers.

Newt shot his bolt and came up short, Santorum is now the Not Romney who will save America.

Of course this is all moot because you are disagreeing with ME—which means all by itself that you are wrong and if you persist, stupid;)

26 posted on 02/12/2012 1:59:49 PM PST by Happy Rain ("If you're shiftless and in doubt-find a liberal whine and pout-pretty soon you're making out.")
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To: writer33

Mason Dixon poll has Newt soaring! Newt Gingrich has maintained a double-digit lead over his Republican rivals in Georgia with less than a month to go before the state’s presidential primary, according to a poll released Saturday.

The poll showed the former House speaker leading Mitt Romney 43 percent to 29 percent among likely voters in Georgia, the state Gingrich represented in Congress for two decades.

Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum had 12 percent while Texas congressman Ron Paul trailed with 6 percent. The polling was conducted Monday through Wednesday, meaning many Georgia respondents were questioned before Santorum won contests in Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado that have given his campaign a renewed sense of momentum.

Georgia is one of 10 states that will decide their Republican primaries on March 6. It’s also the Super Tuesday state with the most delegates up for grabs, with a total of 76.

The Georgia poll showed Gingrich leading among both men and women as well as with voters who identified themselves as evangelical Christians and tea party supporters. Gingrich also led Romney by healthy margins in all regions of the state except for metro Atlanta, where they were in statistical tie with Gingrich polling at 38 percent and Romney at 34 percent.

The poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. of Washington, D.C., and paid for by 13 daily newspapers with readership across Georgia.

Pollsters conducted telephone interviews with 625 registered Georgia voters who said they were likely to vote in the GOP primary. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.

Read more: Cherokee Tribune - Ga poll Newt has wide lead over Romney


27 posted on 02/12/2012 2:01:00 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: JediJones

I remember Newt. My family remembers Newt. We don’t exactly look back wistfully at the Gingrich Congress.

That being said, he is quite a formidable politician.


28 posted on 02/12/2012 2:04:31 PM PST by Downinthedixie (ABO)
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To: TLI

I am going by these numbers.

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/delegates

Milt 105

Rick 71

Newt 29

RuPaul 18


29 posted on 02/12/2012 2:08:23 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: writer33

Georgia Republican Presidential Primary

March 6 (Proportional Primary) 76 Delegates

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul Spread
RCP Average 2/1 - 2/9 -- 40.0 24.0 17.5 6.5 Gingrich +16.0
Landmark/Rosetta Stone 2/9 - 2/9 1475 LV 35 16 26 5 Gingrich +9
SurveyUSA 2/1 - 2/2 459 LV 45 32 9 8 Gingrich +13

30 posted on 02/12/2012 2:09:09 PM PST by deport (..............God Bless Texas............)
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To: Lazlo in PA

That’s absolutely FALSE.

After the primaries and caucuses hold in January and February:

Newt Gingrich - 29 pledged delegates

Ron Paul - 8 pledged delegates

Rick Santorum - 3 pledged delegates

Mitt Romney - 73 pledged delegates

(By awarding all 50 delegates to Romney, Florida broke the RNC delegate allocation rules. If these delegates are important, a motion can be made from the floor of the National Convention to have these delegates awarded proportionally)

Unpledged delegates Caucus Selected - 116

Unpledged delegates Party Leaders - 12

Unpledged delegates Released - 2

Notes:

The listed pledged delegates for each candidate are the only the delegates that are actually bound to those candidates.

Unpledged caucus selected delegates are any delegates that are selected at county, regional, or state conventions as an extension of the caucus process without regard for non-binding presidential straw polls often also conducted at caucuses.

Unpledged party selected delegates are delegates selected through the state party that are not a part of the caucus or primary process. For example Illinois and Indiana select unpledged delegates at their state conventions in addition to those selected during their primaries.

Unpledged party leaders are state party officials who are delegates by virtue of their position.

Unpledged released delegates are those delegates won by a candidate who has withdrawn from the race and therefore have become unpledged delegates, such as the 2 delegates won by John Huntsman in New Hampshire.

These are unpledged delegates: Colorado - 36, Minnesota - 40, Missouri - 0, Maine - 24, Iowa - 28

At the Convention, they are not bound to the candidates, and may vote as they please.


31 posted on 02/12/2012 2:15:01 PM PST by Marguerite (When I'm good, I am very, very good. But! When I'm bad, I'm even better)
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To: writer33

Rick Santorum is an Eddie Haskel.


32 posted on 02/12/2012 2:18:35 PM PST by Cindy of Nashville (What has the Democrat party become???)
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To: Marguerite
Rick Santorum - 3 pledged delegates

And you think the non pledged delegates for Rick are not going to support him? Not likely. Also you sour grapes about the FL delegate split is funny. I don't remember Newt whining about winner takes all prior to the FL election.

33 posted on 02/12/2012 2:23:30 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: All

Florida broke the rules. Set an example GOP... ENFORCE THE RULES!

Rule No. 15: Election, Selection, Allocation, or Binding of Delegates and Alternate Delegates

(1) No primary, caucus, or convention to elect, select, allocate, or bind delegates to the national convention shall occur prior to the first Tuesday in March in the year in which a national convention is held.

Except Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada may begin their processes at any time on or after February 1 in the year in which a national convention is held and shall not be subject to the provisions of paragraph (2) of this rule.

(2) Any presidential primary, caucus, convention, or other meeting held for the purpose of selecting delegates to the national convention which occurs prior to the first day of April in the year in which the national convention is held, shall provide for the allocation of delegates on a proportional basis.


34 posted on 02/12/2012 2:27:20 PM PST by Marguerite (When I'm good, I am very, very good. But! When I'm bad, I'm even better)
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To: Cindy of Nashville

Worse, he’s a Uriah Heep. As I posted earlier, I started off by thinking he was a mere Jimmy Carter, complete with smarmy manner and dorky blue sweater, but then I realized that there’s a sort of vicious, whining edge there that has more in common with Uriah Heep (just an ‘umble man...invoking the name of the Lord while busy scheming and stuffed to the gills with personal ambition).

That said, aside from my personal aversion to him, he has no ideas, and that is what this contest has got to be fought on. Unfortunately, the press and the supporters of the candidates do nothing but post these wierd lightning polls (Romney did a lot of that in FL) to depress turnout by making people think it’s a done deal...and nobody ever reports the candidate’s program or even appears to care about it.


35 posted on 02/12/2012 2:29:54 PM PST by livius
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To: Happy Rain

I challenged another Santorumbot on this earlier and never got a response.

If Saint Rick is so great, how about you explain how his PLATFORM is superior to Newt’s? Can you explain why Saint Rick doesn’t support a flat tax? Can you explain why he bashed the fair tax? Can you explain why Saint Rick doesn’t want to seriously reform the tax system? Can you explain why he does not favor a FAIR flat tax rate for ALL industries, as opposed to simply lowering taxes for certain FAVORED industries? Can you explain why he does not favor privatization of Social Security, even though he supported it during the Bush years?

And don’t just spam me about something negative with Newt, essentially calling him a liar. NO BABY PICTURES EITHER.

The fact of the matter is, this stuff about being the only “Christian conservative” is the last fatal gasp. And FYI, I’m not a Catholic. I am a Christian Protestant. You’ll have to find something else to appeal to me.


36 posted on 02/12/2012 2:36:34 PM PST by Apollo5600
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To: x

That sounds just like Santorum saying he NEVER supported TARP. Lucky for him, we’ll never know, since he wasn’t around to vote on it...


37 posted on 02/12/2012 2:57:32 PM PST by Mangia E Statti Zitto
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To: Apollo5600
Rick Santorum opposed TARP—he did not follow the GOP bail-out crowd. Unlike “others” he opposed the unconstitutional socialized health care individual mandate as far back as 1994. He voted against Cap and Trade and FOR drilling in ANWR. His conservative bona fides are well established in his record on border and national security and his outstanding history of support for our military. Rick did not use Leftist rhetoric criticizing Romney on his days at Bain and he did not snuggle and blush on a love seat with Princess Pelosi advancing the hoax of man made global warming.

There I didn't bash anybody just pointed out Rick's strong points and though his platform and Newt's are practically identical Santorum is the most consistent conservative and his solid long held and adhered to Christian values not only attract the LARGE social conservative vote but explode the heads of Godless RINOs and Leftists everywhere.

I like Newt better than Mitt but I voted for the best in Rick and look forward to voting for him again in November.

38 posted on 02/12/2012 3:03:34 PM PST by Happy Rain ("If you're shiftless and in doubt-find a liberal whine and pout-pretty soon you're making out.")
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To: Mangia E Statti Zitto
If he supported TARP we would ALL know about it.

But then one should, out of the four, give the least mendacious the benefit of the doubt.

39 posted on 02/12/2012 3:06:33 PM PST by Happy Rain ("If you're shiftless and in doubt-find a liberal whine and pout-pretty soon you're making out.")
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To: Happy Rain

LOL, so Rick’s Platform is his ability to oppose stuff?

Pretty easy to oppose TARP when Saint Rick wasn’t even in office to vote for or against it.

I asked you some VERY SPECIFIC QUESTIONS. But it seems Rick’s platform really does revolve around bashing the other candidates.

I think Saint Rick would do better to campaign for canonization with the Church. He can then take up residence in heaven and supervisors the angels, and maybe he can substitute for Minos at the gates of hell whenever that old devil is feeling under the weather.


40 posted on 02/12/2012 3:12:48 PM PST by Apollo5600
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To: Happy Rain

More than that, it sounds like the Newtster himself after losing Iowa! He should follow his own advice, but his abundantly over-inflated ego just won’t let go. He, like RINO Romney, think it’s HIS TURN.


41 posted on 02/12/2012 3:23:48 PM PST by RasterMaster ("Towering genius disdains a beaten path." - Abraham Lincoln)
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To: JediJones
Thank you for posting that. With all the mis-information out there these days, it's hard for the young’uns to get to the truth. Newt is the real deal!
42 posted on 02/12/2012 3:29:18 PM PST by erkelly (Never underestimate the stupidity of the stupid party!)
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To: RasterMaster

It would be totally irresponsible for Newt to step aside until we see how Rick fares after the butt-whooping that is sure to come his way before Super Tuesday. Newt obviously has far stronger positives than any other candidates in the race given his ridiculously successful career of promoting conservative government, but he suffered from some negative attacks. It would be disastrous if we see Rick get slaughtered under negative attacks after Newt drops out and then have no one to turn to. The Romneybots desperately want Newt to drop out because they know that’s their best plan to win the nomination...whittle the race down to one weaker opponent with a much weaker record of achievement than Newt, and kill him with negatives, leaving nowhere for the votes to go except to Romney.


43 posted on 02/12/2012 3:29:54 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: Apollo5600
You are not making any sense. So Rick Santorum should have supported rather than opposed Cap and Trade, TARP, Fannie and Freddie,the auto bail-outs,partial birth abortion, homosexual marriage et cetera et cetera?

I guess when he is president and he opposes Obamacare and tries to destroy it you will think that is a bad thing as well!?!?

You have an impressive drift factor FRiend.

44 posted on 02/12/2012 3:34:33 PM PST by Happy Rain ("If you're shiftless and in doubt-find a liberal whine and pout-pretty soon you're making out.")
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To: JediJones

Newt drops so Ricky Santo can roll over for the Es like he has done all his undistinguished career, leaving a clear path for Romney. Union lackey mission accomplished.


45 posted on 02/12/2012 3:39:07 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Yo Mitt - Money can't buy you love...)
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To: Happy Rain

This inability for common sense, this automatic twisting and distortion of what other people support, is a sure sign of a Santorumbot, learned by Saint Rick himself!

All Saint Rick offers is the repitition that he is the “True Conservative” and the Holy Christian. He doesn’t have a platform, and all he is quite good at is mocking other people’s positions.


46 posted on 02/12/2012 3:46:18 PM PST by Apollo5600
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To: Apollo5600
Whatever—just know that if Newt get the nomination it will be just fine by me—I like the guy.

Just like Rick better.

and remember, I never called you or your candidate a name so at least we had one adult in the room.

tata

47 posted on 02/12/2012 3:51:55 PM PST by Happy Rain ("If you're shiftless and in doubt-find a liberal whine and pout-pretty soon you're making out.")
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To: writer33

Gingrich’s run is done. He stands ZERO chance at being nominated. He needs to get out and endorse Rick. If he doesn’t we may get Mittens.


48 posted on 02/12/2012 3:52:59 PM PST by RIghtwardHo
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To: gov_bean_ counter
Exactly, the Lemming stampede for Santorum is totally impulsive and almost none of then have actually taken the time to research the real Trick Ricky Reverend Santo.

This election is headed for disaster, unless Newt can turn it around. Obama loves the thought of either Romney or Santo as the nominee, and the RNC/GOPE won't have to face the reality of accountability under Newt and company.

49 posted on 02/12/2012 3:53:46 PM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: JediJones

That’s irrelevant since it didn’t stop Newt or many of his foaming-at-the-mouth rabid supporters from calling on Santorum to drop after winning in Iowa. Newt has been losing ground since South Carolina while Santorum has been gaining momentum and money.


50 posted on 02/12/2012 3:57:42 PM PST by RasterMaster ("Towering genius disdains a beaten path." - Abraham Lincoln)
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