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Gallup Poll's New 7-Day Average Defies Logic!
Self,Vanity
| 10/8/2012
| self
Posted on 10/08/2012 1:47:32 PM PDT by zencycler
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1
posted on
10/08/2012 1:47:36 PM PDT
by
zencycler
To: zencycler
Are you sure that Gallup uses a 3 day moving average like Rasmussen? I thought he used a 7 day average.
But regardless, your point is valid.
To: zencycler
Yes the crack pipe that those over at Gallup are smoking as well as the DOJ investigation *laughs*
3
posted on
10/08/2012 1:55:47 PM PDT
by
zimfam007
(Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
To: zencycler
Gallup plays with the numbers all the time. They had a 7 point swing once, meaning a 21 increase in the three day average. They have been doing this and it has nothing to do with the Gov’t. suing them. They no longer show the “internals” unless you pay them. They are not using Likely voters in the same consistency they did in prior elections. It is more of the fraud.
4
posted on
10/08/2012 1:58:10 PM PDT
by
DrDude
(Governor of the 57th State)
To: zencycler
I am worried he will ‘win’ just like Chavez ‘won’ today
possibly with actual tanks in the US streets too
5
posted on
10/08/2012 1:58:21 PM PDT
by
Mr. K
("The only thing the World would hate more than the USA in charge is the USA NOT in charge")
To: zencycler
It is just an outlier. Pay no attention to it.
6
posted on
10/08/2012 2:00:06 PM PDT
by
Blood of Tyrants
(Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied.)
To: zencycler
Gallup must of borrowed some of the Zogby magic sauce.
To: zencycler
look at the 7 day averages.
10/1 50 44
10/2 49 45
10/3 49 45
10/4 50 45
10/5 49 46
10/6 49 46
10/7 50 45
This is not a huge swing. They were never tied in this poll of registered voters.
To: InterceptPoint
Are you sure that Gallup uses a 3 day moving average like Rasmussen? I thought he used a 7 day average
Not normally, but they provided it for the debate:
Link
Excerpt:
Registered voters' preferences for president are evenly split in the first three days of Gallup tracking since last Wednesday's presidential debate. In the three days prior to the debate, Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point edge among registered voters.
434
9
posted on
10/08/2012 2:01:45 PM PDT
by
zencycler
To: zencycler
Am I missing something? Patience.
10
posted on
10/08/2012 2:02:10 PM PDT
by
Michael.SF.
(Ambassador Stevens is dead and the Chevy Volt is alive!)
To: zimfam007
maybe the stunning improvement in the Friday jobs report was a real game changer out there when Obama magically caused unemployment to recede...
To: zencycler
It’s Gallup! The outfit David Axelrod threatens. Ignore it.
To: mcjordansc
You're missing the point - if the only data we had was Gallup's 7-day rolling averages, then you're right. But when you compare Gallup's 7-day average on Oct 7th to the 3-day averages before and after the debate (see post #9) then the 7-day average makes no sense - and even the ones from 10/5 and 10/6 are questionable.
The math just doesn't work when you use Gallup's own numbers for the 3 days before and after the debate.
To: InterceptPoint
A 7 day rolling average of REGISTERED voters means exactly jack and squat.
This is nothing more than a headline hump by Gallup.
To: zencycler
I think you are confusing the 7 day tracker with their 3 day tracker. They do both. The 3 day tracker was 47-47. The 7 day is 49-46.
15
posted on
10/08/2012 2:19:12 PM PDT
by
nhwingut
(Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
To: InterceptPoint
On somethings they use 3 day and they also use 7 day. In my opinion they use whatever day polling would benefit Obama.
In the past it seemed it was 3 day but right after the DNC
convention I noticed Gallop using 7 day polling and of course Obama was up.
16
posted on
10/08/2012 2:42:59 PM PDT
by
funfan
To: zencycler
How did Romney get 39 on October 7th- Rasmussen had him at 49?
17
posted on
10/08/2012 2:45:44 PM PDT
by
funfan
To: mcjordansc
and registered voters is a meaningless sample
18
posted on
10/08/2012 3:47:50 PM PDT
by
Nifster
To: funfan
On October 7 they only talked to 10 voters—6 of them were for Obama and 4 for Romney. The figures came out as 59% and 39% because one of the voters on each side was “not all there.”
To: zencycler
Am I missing something?Perhaps, you're missing that polls are accurate 19 times out of 20, 95% of the time.
20
posted on
10/08/2012 4:17:22 PM PDT
by
BfloGuy
(Teach a man to fish and you lose a Democratic voter.)
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