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Trump will emerge victorious in November: Professor of history
Press TV ^ | September 24, 2016

Posted on 09/25/2016 7:19:35 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump will win the race for the White House, says an American professor, who has correctly predicted all the last eight presidents of the United States.

Allan Lichtman, a distinguished professor of history at American University, told The Washington Post that based on a system he calls "Keys to the White House", Trump will emerge victorious in the November election.

“Based on the 13 keys, it would predict a Donald Trump victory,” he claimed.

The professor said he derived the system of true/false statements, "by looking at every American presidential election from 1860 to 1980, and have since used the system to correctly predict the outcomes of all eight American presidential elections from 1984 to 2012.”

He said one of the keys he uses to predict the winner of the White House is that the candidate is charismatic or not.

Lichtman said Trump’s rival Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton “doesn't fit the bill.”

Another factor he mentioned against Clinton is that she is going to run after President Barack Obama—a Democrat-- who had no major domestic or foreign policy achievements.

He also explained to the newspaper that his prediction is not based upon the polls, adding that “the polls have very recently tightened.”

“Clinton is less ahead than she was before, but it's not because Trump is rising, it's because Clinton is falling,” he added.

According to the professor, the upcoming election was the most difficult to assess, because “We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well break patterns of history that have held since 1860.”

With less than two months remaining to the election, Clinton holds a solid 6-point lead over Trump, according to the McClatchy-Marist poll released Friday.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Politics; Science
KEYWORDS: hillary; trump

1 posted on 09/25/2016 7:19:35 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Jane Long; hoosiermama; BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

4:01 Minutes
Professor outlines why he thinks Trump is headed for a win

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o4MVuRIiD4s


2 posted on 09/25/2016 7:24:11 AM PDT by Whenifhow
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Press TV is a 24-hour English language news and documentary network, affiliated with Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting.

Your usual go-to news source???

3 posted on 09/25/2016 7:29:43 AM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: Alter Kaker; 2ndDivisionVet

Here are a couple of other sources

American University Professor Predicts Trump Will Win In November
http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/23/american-university-professor-predicts-trump-will-win-in-november/

Trump will win the White House says history professor ...
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3805067/Trump-win-White-House-says-history-professor-correctly-predicted-eight-presidential-elections.html


4 posted on 09/25/2016 7:48:59 AM PDT by Whenifhow
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
This election is the revenge of the rustbelt. If she lost OH she has to defend PA & MI, both of which Trump is fighting for. My guess is he catches her soon in PA, and then it is on for the TKO in MI.

Again I say Watch Michigan it is going to be where the action is this cycle. IMHO it is her last stand, if she can't hold that firewall, it is definitely over...

5 posted on 09/25/2016 7:53:15 AM PDT by taildragger (Not my Monkey, not my Circus...)
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To: taildragger

PA is already within the margin of error (2 points).


6 posted on 09/25/2016 7:57:04 AM PDT by TigerClaws
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To: TigerClaws

Yes it is, Tomorrow night he “closes” the deal with those in PA that are a little timid to throw their support his way. He is a closer on all business deals. Tomorrow night is the close of his life...


7 posted on 09/25/2016 8:01:42 AM PDT by taildragger (Not my Monkey, not my Circus...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; poconopundit
There have been several threads posted about this. This one is the most interesting:

Professor Masks Evidence, Discredits Own Election Model in Trump Victory Prediction

In it, Pocono Pundit looks at all the "keys", and concludes that 10 (instead of 6) of the 13 "keys" forecast a Trump victory. I added that I think one of them is "half true": while we aren't technically in a recession, I think a lot of voters personally feel like we are in a recession.

8 posted on 09/25/2016 8:50:05 AM PDT by justlurking
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This late in the game, this is a no brainer prediction. If he had said this back last fall like a lot of us here were saying then it would have been pretty good. Look for a lot more “predictions” coming soon so folks can say they knew it all along.


9 posted on 09/25/2016 8:51:29 AM PDT by pangaea6
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To: taildragger

10 posted on 09/25/2016 1:18:45 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: Alter Kaker

I post from a very wide variety of sources. Hit the abuse button if you feel it’s not kosher.


11 posted on 09/25/2016 2:22:58 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The actual story is perfectly fine. But PressTV is an odd place to get it from - it’s propaganda directly controlled by the hard line Supreme Leader of Iran. Even more weird, plenty of legitimate outlets covered the same story. So how did you wind up with a version written by the Iranian government!


12 posted on 09/26/2016 6:33:22 AM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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