Posted on 11/03/2016 8:51:13 AM PDT by Braak
Guys, I think the tide is beginning to turn...if it has not already. Nevada is 50/50, NC is the same..as is FL. The midwest and PA are running about 22-23%.
The cracks are showing...will it be enough?
this a.m., Trump has inched up from 31 to 34 plus.
slowly....Natalie is having to come to grips with reality.
None of the recent state polls have anything but good for Trump. Positive numbers are rolling in from everywhere: NH, PA, CO....
Just read his latest blog post about 10 minutes ago. The point that stands out is his repeated ‘don’t trust the poll leads’. I think he knows the tide is against Clinton but doesn’t want to actually come out and say it.
It’s going to be a close election. It will probably be determined by just tens of thousands of voters in a few key states. I’m not sure I buy the Trump landslide brewing yet, but I could very well be wrong. Democrats will turn their people out if they have to drag them kicking and screaming. We’ve seen how powerful there turnout machine can be the last eight years. Granted, Obama is not on the ballot, but they will not give up power without an all out fight.
Who is Nate Silver? What is this 5-38? Reliable?
I gave up on Nate a while ago.. He was always in the tank for Hildabeast, but when he started taking obviously cooked pools and using them for analysis there was no point isn’t looking at him.. Even for statistical analysis purposes.
He’ll be wearing egg next Tuesday
35 now! HA!
He just broke 35%...could he break 50% in 5 days?
In the end, it's not the averages... it's the FINISH! :-)
Rasmussen has Trump past the 50% mark.
Yeah she’s wining alright. After she gets creamed by Trump she’ll be wining some more and when thy come to arrest her she will have been wining so much they’ll have to carry her to the big house.
I don’t disagree at all.
My only real reason to watch Natalie is b/c I know libs, having no God, place their trust in him.
So everytime Trump moves out, I know there is a liberal out there wetting him or herself. And that makes me happy! :)
Absolutely he can!
Sometimes 538 does move the numbers quickly.
I don’t care about 538, but the polls have really been moving for trump in New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado... A lot of these have moved from hillary being clearly ahead to trump being competitive or tied
Between 538 and RCP..the momentum is swinging..can Trump hold it for 5 more days? Her chances are declining just about every time I refresh.
The dam is breaking, for sure. Viva la landslide.
Probably every less-than-rock-solid Dem state will turn to Trump by election time, including states like Oregon, Minnesota, and New Jersey.
5 more EV swing and she’s down on the RCP no tossups. NH makes four... CO 9, and VA 13 that she’s going to lose shortly. My guess is that Wisconsin will fall next.
Agreed, it is the closest thing to their internals we will get. And btw..PA is at 24.7% for Trump...I smell the faint beginnings of a collapse..
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