Levin: What’s up with Dr. Brix’s modeling? Check this out

Mark Levin on Twitter ^ | 4/6/2020 35 mins ago | Mark Levin

[conservative98]

What’s up with Dr. Brix’s modeling? Check this out https://t.co/kgg2gXB7fv— Mark R. Levin (@marklevinshow) April 6, 2020

The IMHE model for the Wuhan coronavirus that the White House is relying on is garbage. It is using NY/NJ data and applying it to the rest of the U.S.

It predicted that over 121,000 Americans would be hospitalized yesterday over the coronavirus. The actual number? 31,142. pic.twitter.com/vZCGXB5HLN— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) April 2, 2020

[Bonemaker]

She’s the Imelda Marcos of scarves.

[_Jim]

Other complicating factors: What is the mortality rate for the ‘weak and infirm’, IOW, pre-existing conditions, smokers, over 70 etc ... MANY of the ‘weak and infirm’ are going to be early casualties, if infected, with Covid-19, so the numbers, the slope of the graph will decrease, flatten, and turn down. NOTHING is ever addressed on the ‘weak and infirm’ aspect as a ‘target’ for SARS-COV-2.

[dynoman]

That’s not Dr. Birx’s model.

[Scott from the Left Coast]

This is true - diabetes seems to be huge (pun intended) factor in the lethality of the virus.

[dynoman]

Because it was snipped out of the screenshot;

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

[Texas Eagle]

True enough. But, if he were to retire, he'd probably still drawing the same amount in his retirement check and then we'd have to pay his successor the same amount of money we are paying him now. So we would be paying two people exorbitant salaries to do next to nothing.

Indeed, who did "Dr." Fauci succeed at the bureaucracy he works at? We're probably paying that person $380,000 a year too.

[semantic]

My projection is 30k total USA CV fatalities as of 8/1, using the method of lagging Italy by 8 days. (The days between each country's first recorded CV deaths.) This is the same basis used for charts/graphs I've posted since mid-March.

Italy appears to have peaked 10 days ago @ 919; this would then suggest the US peaked 2 days ago @ 1,352. If we set a goal of 0+- by 8/1, then we would experience a daily decrease by -5.3%. This is what it looks like graphically:

Note the sharp run up to the peak is due to NY, which as of 4/5 represents approx 44% of all USA CV deaths.

[minnesota_bound]

Computer models for something so variable are garbage.
Like trying to predict the global temperature.

[gibsonguy]

“gibsonguy, I like it how you are “right on top of this” ...”
Okay Mr.Snarky:
My Earlier post
Trump considering second task force dedicated to reopening economy
4/5/2020, 7:16:30 PM · 6 of 48
gibsonguy to Kevin in California
Actually I think this is probably a good idea if he’s very careful about who is on it. We need concrete steps with clear benchmarks because the rats and the MSM will be fighting him the whole way. A recovering economy will be a bigger crises than the virus to those bastards.

[DivineMomentsOfTruth]

Something left out of modelling, millions of Christians fasting and praying. May all glory go to God

Amen🙏🇺🇸

[rintintin]

Is she related to Hans?“

Hand deserves an apology from all the Freepers who mocked him while they cheered on George Bush’s disastrous invasion of Iraq - an invasion that Trump has called the biggest foreign policy mistake in US history

Bloc was on the ground and told Bush he couldn’t find WMDs in Iraq. Bush invaded anyway - and turned the region into an inferno, burning up $8 trillion in the process

[wastoute]

I believe it was a week ago I pointed out that biological systems don’t produce data like that. Turns out they didn’t. It was a lag in reporting on Sunday. Now 7 days later...

[kabar]

Finally, the IHME model has been updated today with real data. Last update was April 1. The total of estimated deaths thru Aug 4 has been reduced from over 93.5 thousand to 81,766. Look for that number to go down as well.

We see hospitalizations stabilizing, hence the pipeline to deaths will decrease. The numbers now in ICUs will be the source of most of the near-future deaths.

The 30K prediction is a bit low for me without some therapeutic intervention. I would love to see the results of the antibody tests in a few months. IMO we will find a huge number of people who have already had the CV. Reminder of past flu seasons:

[gloryblaze]

Thanks.

[MrEdd]

The whole country does not have the population density and poor sanitation the big cities in New York have.

There is not ever going to be any “catching up” because those exacerbating conditions for transmission don’t exist in Nebraska, or the Texas prairie grasslands, or the Colorado Desert.

What New York City has isn’t inevitable or even very likely in other places.

[Citizen Soldier]

The nineties called and wants their scarves back. She follows Hillary’s fashion sense. She needs a better hairdo. Too messy.

[kabar]

[Sequoyah101]

It is a very good gooberment salary.

Don’t know what she makes but Fauci was making $324,000 4 years ago.

There is a special rate provision for doctors in the gooberment pay scale so they can hire the very best civic minded Boffins.

[Menehune56]

Because it was snipped out of the screenshot;
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

Thank you my FRiend!

[kabar]

Most of the health care facilities in the US are experiencing massive declines in patients. The state lockdowns, cancellations of elective surgery and other medical procedures, less people on the road, and fear of going to hospitals for minor illnesses and injuries to lessen possible exposure have reduced business to such an extent that doctors and nurses are being furloughed.

A few hot spots mask the fact that our health system has not been overwhelmed by CV.