Michigan Poll: Trump Up Big, But Cruz Would Win Head-To-Head

Breitbart ^ | 3-7-2016 | JORDAN SCHACHTEL

[Citizen Zed]

In a hypothetical head-to-head scenario, Cruz bests Trump 48-41 percent.

In another hypothetical head-to-head, Rubio beats Trump narrowly, 46-45. If Rubio were to drop out of the race, his voters would go 3-to-1 for Ted Cruz, according to the survey.

71 percent of Republicans said they would support Donald Trump against Hillary Clinton in a general election. 9 percent said they will support Hillary Clinton, another 9 percent would not vote for either, 4 percent would choose “other,” and 7 percent are undecided about the hypothetical match up.

14 percent of those surveyed said they were undecided. 13 percent have already voted.

The Monmouth University poll also surveyed MIchigan residents for the Democratic primary there.

Hillary Clinton is beating Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) in Michigan 55-42 percent, according to the poll.

[blueplum]

Probably because most candidates project their own faults on the competition.

lol. well, I was talking about voters' mind-sets, but do you mean like Rubio attacking Trump for 'small hands' ? was that Rubio's way of asking the crowd's approval of himself for being 'over-sexed' ?

[94Revolution]

#1. Not Trump
#2. They only vote for Rubio because he’s pretty
#3. They only vote for Rubio because they like the way he talks.

[jstaff]

We won the Super Bowl. Don’t believe all this hype by a bunch of stoners. As soon as the consumables buzz wears off you will know the TRUTH.

CAM NEWTON FOR PRESIDENT!!!!

[jstaff]

A whole bunch of Rubio supporters think, mistakenly, that he is a conservative. As the sun shines on their little heads they are more and more seeing the truth and moving to the actual conservative.

[Thud]

Interesting, but too late for Cruz given that Michigan's primary is tomorrow. It's all about delegate numbers at the convention now. Cruz has to keep Trump under 45% of delegates on the first ballot to have any chance, and that math does not look good for him.

I certainly have a dog in this fight, and it's him at the moment. I thought Cruz had whiffed when he failed to re-invent himself as Mr. National Security after the San Bernardino terrorist attack. He's managed to come back some anyway, and more power to him. But math is math.

Worse, another major terrorist attack in the US, and maybe even one in Europe, will put Trump over the top anyway. Cruz's failure to go there makes him completely vulnerable to events. Trump did so before things happened and is winning on that basis.

So it's time to get some popcorn and watch. At least Cruz hanging on will make Trump stronger in November.

[CA Conservative]

A little back of the envelope math tells me that Trump needs to get 81 delegates tomorrow to stay on the same track that he is currently on. Right now, he needs 54% of the remaining delegates to get to 1237; 81 delegates tomorrow would be 54% of those delegates, keeping him basically on his current track. If he gets less, then he will need a greater percentage of the delegates in future contests; more, and he needs a lower percentage of future contests.

If Trump gets both Florida and Ohio, it will be hard to stop him. If he gets one of the two, he still has a path to 1237, but it gets harder. If he loses both, we are probably going to an open convention.

[Thud]

Thanks for the calculation.

[Thud]

Trump won 47.3% of last night’s delegates (71 of 150) so he fell somewhat behind the mark he needs.