[Degaston]

My thoughts:

Leaning DT (74) - Florida 29, Ohio 18, AZ 11, IA 6, NV 6, NH 4
Tossup (61) - NC 15, NJ 14, WI 10, MN 10, CO 9, ME 3 (note 1 for DT strongly in this 4 EV State)
Leaning HRC (54) - PA 20, MI 16, VA 13, NM 5

All others - DT 181, HRC 168

[HamiltonJay]

I’d keep my eye on the Rust Belt... Other than MN and IL... I fully expect a lot of surprises there.

As Michael Moore has stated (and I know he only said these things as a set up to tear down Trump) but he’s right, this is where these people live and breath and they have watched the globalist destroy their lives and communities with nary a care. THere kids are the ones getting addicted to Heroine flowing freely across the southern border, they have watched the American Dream stolen from them by their own politicians and elites, and they have had enough....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKeYbEOSqYc

[2ndDivisionVet]

New Numbers Reveal Trump Is Ahead In Florida, Contradicting Media Narrative
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3484755/posts

[MaxistheBest]

“Leaning DT (74) - Florida 29, Ohio 18, AZ 11, IA 6, NV 6, NH 4”

If Trump wins all these states, he wins with 269; add in Maine 1 for 207!

[Reagan79]

I think Trump wins NC, Ohio, Florida, Iowa, and Arizona.

I think he loses CO, ME, MN, WI, MI, NM, PA, VA, NJ.

Tossups or I am not confident wither way are - NV, NH.

[DoodleDawg]

In “Leaning DT” I would put New Hampshire in the Clinton column. In “Tossup”, I would put North Carolina with Trump, New Jersey, Wisconsin, Minnesota and the three Maine votes with Clinton, and the fourth Maine vote with Trump.

[wastoute]

I don’t “know” anything but I can say this with confidence, when you see Hillary starting to campaign in New York you can be sure Trump is crushing her. When you see her appearing in New York she is just trying to prevent a humiliating blowout.

I read the Klown is supposed to appear for her in Orlando tomorrow. Let’s see if he can draw 25,000. I doubt it.

[Grampa Dave]

We all know the MSM has annointed HRC to be POTUS 45 and I expect to see all sorts of shameless propaganda between now and when its "too late" for any difference to be made on Election Night in the last battleground state.

“Liars Are Us” is not only a tag that can legitimately be worn by Barack Obama and his handpicked replacement but one that should identify a mainstream media that is keeping Hillary Clinton leading in many polls."

”The propaganda going on in today’s MSM would make Goebbels proud. It’s absolutely outrageous the slander and libel going on everyday against Trump, and people of ALL political persuasions should be outraged. If politicians were able to sue these slime bags for slander and libel Trump would have made himself another 10 billion by now. How outrageous is it that the media completely ignored the fact that the DNC celebrated the mother of an attempted cop killer and instead chose to focus on the lesser story of Trump questioning why a woman didn’t speak. So attempted cop killers - Good. Asking a question - BAD!” posted on 8/13/2016, 7:04:57 AM by GrandJediMasterYoda

[Salvavida]

DT will take PA, VA, and possibly NC, and that will set the tone for the wave because they are in EST. The oversampling of democrats will be their undoing.

Keep your eyes on Prince William County in VA. That will tell the tale.

[rb22982]

NC is leaning DT. Will post more later

[Mad Dawgg]

Jersey a toss-up?

[PA-RIVER]

PA, we are seeing zero enthusiasm for the nagging Lesbian with the wandering eye.

[rb22982]

NC: early in person voting vs 2012.

D: -9% (blacks down over 25%)
R: Flat
I: +32% (85% white, 4% black, 50/50 m/f).

Two notes:
1) Very good showing so far in NC vs 2012 for Trump
2) The low turnout for blacks in NC may portend low turnout for blacks in MI and PA as well