Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Michigan Poll: Trump Holding 15-Point Lead Over Biden
wcbm.com ^ | 5/2/2024 | Paul Sancuy/AP

Posted on 05/02/2024 2:13:53 PM PDT by Signalman

An April Kaplan Strategies poll has former President Donald Trump with a big lead over President Joe Biden in Michigan.

The poll has Trump leading Biden 51%-36% in a state that will be key to determining who wins the 2024 presidential election.

Biden beat Trump in the Great Lakes State by 2.8 points in 2020. In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by just .23 points, 10,000 votes, the first time Michigan voted Republican since 1988.

Both sides have been campaigning aggressively in Michigan, with Trump recently hosting a rally in Freeland. Third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. will also be on the ballot in Michigan and could draw support from both parties.

While the poll shows good news for Trump, it is almost certainly an outlier.

A poll conducted by The Hill/Emerson released April 30, has Trump up by 1 point, while a CBS News poll conducted last Sunday has Biden up two points. Most other polls show the race to be within a margin of error, with Trump on average leading 46%-44.8%, according to RealClear Politics.

FiveThirtyEight, a website that analyzes polls and pollsters, gives Kaplan Strategies a two-star rating out of three stars, with a transparency score of 2.4 out of 10.

Kaplan Strategies surveyed 804 people April 20-21 with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 15point; biden; genocidejoe; hamas; jihadjoe; lol; michigan; polls; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-52 last
To: conservative98




41 posted on 05/02/2024 4:14:50 PM PDT by Songcraft ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: Songcraft

These Communist radicals that the Democrat Party and the Biden White House have created are now turning on them. They thought they could control their monsters, but it never works out that way. But they never learn.
“THIS TIME WILL BE DIFFERENT.
THIS TIME WE WILL GET IT RIGHT.”
JUST LOVE WHEN THAT HAPPENS!


42 posted on 05/02/2024 4:19:03 PM PDT by Dick Bachert
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: unclebankster

I don’t. I expect the rat cheat to be 1000 x bigger than 2020.


43 posted on 05/02/2024 4:25:59 PM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to says it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: nwrep

lol Georgia is not even in play, I have no idea why they keep listing that as a swing state this year.

Trump has already been polling over 50% in Georgia in many polls.


44 posted on 05/02/2024 4:49:22 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: Signalman

Insane outlier.

Love Trump, but no way he’s up 15 or anything close to that in MI.


45 posted on 05/02/2024 5:14:50 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PGR88

It is not just Detroit, the number of deceased voting is statewide.


46 posted on 05/02/2024 5:32:19 PM PDT by cnsmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Signalman

Yeah sure. Utter crap poll. The terrorists aren’t going to vote for PDT no matter how bad it get for A sleepy


47 posted on 05/02/2024 6:05:06 PM PDT by DAC21
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Signalman
Yeah, I don't believe this poll at all.

I would say it's at least 25 points.

48 posted on 05/02/2024 6:53:52 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican
"They call him 'Genocide Joe' in Dearborn."

Got's the makings of a future superfund site.
49 posted on 05/02/2024 11:02:11 PM PDT by clearcarbon (Fraudulent elections have consequences.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: Signalman

“This margin seems ludicrous, but I expect the 45th President to be very competitive in the Wolverine State come November.”
3.5 MoE is “ludicrous”? REALLY Surrender Monkey is THAT the best you can do?


50 posted on 05/03/2024 3:40:30 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TexasFreeper2009

“Final Results 2020 Biden 50.6 Trump 47.8.”

Rigged results. We will never know the actual results.


51 posted on 05/03/2024 6:38:02 AM PDT by enumerated (81 million votes my ass)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: ifinnegan

The glimmer of hope I have for 2024 is twofold:

1) The amount of fraud needed to close the 2024 gap and allow Biden to win is far, far greater than it was in 2020. The failure of the Biden Administration are profound’- they make Jimmy Carter’s term in office look like the good old days.

2) Large scale election fraud will be much riskier for the perpetrators this time around than it was in 2020. There were two types of cheating: passive and active.

Examples of passive cheating were changes in election laws and procedures - usually justified by Covid - to waive in-person voting, signature and chain of custody verifications, block Republicans from observing counts, purposely leave over registration roles “dirty”, and erase various audit trails - making it impossible to screen for illegal ballots. These passive ways of cheating are difficult to charge as crimes - like a surveillance camera not functioning - you can’t prove it was deliberate vs. negligence.

But for the cheating to work, there also needs to be active cheating. It’s not enough to set up an environment where cheating goes undetected - there has to be actual fake ballots pushed through the system. There need to be tens of thousands of ballots being altered and trafficked - and thousands of people knowingly conspiring to commit crimes.

In 2020, for example, perpetrators recruited and paid thousands of “mules” and drivers to transport counterfeit ballots wherever needed, and instructed hundreds of election workers to do very questionable things - like entering the same ballots multiple times…

These people mostly just followed instructions, assuming there was no crime being committed - or at least knowing that if there was anything wrong with what they were doing, they had plausible deniability.

I think the situation will be much different in 2024 - far riskier for the perpetrators. For example, if I’m running the fraud operation in Philadelphia county, and I’m recruiting mid level operatives, low level mules and drivers, crooked election workers, etc.. to carry out the fraud - how do I know I’m not taking to an under-cover Project Veritas type operative - maybe James O’Keefe himself - who is recording my every word?

No, 2024 won’t be as easy - they might steal it - but it will have to be a completely different scheme.

The thing I fear is not that they do a repeat of the 2020 steal - but rather that they simply assassination him the moment he is sworn in. That’s why he needs to pick a VP very carefully.


52 posted on 05/03/2024 7:26:38 AM PDT by enumerated (81 million votes my ass)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-52 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson