Posted on 10/26/2010 3:25:39 PM PDT by truthfreedom
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But, Democrats are ferociously attacking CoD as hard as they attacked Scott Brown in Massachusetts. If she is so far behind, what is the point in beating up on this woman?
This is anecdotal, but I think I know why they are doing this…jusr like with Hottie McAwesome there are internals showing O’Donnell ahead.
Today I talked to a friend ftom Team Hillary who is a big Dem fundraiser. He told me that for the last week or so the DNC has been at DEFCON 1 leaning HARD on the rainmakers because they are terrified of a CoD win in Delaware.
The problem is some internal poll that apparently shows that a high percentage of Democrats early voting are voting straight ticket Republican instead…they are Democrats voting against Democrats.
...
(Excerpt) Read more at hillbuzz.org ...
Yeah, I thought this was a Conservative site.
You’re thinking the same way as I am.
At this point. I don't want to see RAS or anybody else polling here. The situation is perfect for Christine right now. Her supporters are amped up and believe she is gaining on Coons the way she did against Castle. The Dems here think it's in the bank for them. If this situation prevails, she will turn out an army & Coons will not & she has got a GOOD chance of winning. A big poll showing her very close or very far behind will upset this dynamic.
I saw the article about the unions and the GOTV.
Excellent anecdotal evidence from you in the Kent / Dover area.
If we hold on to as many Republicans as Coons holds on to Democrats, as a percentage, we have the turnout advantage seen in the early voting, and win independents by a bit (due probably to a turnout advantage among Conservative Independents), we win.
I was in Dewey Beach a couple weeks ago, and I didn’t really get much of a feel for how voters were. Didn’t really leave the beach area / Rt 1 / the shopping centers area at all.
Hmmmm, good questions.
First, Sussex county created Christine O’Donnell. back in 2005 we were meeting in pizza parlors to hear her speak such was our disgust with the Delaware GOP.
She’ll carry Sussex AND Kent, but that was never an issue.
Your question about a possible 60% versus 37% turnout is more germane to this AND the Urquhart race.
Yes, I think your percentages are very possible and in fact, I’m willing to bet, given the Castle thing for so many years, that this is probably normal turnout rates in Delaware.
THIS year though, I dunno. Delaware’s got a large union population. I suspect there’s big moves afoot to get out that lackluster Wilmington vote,which did turn out quite handily for Obamer in 2008., btw.
So the question is, can the Acorn/union groups get the Dems to the polls? Recalling that these folks are not nearly as enamored over that ugly Marxist midget Coons as they were for Obamer...and rightfully so. I’D take Obamer over Coons is how bad it is.
I still say this race will be close, much closer than anyone suspects.
Your analysis I believe is right on the money about the potential disruptive effect of a legitimate poll.
I do WANT a poll though. But more than that I want what’s best for Christine.
Although I think the TCJ polls aren’t real, I think the results are the closest. And I understand that in some ways these TCJ polls are good because it gives Christines emails some motivating numbers.
What if TPTB are worried that polls might show Christine closing the gap? That might provide her with momentum; and TPTB wouldn’t like that...no, not one bit.
60% Republican turnout / 37% Democrat turnout means that the same number of Republicans and Democrats are voting.
Right. But the thinking is that the momentum is building without polls, and is growing at just the right speed. see outofstyle on this one.
I agree with you - hope the pollsters stay away...
But, they are working on it... Got a call today without anyone on the other end - checked out the number and it is a robo-polling outfit from Utah.
They have an agenda to push during lame duck. Coons would be on board ,O’Donnell will help stop it.
Outofstyle...good post...makes perfect sense.
Always the eternal optimist.
I'd pay to watch.
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
Well, I think she’s charming, refreshing and shares my viewpoints.
But what do I know?
That is probably the Tea Party Express.
They use NSON Research. NSON Research is based out of Salt Lake City.
That’s great news because it causes me to think that what we heard from TPE on Sunday is accurate. They did a pretty bad job of giving details of that poll released Sunday. But they did, and NSON did, a good job in September.
Not at all.
I do, however, find it interesting that so many supposedly rational, supposedly conservative, people are ready to shout "hate" at the first hint of a contrary opinion. That used to be a hallmark of the emotional left -- still is, for that matter.
But you post a link to some kind of analysis of types of voters in Delaware and state that the polls say COD will get these votes ...
Oh, for crying out loud. It's a link to the internals of a particular poll, given as a reference to support what I was talking about. If you can't even work up the objectivity to recognize the honest use of references....
You think she’s an awful candidate?
I do. Especially for Delaware.
She should say “I’m COD - Cash on Delivery” No more spending on account!
I’m not sure what TPTB is.
You could be right.
I suspect that the polls show several scenarios based on voter turnout. I don’t for one minute think that the campaigns at least don’t have polls.
I think the Delaware polls are showing anywhere from a win for Coons by twenty points to a win for COD by six.
All depending on turnout.
Of course all results depend on turnout you could argue. I still say that here in Delaware there’s a certain total uncertainty to the turnout because due to the Castle RINO thing there was never a concern with getting the big northern vote out.
But hey, it’s just speculation on my part, nothing more.
Still, a fact that can’t be denied, there are no polls be quoted for Delaware since a Rasmussen one some couple weeks ago.
Odd.
I see someone on this thread got some help. Never fight your own battles when you can gang up...that’s the ticket.
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