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Anti-gun spin: Study claims carrying a gun in bear country doesn’t make you any safer
Bluegrass Pundit ^ | Sunday, March 11, 2012 | Bluegrass Pundit

Posted on 03/11/2012 11:06:28 AM PDT by Askwhy5times

An article in the Daily Mail, and other places, cites a study by BYU biologist and bear expert Tom S. Smith that claims carrying a gun in bear country does not make you safer.

Many people have wandered into bear country reassured that their trusted gun would keep them safe if they ever come face-to-face with an aggressive grizzly.

But experts have shattered that myth after carrying out a study of hundreds of animal attacks.

A Brigham Young University study found using a gun is no more effective at keeping people safe than not using a firearm.

The study is published in the Journal of Wildlife Management. The full study is hidden behind a membership wall. I can only comment on the details provided in a lengthy press release posted on BYU's website. Most of the articles add this spin line which is directly from the BYU press release.
This finding is especially relevant given the 2010 law allowing guns in national parks.
Here are some other relevant excerpts from the press release.
Smith and his colleagues analyzed 269 incidents of bear-human conflicts in Alaska for the study, appearing in the forthcoming issue of the Journal of Wildlife Management. Those incidents involved 444 people and 357 bears, 300 of which were brown bears.

The researchers found no statistical difference in the outcome (no injury, injury or fatality) when they compared those who used their gun in an aggressive encounter (229 instances) to those who had firearms but did not use them (40 instances).

There is a serious problem with this comparison. The people involved in these encounters are not bear hunting. It seems reasonable to believe they only used a gun if they felt severely threatened. It is apples and oranges to compare 229 encounters where people felt threatened enough to use a gun on a bear to 40 instances where people had guns, but the threat level never rose that high. The bears in the second group were likely less aggressive. The press release then makes the claim  non-lethal deterrent such as bear spray is actually more effective against aggressive bears than a gun.
“People should consider carrying a non-lethal deterrent such as bear spray,” said Smith, a gun owner himself. “It’s much easier to deploy, it’s less cumbersome and its success rate in these situations is higher than guns.”
In a 2008 study, Smith found that bear spray effectively halted aggressive bear encounters in 92 percent of the cases.
Is this claim valid? Here are some excerpts from the BYU 2008 press release for this study which is also by Mr. Smith.
Hikers and campers venturing into bear country this spring may be safer armed with 8-ounce cans of bear pepper spray than with guns, according to a new study led by a Brigham Young University bear biologist.[...]
Concerned about hikers' and campers' persistent doubts that a small can of liquid pepper spray could stop half a ton of claws, muscle and teeth, Smith and colleagues analyzed 20 years of bear spray incidents in Alaska, home to 150,000 bears. He found that the spray effectively halted aggressive bear behavior in 92 percent of the cases, whether that behavior was an attack or merely rummaging for food. Of all 175 people involved in the incidents studied, only three were injured by bears, and none required hospitalization. Smith and his research team report their findings in the April issue of the Journal of Wildlife Management.
Again, there seems to be an apple and oranges situation. The 2008 study includes bears that were  merely rummaging for food. It is reasonable to believe the most people wouldn't use a gun because a bear was rummaging for food. Gun use would be reserved for the most aggressive encounters. Additionally, this was a fairly small sample of only 71 incidents where bear spray was used. BYU biologist and bear expert Tom S. Smith claims to not be anti-gun. That may be true. However, he is very pro bear. In this audio recording of an interview, Mr. Smith concedes there are some bears pepper spray will not stop. In those cases, only a gun can settle the issue.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; Politics; Science
KEYWORDS: banglist; gunrights; guns; partisanmediashills; science
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1 posted on 03/11/2012 11:06:36 AM PDT by Askwhy5times
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To: Askwhy5times

Its not the bears I would be concerned with.
I carry as protection against two legged predators.


2 posted on 03/11/2012 11:09:34 AM PDT by RitchieAprile
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To: Askwhy5times

Carrying my Kimber keeps me safe from predators be they animal or man or gub mint.


3 posted on 03/11/2012 11:09:47 AM PDT by Joe Boucher ((FUBO) Hey Mitt, F-you too pal)
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To: Askwhy5times

I dispute that Smith is a bear expert. Timothy Treadwell was a bear expert. He lived with bears. They ate him.


4 posted on 03/11/2012 11:11:59 AM PDT by namvolunteer (Obama says the US is subservient to the UN and the Constitution does not apply. That is treason.)
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To: Askwhy5times

I don’t carry because of bears. I carry because of zombies—leftist, criminal, probably Democrat zombies.


5 posted on 03/11/2012 11:13:44 AM PDT by Bryanw92 (The solution to fix Congress: Nuke em from orbit. It's the only way to be sure!)
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To: Askwhy5times

A gun sure as hell beats a rock or stick.


6 posted on 03/11/2012 11:14:04 AM PDT by True Grit
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To: Askwhy5times

You don’t need a 44 Mag or any of those large calibers. When I go to Grizzly country I take a 22 and a Liberal with me. If I encounter an angry Griz, I shoot the liberal in the knee cap with the 22 and run like hell.


7 posted on 03/11/2012 11:14:55 AM PDT by fish hawk (NAACP = Native Americans Against Corrupt Politicians)
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To: Askwhy5times
bear spray is actually more effective against aggressive bears than a gun.

Fine. Spray 'em. Then shoot 'em. Then nuke 'em just to be sure.

8 posted on 03/11/2012 11:17:15 AM PDT by EternalVigilance ("Si vis pacem, para bellum.")
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To: Askwhy5times
And as usual, the study ALWAYS covers only a fraction of the ACTUAL encounters. Why? Simple.

You are hiking through a remote area. With no warning a large bear suddenly appears. By it actions and the fact that it is charging straight at you, you know you are in immediate danger. You hand goes to your side and reaches for your trusty 629. You draw, fire twice, and the bear drops. At this point you:

a: Examine the fallen bear to make sure it is dead, find the nearest authorities so you can make a full report as well as expose yourself to any kind of bureaucratic nut that may have a problem with people defending themselves.

or

b: Get the hell out of there and say nothing to nobody.

That's why the statistics about guns being used for self defense are never correct - they are grossly under reported. Knowing the kind of problems people have gotten into by reporting their use of a gun for self defense, if you can leave quietly, who wouldn't? I would for sure.

9 posted on 03/11/2012 11:17:55 AM PDT by I cannot think of a name
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To: Askwhy5times

More bunk from so-called scientists.


10 posted on 03/11/2012 11:19:34 AM PDT by Jack Hammer
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To: Askwhy5times

I completely agree: this study seems to have taken a predetermined conclusion and then interpreted the data in such a way as to support the conclusion. That kind of study is not scientific, but, unfortunately, shows up far too often in the scientific literature. I usually see that kind of non-science in clinical studies, where researchers set out to prove something is bad (e.g. soda), and collect their data in such a way that they can never show otherwise.

It could be that bear pepper spray would be more effective than a gun at stopping a charging bear. But supporting or refuting evidence is not contained within either of the studies mentioned in the article.


11 posted on 03/11/2012 11:23:06 AM PDT by exDemMom (Now that I've finally accepted that I'm living a bad hair life, I'm more at peace with the world.)
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To: Askwhy5times

There is a lot more to carrying a gun to keep you safe in bear country. How many of the instances of people using a gun but still being attacked were based on their own stupidity in not avoiding situations or poor choice in weapons such as using too small a caliber.


12 posted on 03/11/2012 11:24:01 AM PDT by mnehring
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To: fish hawk

“If I encounter an angry Griz, I shoot the liberal in the knee cap with the 22 and run like hell.”

That’s a great idea. They love mother gaia’ so might as well turn them into fertilizer later..


13 posted on 03/11/2012 11:24:14 AM PDT by max americana
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To: Askwhy5times
And where is the joke about what is the best defense against bears being pepper spray and little jingling bells?

And the way to identify bear droppings is that they smell like pepper spray and have little bells in them.

14 posted on 03/11/2012 11:24:14 AM PDT by N. Theknow (Kennedys=Can't drive, can't ski, can't fly, can't skipper a boat, but they know what's best for you.)
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To: Askwhy5times

Naturalist science is dead.
This doesn’t even make any sense.
They just print these - to give their followers support.
Rational people read the fine print, realize it is a joke, and laugh at him.

The problem is - our society is chock full of idiots.


15 posted on 03/11/2012 11:25:51 AM PDT by Eldon Tyrell (question,.)
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To: Askwhy5times

My first thought was “how threat-aware were these people?”.

Whatever you pack—pepper spray, a .44, even a bazooka—won’t help you if you’re in your own little world with your iPod or Bluetooth on, instead of being aware of your surroundings.


16 posted on 03/11/2012 11:33:32 AM PDT by M1903A1 ("We shed all that is good and virtuous for that which is shoddy and sleazy... and call it progress")
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To: Askwhy5times
Bear Pictures, Images and Photos
17 posted on 03/11/2012 11:33:56 AM PDT by Snickering Hound
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To: Askwhy5times

IOW, as long as you don’t have a pic-a-nic basket you’re safe...


18 posted on 03/11/2012 11:34:54 AM PDT by null and void (Day 1146 of America's ObamaVacation from reality [Heroes aren't made, Frank, they're cornered...])
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To: Askwhy5times

I was out walking in the woods when I got between a grizzly sow and her cubs. She charged me. I’ve had years of martial arts training, so I screamed at her and assumed a defensive stance. She stopped about six feet away, pulled out a 38 and shot me in the leg. She said, “Take that Karate Kid!” and then she ate me.


19 posted on 03/11/2012 11:34:59 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: Askwhy5times
I grew up in a family who ran pack strings of mules and horses.
We packed most of the time from spring thaw till the first of Dec. We worked in the Rockies most of the year and encountered black bears at least a few times a week. A black bear is a chicken $hitt and will turn and run instantly unless you are in a position of threatening cubs. I only had one incident with a black bear where I had to take defensive action.
Grizzles are very different. If see one you are already on his mountain and he isn't going to like it. The best way to handle a big shag nasty is to get out of his way before he knows you are there. If he decides he is interested it is time to grab the shotgun full of slugs, get off your horse and get ready. Bear spray works if you have nothing else but it only works at close range. My slug gun starts working well at 50 yards. If I know a big bear is coming for me waiting for him to get within bear spray range is totally stupid. Did this study note or separate the data according to what kind of bears that were encountered? If not it is skewed and worthless. Unless you are threatening a black bear sows cubs the only part of that bear you will see is his butt as he runs away. A big Grizzly will get upset that you are on his mountain and be looking to make you dinner. Get a good picture of this, they will kill you and eat you. This does not happen every time but it happens a few times every year. But at least you brought your own pepper.
20 posted on 03/11/2012 11:35:15 AM PDT by oldenuff2no (Rangers lead the way...... Delta, the original European home land security)
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