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If You're Netanyahu, Why Not Bomb Iran NOW- While the Syrians R Busy Trying to Save Their Own Hides?
Reaganite Republican ^ | March 27, 2012 | Reaganite Republican

Posted on 03/27/2012 6:24:10 AM PDT by Reaganite Republican

Any serious strike against Tehran would almost certainly trigger a larger Middle East war... and time is not on the Israelis' side: here's how the IDF is likely planning to win, and win BIG:

The Assad regime in Damascus has long been one of a number of deterrents to any Israeli military strike on the Iranian nuclear program. They -along with their Hezbollah allies in Lebanon- would likely launch a vicious missile barrage (at minimum) against the world's only Jewish state if Iran was attacked.

Israel may possess the world's most comprehensive anti-missile defenses, but considering Iranian proxy Hezbollah now has over 40,000 rockets  of various sorts -vs 10K just six years ago- and Syria advanced Russian military hardware galore, the threats they pose are not to be considered lightly. 

The potentially high price to be paid by Israeli citizens in missile attacks is oft noted by those preaching the perils of IDF preemption (regardless of the fact that it has spared Israel from destruction so many times before). Unsettlingly, Syria even appears to have supplied Hezbollah with larger Scuds capable of hitting Tel Aviv, not just northern frontier towns.

But if you believe -as I do- that Tehran will never give up it's nuclear weapons program without being forced -and also that sanctions have failed- an Israeli attack is a near-certainty, even without US support... Netanyahu has all but said it. 

And Israel will wipe the floor with Iran.

Some urging caution feel a war would be just the ticket for the teetering Assad regime -rallying the nation in order to kill the evil Jooz, but this begs the question 'with what?' The Syrian Army today suffers from widespread defections and low morale, while a concerned Tehran has sent 'advisors' and equipment (Russia, too): seems Assad loyalist troops are not strong enough militarily to even control their own territory, let alone Lebanon or theGolan Heights.

Hezbollah and Hamas would be left standing alone on the actual battlefield, yet they and the Syrians' vast number of missiles have got the potential to do some real harm: Hezbollah now even dominates governance of Lebanon proper, and could theoretically employ the country's military assets against their southern neighbor.

But don't think the Israelis can't see all this coming: the IDF has in-fact developed a plan to destroy the entire Lebanese Army in just four hours. And this time -unlike in 2006's weak-kneed Labor administration- Israel's leadership is bound and determined to comprehensively neutralize Hezbollah as a fighting force, removing this long-standing security threat from it's northern border with some permanence.

Netanyahu also knows that continuing developments in the wake of the so-called 'Arab Spring' mostly work to the detriment of Israel- for instance, why wait until the Egyptian military is entirely at the mercy of the Muslim Brotherhood... and they're tearing-up peace agreements, opening their border with Gaza, and arming Hamas to the teeth?

Most other (Sunni) players in the region -such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait- would be delighted to watch aggressive and meddling (Shiite) Iran get flattened, and the sooner, the better... though far-less enthusiastic for the broader ME war that's certain to follow.

Getting it over-with

Besides the fact that 'overwhelming force' is the surest way to win these things (i.e the Powell Doctrine), to promptly crush Hezbollah/Hamas the IDF would need to go all-out from day one, with rocketry, armor and infantry taking the fight to the enemies on it's borders... not just drones, limited raids, and bombing runs. After a few days of shock-n-awe in Lebanon/Syria, the conflict could then end swiftly, with IDF troops occupying southern Lebanon and Gaza (at least)- Arab neighbors would not likely tolerate a long, bloody conflict, they just want Iran to lose the nukes: the ensuing conflict vs. Iran's Arab proxies would need to be finished quickly and decisively.

Yes, Israel might have one last window of opportunity here to change the balance of power in the region in a dramatic way. Don't be surprised if you wake up one morning soon and read all about it: not only would the result be a more democratic and peaceful Lebanon, with Hezbollah and Hamas wiped-out then perhaps a real peace agreement would be possible with the Palestinians... that's sure never going to happen so long as Israel has tens-of-thousands-of-rockets pointed at her.

Then the IDF can prepare to deal with Islamist Egypt...

CNN   Vancouver Sun   The Economist    Wikipedia  Jerusalem Post

TOPICS: Gardening; History; Military/Veterans; Politics
KEYWORDS: bomb; iran; israel; netanyahu

1 posted on 03/27/2012 6:24:18 AM PDT by Reaganite Republican
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To: ken5050; AdvisorB


2 posted on 03/27/2012 6:27:27 AM PDT by Reaganite Republican
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To: Reaganite Republican

Netanyahu only needs to do one thing to solve this.

Give Iran 24 hours to close their nuke program and pull all military assets out of gaza and lebanon.

If they don’t you remove Irans ability to deliver oil from the Straight of Hormuz. You wipe out their refining capabilities, their production facilities as well as their off-shore terminals. And you take out their Naval assets.

With that, you just put China on notice that they are about to have their society sent back to the dark ages if they don’t tell Iran to knock it off.

China won’t attack Israel. Nor will the EU or any other country that gets its oil from Iran.

That is how you put real pressure on them.

Iran doesn’t have an army that could move across a landmass to get to Israel without Israel knowing. No one else will be able to move troops. So it will become a rocket barrage and some missiles.

Israel would suffer property damage and some loss of life. But they are prepared for that.

But the best part about this is it forces Obama to take a stand. Asking for Israel restraint is telling the world that America supports Iran’s nuke program. It also sends the message that shutting down America’s energy programs was a BIG mistake.

It is how the Republicans sweep.

3 posted on 03/27/2012 7:04:51 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Solyent Pink is Sheeple!!!!)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

I like the way you think strategy... now is the time...

4 posted on 03/27/2012 7:50:49 AM PDT by Froggie
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To: EQAndyBuzz

Except Iran has not made enough HEU to make a bomb. And every nation knows it.

If Isreal attacked now, they would face the wrath of every other country—and we would not help.

5 posted on 03/27/2012 8:54:10 PM PDT by Vermont Lt (I just don't like anything about the President. And I don't think he's a nice guy.)
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