prolly oversampling of RATS
Posted on 08/19/2012 7:56:32 AM PDT by AdamBomb
One would think that after a full week of Ryan and Romney campaigning strong that they would have maintained a lead in the Rasmussen poll.
For the life of me I do not understand how the kenyan can all of a sudden be up 2 points for 3 days in a row.
Any thoughts?
I know, I was just being a tedious jerk.
Neither party has a popular candidate so you'll see this all the way to election day.
So, how do you keep ahead of this? Well, you can keep your eye on Joltin' Joe Biden ~ every time he's turned loose to embarrass somebody, or intimidate them, the Democrats lose share ~ not a lot ~ but maybe 100,000 votes. These are permanant losses too, and they do show up in the popularity ratings.
With Republicans, getting Ryan on board with a show merely reminded yet more of them of how little they like Romney. Bing Bong there goes the bounce.
Once the conventions are over we'll see the pollsters turn entirely to PROBABLE VOTERS. First, there's an initial statistical problem ~ there are a lot of people NOT PLANNING ON VOTING for president this time. Once the pollsters get a grasp on that, they'll adjust the numbers and you might even see a jump up in both major candidates, but that'll be swiftly whittled down ~ and finally, the race will be decided by only the true believers who, if you can believe it, actually think highly of Obama or Romney. These people are immune to the issues!
I expect an historically low turnout for President this time with both candidates getting fewer votes than were voted for their party counterpart last time, and actually maybe no more votes than are cast down ballot.
Usually the votes for President are greater than those for Representatives ~ this time I"m suggesting they'l be less ~ without looking I"d guess the last time that happened was back in the 1820s or something.
The Romney campaign does not have legal access to the monies raised for the campaign until after the convention.
Obama as the incumbent President does have legal access to campaign monies raised. He has been spending his funds like a drunken sailor with non stop negative attack ads.
Since Romney has risen in the polls to a virtual statistical tie, this is great news. He has risen despite the dirtiest presidential ad campaign in modern history. His campaign is even dirtier than Lyndon Johnson’s back in the 60s.
Romney has shown that he knows how to go for blood in the primaries. He can be politically ruthless when necessary.
After the primary I think it will be, “Cry havoc and let slip the dogs of political warfare.” Obama has already done this.
Good point. And the folks mostly still get their news from the MSM not alternative Fox or Talk Radio. The takers simply now are outvoting the makers. And stop the baloney about Mitt being the one who is losing the votes. Actually, the Right has been very strong in its support . The problem is the Blue states large electoral votes outnumber the small red states. Period. Mitt needs to win back some of the Bama Red states of 2008. If he does, he will squeak through. If not, our Republic is done. He needs Ohio, Pa. NV, NM IN MI and some combo of WVA, MN and NH.
You want Obama to win, so your stubborn “prediction” becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
This is series and hugh ~ probably.
Ryan and Romney are so different, it’s difficult to take them seriously as a team (also Romney’s “using” of Ryan is becoming all too obvious). A shake-up at the convention would be good. I would also like to hear Ryan issue more support for the unborn and their mothers, however, I realize he’s not “in control” of his speak. But if they are included (there are 50+ million innocents; big numbers!), Our Father may help this election progress in a better way. Economy is important, but it means nothing without life.
He will definitely get WV - no doubt about it.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/2012/07/29/why_romney039s_numbers_aren039t_dropping_285990.html
Why Romney numbers aren’t dropping.
If you are going to wring-your-hands over margin-of-error polling you are nothing more than a concern-troll plying your whiny little trade.
via The Washington comPOST
Obama camp: We are intentionally limiting crowd size.
Ah, sure, yeah...I call that BS!!
My older brother, who lives in WV, agrees w/you. In fact, today is his b’day!
And Obama and Biden’s crowds have fallen FAR FURTHER than our side
prolly oversampling of RATS
Statistical noise, the movement is not significant. It depends on who they happen to poll that day. Day to Day polls are about the most useless poll since you get massive swings based on who answers the phone that day.
I know I’m a lot more fired up about house, senate, and local races this time. Even Pete Hoekstra who has some serious RINO in him is well to the right of Romney and will get my vote.
It is a 3 day tracking poll. 0 must have had a good result on Thursday. Could be an outlyer, we’ll see tomorrow
Happy Birthday to the Mountain’eer!!
Even WV democrats hate O
I agree, it is BS.
Romney is pulling much larger crowds than Obama.
Unemployment is rising, the national debt is rising and Gasoline is near $4 a ga.
Effa Barack Obama!
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