Could Barack Hussein Obama Lose His Home State Of Illinois?

True Conservatives On Twitter ^ | October 7, 2012

[raptor22]

Campaign 2012: When an incumbent Democratic president is virtually tied in a congressional district he carried by high double digits in 2008, and is losing in the suburbs of his hometown, there could be trouble brewing.

In August, a poll by the Joliet, Ill.-based polling firm of McKeon and Associates, found President Obama leading challenger Mitt Romney in Cook County, which includes Chicago and its suburbs, by a 12-point margin 49-37.

That would seem to be a comfortable edge, but it is significantly smaller than traditional margins needed to outweigh the more Republican downstate vote.

"He has to come out of Cook County with a big lead or he's gonna have problems downstate," explained McKeon, who said that based on the numbers he's seen, Obama polled only in the 40s in downstate Illinois.

If his poll, which surveyed 629 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus/minus 3.4%, is accurate, Obama would be in some trouble.

In the city of Chicago itself, McKeon found Obama with a 60-29 lead over Romney. But Romney led 45-38 in the surrounding areas. Across the county as a whole, Romney led 43-31 among independent voters and held a 44-38 lead among male voters.

McKeon noted that in the 2010 gubernatorial race Republican Bill Brady came within a single percentage point of now-Gov. Pat Quinn because Brady won most of the downstate counties that have traditionally resisted and resented being dominated by upstate Chicago politicians.

[flaglady47]

They just had a Tea Party meeting at a VFW Hall in Tinley Park, which is in Cook County, and very near Will County.

[Seven plus One]

No offense Ma'am, but we are the miracle here. You and I. All of us. We are not powerless. Hard work produces miracles. That's the American Way. Produce the votes, and we'll win.
Talk to people, don't be afraid. When we get out there and let them know who we are, they'll recognize that they are not as alone and as insignificant as they (we) thought they were. Courage comes from that. The courage to vote. The courage to make the system work the way it should before it collapses under the weight of the corruption it's had to carry for the last hunnert years.

[RonInNaples]

Well, I’m going to dream with you. Certainly would be a slap in the face if he can no longer bamboozle the people of his ‘home’ state.

But, I’m not so sure that will ever happen in Chicago. Not when they can vote post-mortem, vote early/vote often, and vote without even going to the pols (someone votes for them).

[PhilCollins]

I live near Mundelein, and I know that Illinois is a swing state, because of the 2010 election results. In that year, Illinois elected a new republican U.S. senator, treasurer, and comptroller, to replace retiring Democrats. The IL GOP gained four seats, in the U.S. House. Republicans gained seats in the state senate and state house. It will be very close, but Romney might win IL.